The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $5.80 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
PEN-3   Win (2/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $42.60 -8.00
PEN-4   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $7.80 -4.00
PEN-5   Win (7/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
PEN-6   Win (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $4.20 -8.00
PEN-7   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:222 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM QUEEN 6 5 3 2nk   1nk 1(sullivan elliott)HIRALDO JOHN 124 6.00 1.90  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 1 1 22 1nk   2nk 2(beattie m)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 15% 5.50 2.50 P
CHARM ALARM 3 2 44 42   33 33 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 24% 3.10 2.20 S
POSITIVE FORCE 2 3 12 3   54(rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 12.00 19.60  
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT 4 4 55 55   45(martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 21.30  
SURPRISINGLY SWEET 5 6 610 717   722¾ 628¼ (bennett juanita)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 23.60  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 7 7 711 69   613¾ 743¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 19% 4.30 5.70  
SCR  MASKED HEROINE               (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER               (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
 
PEN-2   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:232 :471 1:113 1:372   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND WISER 1 5 3 32 2 1½ 1(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60 W
LAUGHING BOY 5 2 2½ 2½ 1 2½ 2(jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 3.70  
MIDNIGHT ACT 6 3 4 42 5 35 3(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 12.60  
MY REDEMPTION 4 6 74 7 6 54(zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 23% 3.40 5.40  
KAZ SUGAR BANK 7 4 52 5 4 4510 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.30 14.30  
CRITICAL THINKING 2 7 6 6 7 67 614½ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 15.00 41.70  
HERE'S WALDO 3 1 1½ 1½ 3 7718 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 15.30  
SCR  MY MAGGIE MOO               (farro patricia)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
 
PEN-3   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:223 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 8 5 64 3.2   2½ 1¼ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 20.30  
Z MYSTIQUE 1 1 3 1nk   1½ 2¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 7.20 P
BULLET BREEZE 4 8 7 6   54 3(murillo a)CORA D 123 6.00 25% 2.90 6.10 S
GEM DANCER 9 2 2½ 2nk   34(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
BEJUCO 3 4 42 4¾   44 5(carpio erin)INIRIO J 123 6.00 5% 17.90 3.30  
10  BOB'S OUR UNCLE 10 6 8 7   76(shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 65.40  
GURT'S WARRIOR 2 7 54 5   676 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 46% 1.20 0.80  
BACK EAST 7 9 9 8   88(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 13.30  
SYLVIA I AM 6 10 10 97   99(shea lydee)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 ######  
OBSCURED BY CLOUDS 5 3 1½ 1011   1016¼ 1022¼ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00 ######  
SCR  THE LAST JUMPSTART               (aguirre anthony)ROJAS MARTINA 118 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:231 :47 1:113 1:38   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGOT A POKER FACE 6 5 32 3 2 21 1(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 2.90  
JAYJAYDEE 5 4 2½ 2nk 1 11 2(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 71% 0.40 1.40 P
RADIEUX 1 1 67 5 44 35 36 (catalano l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 15.70  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 2 2 56 4 6 47 4(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 119 3.00 3.80  
COOL COMEDIAN 3 6 4 6 5 5511¼ (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
RUBY BLEU 4 3 1½ 1nk 3 611 624½ (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 4.80  
 
PEN-5   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:231 :474 1:13 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UGHROUDA 8 2 22 21 1nk 11 1¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 9% 9.70 1.20 W
FILTERED LIGHT 5 4 3 4 44 42¼ (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 16% 5.10 2.10 P
FOREVER FIFI 6 5 4 3 33 33¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 7% 14.30 8.30 S
LET'S GO MO 4 7 5 54 5 54(miller a)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 24.00  
ELEVENMONTHSLATER 2 3 12 11 2nk 21 5(bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00 11.90  
OMIKAMI 7 8 813 811 611½ 669 (rojas l)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.00 47% 1.10 4.60  
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 1 6 711 7 815 711½ 711 (stites w)CORA D 121 12.00 45.40  
TRECHMO GIRL 3 1 6 67 714½ 812½ 819¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 50.00 77.80  
SCR  MISSING A SOCK               (miller marlin)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:222 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IF WE GET LUCKY 6 1 21 2½   11(ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 1.10  
NORTHWOODS 7 2 42 3   32(stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 12.40  
SUNSHINE HARRY 3 8 5 55   44 3(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 5% 17.20 5.10 S
MACHO HONCHO 5 6 63 66   56 46 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 27% 2.70 3.60  
STORMY FIRE 8 5 86 76   67 56 (demario a)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 24.70  
LETSGETLUCKYTONITE 1 4 7 8   76(sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00 37% 1.70 5.90  
HE IS BAD 4 7 11 1½   27(ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 10.00 33.80  
HARVEY SPECTER 2 3 31 4   89 814¾ (geist w)INIRIO J 121 6.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
 
PEN-7   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:242 :49 1:141 1:273   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKON 1 1 2 2½ 1 111 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 47% 1.10 2.00 W
MIKEY'S JEWEL 5 3 35 32 34 33 21 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 8% 11.30 4.40 P
MERCY MERCY 6 2 1 1½ 2 23(castillo mi)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 1.60  
JUSTIN TIME 3 5 6 68 5 44(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 7.70  
TEACHER DRAMA 4 6 5 53 46 55(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 8% 12.00 6.00  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 2 4 45 43 6 610½ 614¾ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 15.60  
SCR  ALWAJD               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.