Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/1)-(5/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/1)-(5/9/1)-(5/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/9/1)-(1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1)-(1/4/8)-(2/4/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/8)-(2/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(2/4/3/9)-(5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/9)-(2/4/3/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/9)-(2/4/3/1/9)-(2/4/3/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/9)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/9)-(5/3)-(7/5/8/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/5/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/5/8/6)-(1/5/3/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/6)-(1/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/6)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Oct04 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE Oct17 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
3  POSITIVE FORCE Oct27 Sep22 Aug17 Aug08 Jul14 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 12.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Nov05 Oct05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul12 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
5  CHARM ALARM Oct17 Sep22 Sep05 Aug03 Jul13 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Oct05 Sep13 Aug27 Aug03 Jul13 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
7  SURPRISINGLY SWEET Jul05 Jun07 May19 Dec28 Dec14 (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
8  KINGDOM QUEEN Oct27 Oct06 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 124 6.00    
9  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 Aug25 Aug03 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-2   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND WISER Oct06 Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  CRITICAL THINKING Sep14 Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 Jun01 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 15.00    
3  HERE'S WALDO Oct20 Sep24 Sep14 Aug16 Aug02 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
4  MY REDEMPTION Oct27 Oct10 Aug31 Jul27 Jul12 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  LAUGHING BOY Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 Aug04 Jul02 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
SCR  MY MAGGIE MOO Nov04 Oct04 Sep15 Jul15 May13 (farro patricia)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
7  MIDNIGHT ACT Oct09 Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 Aug18 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
8  KAZ SUGAR BANK Aug10 Jul12 Jun01 May11 Apr06 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
PEN-3   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z MYSTIQUE Oct25 Oct13 Sep15 Sep01   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 ★    
2  GURT'S WARRIOR Oct27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  BEJUCO Oct27 Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 17.90    
4  BULLET BREEZE Oct27 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (murillo a)CORA D 123 6.00 25% 2.90    
5  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Oct25 Sep18 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00    
6  SYLVIA I AM Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jun28 Jun14 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 30.00    
7  BACK EAST Aug16 Jul11 May24 Feb08   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00    
8  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 Jun22 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
9  GEM DANCER Oct25 Sep13 Aug24 Jun03 Apr14 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOB'S OUR UNCLE Oct25 Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 Jun29 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
SCR  THE LAST JUMPSTART Oct27 Oct13 Sep14 Aug11 Jul16 (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 118 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIEUX Sep08 May31 May10 Mar22 Dec13 (catalano l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
2  STRAWBERRY TREAT Oct24 Sep08 Aug18 Jul20 Jun16 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 119 3.00    
3  COOL COMEDIAN Oct04 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUBY BLEU Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 Jul03 May24 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★    
5  JAYJAYDEE Oct06 Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 71% 0.40    
6  EGOT A POKER FACE Sep25 Aug18 Jun09 May19 Apr26 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   11/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Oct03 Sep21 Sep06 Jul13 Jun15 (stites w)CORA D 121 12.00    
2  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
3  TRECHMO GIRL Oct25 Oct09 Sep21 Aug23 Aug08 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 50.00    
4  LET'S GO MO Oct18 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Aug04 (miller marlin)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
5  FILTERED LIGHT Oct06 Sep15 Aug22 Jul12 Jun22 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
6  FOREVER FIFI Oct25 Sep14 Apr21 Mar30 Mar08 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 7% 14.30    
7  OMIKAMI Oct11 Jun20 May29 Apr20 Feb12 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.00 47% 1.10    
8  UGHROUDA Jan11 Dec11 Oct19 Sep14 Jan30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  MISSING A SOCK Oct27 Oct18 Sep29 Sep14 Aug24 (miller marl)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Oct27 Sep22 Sep07 May26 May05 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00 37% 1.70    
2  HARVEY SPECTER Aug24 Jul21 Jun22     (geist david)INIRIO J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUNSHINE HARRY Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.50 5% 17.20    
4  HE IS BAD Sep20 Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 10.00    
5  MACHO HONCHO Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  IF WE GET LUCKY Oct18 Sep25 Sep07 Jul13 Jun14 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00    
7  NORTHWOODS Sep25 Sep01 Sep16 Aug31   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
8  STORMY FIRE Oct28 Oct06 Sep24 Sep01 Aug19 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
 
PEN-7   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECKON Oct17 Oct09 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
2  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jul19 Jun29 May25 May11 Mar08 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
SCR  ALWAJD Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 Jun22 Jun01 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
4  JUSTIN TIME Aug18 Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00    
5  TEACHER DRAMA Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun16 May24 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
6  MIKEY'S JEWEL Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug31 Aug08 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
7  MERCY MERCY Oct30 Oct10 Sep12 Aug23 Aug05 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.