The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $11.80 -8.00
PEN-2   Win (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $15.60 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
PEN-4   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $2.10 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (9/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $34.20 -6.00
PEN-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
PEN-7   Win (5/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -1.20

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:222 :452 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEDERAL CASE 1 3 43 5   31 1½ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 4.90  
AGAINST THE ODDS 5 5 5 4   42½ (zalalas michael)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 9% 10.50 6.40 P
MY BLUE EYES 2 2 1 2nk   1nk 3(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 2.80  
MERU 3 8 6 6   64(flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 12.00 11.90  
MANAHAWKIN 4 7 810½ 7   755 (hamilton)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 61.30  
NAUTICAL NATURE 6 1 2 1nk   2nk 6(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 23.60  
ZOOMSTER 7 4 32 31   57(lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 31% 2.30 2.10  
DARK HEDGES 8 6 7 813¾   818¾ 823½ (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 39% 1.50 4.10  
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
 
PEN-2   10/26/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
:222 :46 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDLEY PARK 5 8 65 6   41¼ (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 8.00 6.80  
I KNOW MAP 1 9 8 7   2½ 2¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 26% 2.80 2.20 P
MISSILEER 3 6 11 1   1½ 3(carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 8.00 29.40  
PENTATONIC 2 4 21 3   34(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 13.20  
INTERRUPTER 6 7 97 8   75(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 51% 1.00 1.40  
OMAR COMIN 7 3 3 2   568 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 22.40  
CHASIN' WHISKEY 9 1 5 5   8710¾ (arnold pamela)FLORES E 121 10.00 65.20  
DRAMA KEY 4 2 42 43   6813¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 21.50  
OPENING HOURS 8 5 76 9   912½ 913¾ (mcclellan e)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
 
PEN-3   10/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:234 :474 1:124 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESI'S REWARD 3 1 12 1 13 15 1(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 2.50 2.10  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 1 2 4 4 3 25 2(ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 6.00 6% 15.60 6.70 P
MISS LOYALTY 2 6 67 67 6 43(pattershall m)RAMOS C 122 4.00 26% 2.90 4.90 S
ALWAJD 6 5 3 33 4 57 4(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 3.80  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 5 3 22 2 23 35(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.60  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 4 54 5 56 69 610½ (salinas jose)INIRIO J 120 10.00 8.30  
SCR  RAINBOW TROUT               (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 5.00    
 
PEN-4   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:221 :45 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT THUNDER 5 2 31 1nk   1½ 1(jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 0.05  
WASABI BOY 4 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.50 54% 0.80 9.70 P
ASHAAB 6 5 55 5   45 3(moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 8.00 47.20  
BROTHER SHOWTYME 3 4 1½ 3.2   33 4(sanchez-pinero )TREJOS JOSEPH 119 5.00 9% 10.00 14.80  
MILLBANK MAN 1 6 6 6   66 5(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 32.80  
HOLY MOLY MOSES 2 3 41 4   56 6(crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 9% 10.40 28.10  
SKIMBLE SHANKS 7 7 7 7   77(beattie sandee )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 35.50  
 
PEN-5   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:214 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICA'S PRIDE 6 1 1nk 1   14 1(hamilton)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 8.00 16.10  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 7 4 5 45   52(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.50 42% 1.40 2.30 P
SWEET HEIDELBERG 1 3 32 32   24 34 (jacobson david)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.10 1.30 S
SCOREBOARD LILY 2 6 4 5   45 44 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 10.00  
BE WATER 4 2 2nk 2   34 55 (rodriguez mig)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50 22% 3.50 2.30  
ESTA CHUCK 5 7 711¾ 612½   613¼ 611¼ (jacavone)SMITH DANIEL 115 50.00 59.30  
HOP TO A DECISION 3 5 6 713   715¼ 715½ (harigeorgiou )INIRIO J 119 30.00 58.20  
SCR  JUSTICE OR APPEAL               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE               (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00    
 
PEN-6   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:23 :462 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 2 1½ 1½   11(synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 74% 0.30 0.30 W
HOLY CITY 4 4 4 2½   22(pino michae)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 3.00 P
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 2 6 6 54   43(bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00 51.10  
LOOKIN BACK LUCKY 1 5 53 44   54(crane clovis)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
NOTORIOUS REY 6 3 31 3   35(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 8.70  
LUCKY LEWIS 3 1 2½ 67   625¾ 652½ (ferreira)SMITH DANIEL 116 20.00 42.80  
SCR  WINNING CANDY               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
 
PEN-7   10/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:232 :48 1:132 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SIS NIC 8 3 41 2½ 1 12 1(murtough step)INIRIO J 123 3.00 7% 13.00 2.40 W
NANASQUAN 5 2 52 5 4 32(spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20 P
DUSTED 7 6 6 4 2 22 3(lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 3.40  
MAKE A SPLASH 6 1 3½ 1½ 32 44(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00 17% 4.80 4.00  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 1 7 77 7 68 513½ 518¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 24.40  
MISS MIA LIA 4 8 88 8 712 718½ 621 (miller a)CORA D 123 20.00 16.60  
CHIMING IN 2 4 1nk 62 5 615½ 725¾ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 10% 9.30 13.50  
TICK ALERT 3 5 2nk 31 820 835½ 861¾ (crane cl)SMITH DANIEL 118 30.00 74.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.