Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/4)-(6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/4)-(6/1/8)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(5/2/1)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(4/3/2)-(9/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(9/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(9/5/1)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (9/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/1)-(9/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/1)-(9/5/1)-(9/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/1)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1)-(5/1)-(5/6/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/6/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEDERAL CASE Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
2  MY BLUE EYES Sep15 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 Jun25 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
3  MERU Oct09 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 12.00    
4  MANAHAWKIN Sep26 Sep11 Aug23 Jul19 Jul10 (hamilt)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  AGAINST THE ODDS Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jun28 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
6  NAUTICAL NATURE Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 (ippolito ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
7  ZOOMSTER Oct09 Sep22 Sep07 Aug26 Jul29 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
8  DARK HEDGES Sep30 Aug31 Jul16 May14 Apr23 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Sep07 Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
 
PEN-2   10/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I KNOW MAP         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by STREET BOSS out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  PENTATONIC Oct10 Sep15 Aug25     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
3  MISSILEER         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of NOT PAID FOR by MR. GOLDUST)
4  DRAMA KEY Sep15         (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 ★    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of IMPERIAL CODE by IMPERIALISM)
5  RIDLEY PARK Oct10         (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 8.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of SHARP AND SASSY by SHARP FROSTY)
6  INTERRUPTER Sep15         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  OMAR COMIN         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of GREAT START by JUMP START)
8  OPENING HOURS         (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ROSAREEN by TIZNOW)
9  CHASIN' WHISKEY Oct03 Sep15       (arnold pamela)FLORES E 121 10.00    
  (by CROWN OF THORNS out of WHISKEY ROSE by DON'T GET MAD)
 
PEN-3   10/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Sep13 Aug24 Aug08 Jul26 Jul14 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
2  MISS LOYALTY Oct11 Aug30 Aug05 Jul11 Jun28 (pattershall)RAMOS C 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  DESI'S REWARD Oct11 Sep28 Sep20 Sep14 Aug30 (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 123 2.50    
4  MIKEY'S JEWEL Oct12 Sep13 Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 (salinas jos)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
5  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 May25 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  ALWAJD Sep13 Aug24 Jun22 Jun01 May05 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  RAINBOW TROUT Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 Jun02 Mar27 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 5.00    
 
PEN-4   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLBANK MAN Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 May19 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
2  HOLY MOLY MOSES Oct06 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
3  BROTHER SHOWTYME Sep27 Sep16 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 5.00 9% 10.00    
4  WASABI BOY Sep20 Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jun11 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.50 54% 0.80    
5  GOT THUNDER Aug05 Jun18 Apr30 Mar17 Feb11 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40    
6  ASHAAB Sep01 Jul29 Jun16 May27 Dec30 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
7  SKIMBLE SHANKS Sep21 Aug18 Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 (beattie sande)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HEIDELBERG Oct11 Aug31 Jul04 May29 May05 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
2  SCOREBOARD LILY Oct04 Sep22 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
3  HOP TO A DECISION Oct04 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 119 30.00    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE Oct17 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00    
5  BE WATER Sep18 Aug29 Aug04 Jul24 Jun28 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
7  ESTA CHUCK Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 115 50.00    
8  AMERICA'S PRIDE Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jun12 May16 (hamilt)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 8.00    
9  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Sep22 Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-6   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Sep06 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 Jun20 (crane clovi)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Sep30 Sep20 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00    
3  LUCKY LEWIS Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Apr21 Mar24 (ferrei)SMITH DANIEL 116 20.00    
4  HOLY CITY Oct04 Sep18 Jun24 Jun18 Jun04 (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 ★    
5  KAZ MUNNINGS Sep20 Sep06 Jul06 Jun21 May10 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 74% 0.30    
SCR  WINNING CANDY Sep13 Aug16 Jun22 May26   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
7  NOTORIOUS REY Sep20 Sep06 Aug04 Jul06 Jun20 (ippolito ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
 
PEN-7   10/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS KAYS COWGIRL Oct12 Sep22 Sep04 Jul13 May24 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00    
2  CHIMING IN Sep22 Aug23 Jul21     (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
3  TICK ALERT Sep06 Aug23 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 (crane )SMITH DANIEL 118 30.00    
4  MISS MIA LIA Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 (miller a)CORA D 123 20.00    
5  NANASQUAN Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 May28 Mar08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  MAKE A SPLASH Sep06 Aug23 Mar10     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
7  DUSTED Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 Aug18 Jul30 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 3.50    
8  BIG SIS NIC Oct12 Sep13 Aug24 Jul21 Jul06 (murtough st)INIRIO J 123 3.00 7% 13.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.