Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-3   WIN (5/9/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $13.80 $5.80 73%
    EXA (5/9/10/8)-(5/9/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-5 $49.60 $25.60 107%
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/9/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-8 $34.20 $10.20 43%
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/9/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-3/5-8 $23.70 $5.70 32%
PEN-4   WIN (2/3/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (2/3/10/4)-(2/3/10/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-10 $29.20 $5.20 22%
    DD (5/9/10/8)-(2/3/10/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-3 $112.60 $80.60 252%
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/9/10/8)-(2/3/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3/5-8-3 $75.20 $51.20 213%
    PK4 (4/7/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/9/10/8)-(2/3/10/4) 144 $0.50 $72.00  7-3/5-8-3 $189.60 $117.60 163%
PEN-5   EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-4 $42.80 $18.80 78%
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-4-7 $75.00 $51.00 213%
    DD (2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-2 $49.80 $17.80 56%
    PK3 (5/9/10/8)-(2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00  8-3-2 $100.20 $68.20 213%
PEN-6   EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-5 $35.40 $11.40 48%
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(5/7/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-7 $49.20 $17.20 54%
    PK3 (2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1)-(5/7/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  3-2-7 $46.30 $14.30 45%
    PK5 (5/2/6)-(5/9/10/8)-(2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1)-(5/7/3/2) 768 $1.00 $768  3/5-8-3-2-7 $4464 $3696 481%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KAZ MUSIC 7 2 44½ 1½   11 1¾ (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 W
4  GIRVINIZED 4 7 78½ 31   21 2¾ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 2.00 39% 1.60 1.70 P
5  OUT OF AMMO 5 3 21 2½   32 34 (mcclellan c)CORA D 121 3.50 5.90  
1  WAHINE MEANIE 1 4 31½ 62¾   45 46½ (fields kevi)INIRIO J 121 10.00 44.80  
2  FOREVER FIFI 2 6 57 41   55½ 57 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
3  TRECHMO GIRL 3 5 67½ 74¼   68½ 611½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 20.00 85.10  
6  SECRET WISPER 6 1 11 52½   713 728 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 5.00 15.30  
 
PEN-2   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 4 4 12 11½ 13 1½ 11¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 62% 0.60 1.00 W
7  LUDO 6 2 42¼ 32 23 2½ 21¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 6.10  
2  I'M NOT A BABY 2 6 63¾ 53½ 34½ 52¼ 33 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 10% 9.30 3.50 S
1  DISCREETLY THRIFTY 1 5 53¼ 64 54¾ 42 43 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 8.70  
6  OVER THE BORDER 5 1 32 42 44½ 32 53½ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 4.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
4  FLAT BUSTED 3 3 22 21½ 67¼ 67¼ 610¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 8.00 10.20  
SCR  JUST DIVINE               (wolfe )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-3   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MONEY MAKING KAZ 6 4 2½ 21   1½ 14 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
5  Z MYSTIQUE 3 2 31 32   2½ 24 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 4.00 46% 1.20 2.20 P
7  HIGHGATE 5 5 53 42½   31½ 35¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 4.50  
6  GEM DANCER 4 3 1½ 11   41½ 48½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00 14.90  
4  BOB'S OUR UNCLE 2 8 710 79½   67 59¼ (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 6.80  
11  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS 8 1 42½ 54½   56½ 612¼ (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9.70  
9  TERRIBLEIGH 7 6 811 812½   711 716 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 19% 4.20 4.20  
2  SONIC BLOOM 1 7 63½ 69½   812 819¾ (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 9.60  
SCR  BEST EVER               (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
SCR  GURT'S WARRIOR               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
SCR  LIOTTA               (woolley tim)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  UNCLE MOOLAH               (murillo ric)INIRIO J 124 10.00 10% 9.50    
 
PEN-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEAST OR FAMINE 3 2 1½ 1½   12 11¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 29% 2.40 5.30 W
10  KAZ SWEET HEIST 9 5 55½ 67½   55 21¾ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 7% 12.50 0.70 P
9  PEAKY BLINKERS 8 4 78½ 711   77 33¾ (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 12.00 34.20  
4  COUSIN BOB 4 6 67 57   66 44¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 7% 13.70 12.80  
2  LIONESQUE 2 3 2½ 2½   22 54¼ (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 5.00 32% 2.10 12.50  
7  SYNONYM 6 8 44½ 44   33 64¼ (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 5.30  
1  MR BOLDACIOUS 1 9 811½ 814   89 76 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 120 10.00 33.00  
8  ECLIPTICALS BEAR 7 1 31 31½   44 88 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 8.70  
5  LONG TOM 5 7 913½ 916   913 913¾ (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 71.90  
SCR  MIZZEN MONEY               (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :441 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 2 5 31½ 42   32 11¼ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 51% 0.90 2.00 W
4  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT 4 1 1½ 11   12 21¼ (lake a)OCASIO M 120 3.50 14% 6.30 5.50 P
7  PICTOR 6 3 2½ 21   22 34 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 12% 7.30 8.00 S
8  EAGLES CRY 7 6 74¾ 64½   55 44¾ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 6.50  
1  TRIBAL NOTION 1 7 85¾ 76½   65¼ 57 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
3  MOBEER 3 8 63¾ 53   44 68 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 34.80  
6  NICE WEATHER 5 2 53½ 87   87¼ 79½ (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 15.00 36.90  
9  TUFF CONSTITUTION 8 4 41½ 32   76¼ 89¾ (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 1.50  
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK               (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LADY AHAVA 7 4 1½ 11½   13 11 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 25% 3.00 3.00 W
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  BACK FORTY 5 6 53½ 53   33 21 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 25% 3.00 2.80 P
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
1  WARRIOR ON THE RUN 1 5 2½ 21½   23 34¼ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.00  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  DANCING CHIME 6 1 43 42   44½ 46¼ (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 12.00 42.70  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of OUTLAW DANCER by BOWMAN'S BAND)
2  PHABULOUS PHOEBE 2 8 75 63½   75¾ 56¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 14% 6.10 5.00  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of HONEST FEELINGS by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  UNIVERSAL DESIGN 3 7 63½ 73¾   65¾ 68¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 16% 5.40 5.90  
  (by FLASHBACK out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  LUCY FIELDS 4 3 32 31½   55½ 711¾ (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13.10  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of FIELDS OF GOLD by ACTIVIST)
8  PROMISE MADE 8 2 87 87¾   811¾ 821¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 19.90  
  (by WELL SPELLED out of GOLDEN PROMISE by ACTIVIST)
 
PEN-7   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :444 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HASHTAG WINNING 5 6 69¾ 56½   2½ 15¼ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 6.30  
6  CHARGING LION 6 2 44½ 45½   31 25¼ (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 2.50 9% 10.40 2.90 P
1  DIXIE CANNONBALL 1 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 38½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 15.30  
2  VIOLENT PASS 2 3 33 33   42½ 48½ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 4.00 6% 15.70 10.00  
4  PRIMORDIAL FEAR 4 5 2nk 2nk   52½ 512 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00 2.40  
3  POCOPSON STATION 3 7 79¾ 79¾   77½ 612¼ (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 12.00 28.70  
7  C C'S WARRIOR 7 4 54¾ 66¾   65½ 720¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 59% 0.70 1.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.