Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/9/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/9/8)-(2/3/10/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/8)-(5/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/8)-(5/9/8)-(5/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/9/8)-(2/3/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8)-(2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/3/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/10/4)-(2/3/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/10/4)-(2/3/10/4)-(2/3/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/10/4)-(2/4/7/1)-(5/7/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(5/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(5/7/3/2)-(7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHINE MEANIE Sep22 Sep14 May19 May06 Apr04 (fields kevi)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
2  FOREVER FIFI Sep14 Apr21 Mar30 Mar08 Feb10 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRECHMO GIRL Oct09 Sep21 Aug23 Aug08 Jul07 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 20.00    
4  GIRVINIZED Oct09 Sep08 Aug18 Jun30   (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  OUT OF AMMO Sep15 May11 Apr20 Mar10 Feb23 (mcclellan c)CORA D 121 3.50    
6  SECRET WISPER Oct06 Sep13 Aug24     (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 5.00    
7  KAZ MUSIC Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Jul28 Jul06 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-2   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREETLY THRIFTY Oct04 Sep07 Feb01 Dec22 Dec07 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00    
2  I'M NOT A BABY Sep06 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun05 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  JUST DIVINE Sep13 Aug16 Jul11 Jun12 May30 (wolfe )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00    
4  FLAT BUSTED Oct12 Sep27 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
5  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Sep30 Jul06 Jun21 Jun09 May25 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
6  OVER THE BORDER Oct08 Sep08 Aug25 Jul21 Jun28 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUDO Oct12 Sep30 Feb06 Jan02 Dec02 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEST EVER         (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
2  SONIC BLOOM Jan19 Dec09 Nov08 Oct17 Sep24 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
SCR  GURT'S WARRIOR Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
4  BOB'S OUR UNCLE Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00    
5  Z MYSTIQUE Oct13 Sep15 Sep01     (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  GEM DANCER Sep13 Aug24 Jun03 Apr14 Mar11 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
7  HIGHGATE Sep07 Aug21       (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
8  MONEY MAKING KAZ Aug23 May05       (synnefias p)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TERRIBLEIGH Sep20 Sep01       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  UNCLE MOOLAH         (murillo ric)INIRIO J 124 10.00 10% 9.50    
11  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Sep18 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 May27 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
SCR  LIOTTA Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 (woolley tim)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
 
PEN-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR BOLDACIOUS Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 120 10.00    
2  LIONESQUE Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  BEAST OR FAMINE Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  COUSIN BOB Sep07 Aug25 Jun29 Jun15 May17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 7% 13.70    
5  LONG TOM Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Jun09 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00    
SCR  MIZZEN MONEY Sep20 Aug30 Jun09 May18 Apr28 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
7  SYNONYM Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50    
8  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Sep22 Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
9  PEAKY BLINKERS Oct05 Sep22 Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 12.00    
10  KAZ SWEET HEIST Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 Jun03 May14 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 7% 12.50    
 
PEN-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIBAL NOTION May31 May18 Dec28 Nov23 Nov04 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Sep21 Aug18 Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
3  MOBEER Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 May06 Mar29 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00    
4  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Aug21 Aug02 Jun10 May31 May06 (lake a)OCASIO M 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul06 Jun17 May13 Mar02 Feb16 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
6  NICE WEATHER Sep20 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
7  PICTOR Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Mar10 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
8  EAGLES CRY Oct16 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
9  TUFF CONSTITUTION Oct02 Aug24 Jul18 Jun21 May22 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
 
PEN-6   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR ON THE RUN         (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  PHABULOUS PHOEBE         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of HONEST FEELINGS by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  UNIVERSAL DESIGN Sep14 Aug23       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by FLASHBACK out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  LUCY FIELDS         (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of FIELDS OF GOLD by ACTIVIST)
5  BACK FORTY         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
6  DANCING CHIME         (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of OUTLAW DANCER by BOWMAN'S BAND)
7  LADY AHAVA Sep14         (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  PROMISE MADE         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of GOLDEN PROMISE by ACTIVIST)
 
PEN-7   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE CANNONBALL Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 Apr26 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50    
2  VIOLENT PASS Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 Jun21 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 4.00 6% 15.70    
3  POCOPSON STATION Sep15 Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 May24 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 12.00    
4  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Oct09 Aug12 Jul29 Jun13 May30 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
5  HASHTAG WINNING Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 May31 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
6  CHARGING LION Sep01 Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May26 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 2.50 9% 10.40    
7  C C'S WARRIOR Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 Jun16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.