The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
CT-2   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $67.80 -6.00
CT-3   Win (6/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
CT-4   Win (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
CT-5   Win (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
CT-6   Win (2/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
CT-7   Win (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $10.80 -8.00
CT-8   Win (2/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
CT-9   Win (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
CT-10   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $79.20 $79.20 73.20

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Vincent Moscarel Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
:232 :472 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBAWITHATWIST 6 5 42 2½   2nk 1(petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 1.40 49% 1.10 0.60 W
KING KONTIE 2 2 11 1½   1nk 2(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.80 19% 4.30 1.40 P
GRANDY 5 4 3 32   33(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 20.30  
LOVE IS WICKED 1 1 77 6   64(johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 60.60  
SOUL CATCHER 4 6 55 43   45 5(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 11.70  
POWERED BY LOVE 3 3 21 5   57 612¼ (grams timot)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 8.00 8% 12.20 40.40  
RACING HOT LINE 7 7 66 7   713¼ 722¾ (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 37.40  
 
CT-2   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Department Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 7:32
:231 :47 1:124     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBASLILBALLERINA 2 2 22 21   1nk 1(sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00 32.90  
LUCKY BLONDE 7 7 5 34   32(grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 6.20  
MAGGIE'S GIRL 4 3 12 11   2nk 33 (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 50% 1.00 3.20 S
JUBA'S PARADE 3 4 6 55   46 4(petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 22% 3.50 0.50  
MARINA GRANDE 6 6 7 6   610 513¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 29.20  
BARBERS POINT 1 1 43 45   5617¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
POLISH THE DIAMOND 5 5 33 78   719 729 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00 30.40  
 
CT-3   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Lottery Breeders Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 8:02
:23 :464 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK 8 8 32 32   11 11 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.60 24% 3.20 1.90 W
LORD OF CORK 9 10 1011½ 66   21 21 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30 P
JUBA'S NOTION 3 4 5 4   333 (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 2.90  
STROLLINGINTHEWIND 4 7 710 76   53 4(sigler g)REYNOLDS C 122 30.00 69.20  
HONEYQUIST 6 1 1 1½   45(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.70  
PAYMENGOLD 1 2 43 5   7611¼ (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 6.40  
10  GRUMPY'S BUDDY 10 9 911 910½   89 713¼ (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 19.00  
DUNCAN IDAHO 7 5 2 2½   66 814¼ (runco c)BATISTA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
SUMMONING DENIS 2 3 6 8   913 917¼ (petty kri)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 58.10  
JAZZ WITH DENIS 5 6 810½ 1016½   1032 1068¾ (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 49.40  
SCR  GREATANDGOOD               (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 50.00    
SCR  MAC DADDY               (shuler r)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Triple Crown Nut Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 8:32
:23 :462 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT THE CAT 8 8 1nk 14   114 112¼ (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 0.60 38% 1.60 0.20 W
RAN OUT OF TRAINER 4 3 5 45   214 212¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 36% 1.80 6.90 P
RUNAWAY BEAUTY 2 4 8 711½   417 312½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 8.40 S
KRISTINACHRYSALIS 6 7 9 812½   721 418¼ (farrior antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 15.00 64.50  
SEVEN NATTY PATTY 3 2 4 59   619 519½ (contreras jav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 64.80  
NAVY BAND 9 9 3 34   315 621¾ (runco je)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00 37.00  
MAMA MARGE 7 5 2nk 24   518½ 725 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
MAKANI 1 1 6 610½   931 839¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 48.50  
ILIKEFUNSIZE 5 6 7 915½   829 939¼ (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 28.70  
 
CT-5   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Thoroughbred Bre Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
:23 :463 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CHANGE 6 6 6 54   13 1(mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 1.40 25% 3.00 1.00 W
SOCIAL CHIC 1 1 3 33   34 2(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60 41% 1.40 1.20 P
REMYS SHOWTIME 4 4 2½ 1nk   23 3(jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 20.00 17.60  
JUNGLE BEAST 3 3 5 65   56 410¼ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 6.00 7.50  
ROAD PARTY 2 2 1½ 2nk   44 510¾ (grigsby anthony)RIOS-CONDE A 123 15.00 16.50  
FANCY CONCHO 5 5 44 4   612 624¾ (grams c)REYNOLDS C 123 12.00 8% 12.00 28.20  
SCR  BUBBA GRUMP               (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00    
SCR  MINISTRY OF MAGIC               (rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 30.00    
SCR  OUT OF CENTS               (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
 
CT-6   10/14/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Dash Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:214 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENGUIN POWER 8 2 64     211 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 5.00 31% 2.20 5.00 W
10  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY 9 3 8     721 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 15.00 26.10  
GOLDEN KEY 6 4 11     13(brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 34.20 S
EL LUCERITO 3 5 3     34(campbell marshall)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 35.00  
NICO 5 8 98     953 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 4.00 9% 9.60 3.40  
TEACHINTHERELEASE 4 7 43     563 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00 9.30  
DERBY DAY DREAMS 1 6 77     67(barber dona)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 12.00 32.90  
JEFFERSON NATIVE 7 1 21     44 8(dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 123 6.00 16.30  
LITTLE ROO ROO 2 9 53     89(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 34% 1.90 0.80  
SCR  AMIDSHIPS               (runco je)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIZBO               (allard t)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST               (kravets m)ARAUJO DENIS 123 20.00    
 
CT-7   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Cavada Breeders' Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
:23 :464 1:124     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESSICA 5 6 6 4   1nk 1(petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 4.40  
LUCYLOU WHO 4 4 31 2½   2nk 2(geralis )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 41% 1.40 3.10 P
THE SKY IS FALLING 8 7 8 7   435 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 26% 2.90 2.00 S
FULL MOON LOVER 2 1 1nk 1½   3½ 49 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 5% 17.70 16.00  
MOONLIT SHADOW 6 5 44 5   55 510 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 123 4.00 6.80  
AIM'S JUBILEE 7 8 7 6   610 614¾ (reggetts ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 20.00 28.90  
MISS WAVE 1 3 5 8   811¾ 717 (hillegass alex)BATISTA A 123 30.00 46.20  
FOXY SISTA 3 2 2nk 31   710¼ 819¾ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 3.50 6% 15.10 3.50  
 
CT-8   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Sam Huff West Virginia Breeder Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
:25 :494 1:152 1:394   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL MISSION 2 2 11 11 1 11(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.80 52% 0.90 0.20 W
10  MUAD'DIB 10 7 78 7 3 39 2(runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 2.50 27% 2.80 3.90 P
LATE IN THE GAME 5 1 5 54 6 410½ 3(sigler g)LARROSA G 123 6.00 12.60 S
C R'S MANDATE 8 3 44 4 2 248 (schiano-dicola r)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00 54.90  
CANDY INVASION 9 10 9 10 8 611½ 59 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 30.30  
MARTIN MAN 4 9 89 88 54 511½ 613¾ (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 123 20.00 ######  
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 6 8 10 99 9 815½ 720 (runco c)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00 46.70  
BUFF'S EYE VIEW 3 5 66 65 10 916½ 820½ (walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 30.00 ######  
RIP THORN 7 6 33 31 44 714½ 921¼ (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00 5% 19.00 78.20  
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 1 4 21 21 7 1023½ 1036½ (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 50.00 ######  
 
CT-9   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY West Virginia Roger Ramey Bree Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
:24 :48 1:142 1:414   1:561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 5 4 32 4 3½ 11(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 8% 12.00 2.90 W
NO DENYING DENIS 3 2 4 5 6 52(sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.40 P
SENECA ROCKS 8 10 10 910¼ 9 47 3(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 1.40 68% 0.50 1.00 S
JUBA BABY 9 5 5 3 1½ 247 (keller christopher)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 13.40  
10  AZZURRA 10 9 8 7 5 35(farrior anthony)REYNOLDS C 123 10.00 36.20  
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD 7 8 9 1010¾ 1011¾ 614¼ 612½ (jackson angelo )RIVERA JAVIER 123 20.00 35.50  
REVEIRS MINUTE 1 3 2nk 2nk 4¾ 920¼ 731½ (hess g)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 8.00 7.70  
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 2 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 718¼ 832¾ (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 123 30.00 52.90 DH
OCEAN LILLY 4 7 7 8 7 819¾ 832¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00 31.70 DH
JAMESTOWN ROAD 6 6 6 6 8 1022¾ 1038¾ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 20.00 17.90  
SCR  ARROWWOOD               (runco c)BATISTA A 123 20.00    
SCR  BEST VIRGINIA               (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
SCR  CASTLE OF CAYLEE               (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00    
SCR  HERETODAYGONMANANA               (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
 
CT-10   10/14/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Blue Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-11:32
:212 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH RUBE 2 8 6     41(jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00 5% 19.00 38.60 W
FANCY HER UP 3 3 1nk     12(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 6.00 7.10 P
GREAT SPIRIT 5 7 43     23(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 1.80 41% 1.40 1.50 S
BELLA MELA 7 1 31     54(contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 6.10  
MANAROLA 1 9 7     754 (walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00 50.90  
STRYDA 4 4 2nk     366 (johnson r)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.60 31% 2.20 1.30  
10  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC 9 2 5     67(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 15.00 20.40  
JUBA'S HOUSE 8 5 8     88(boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00 67.50  
GHOSTLY SQUALL 6 6 912¼     910¾ 920½ (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 20.00 37.10  
SCR  DIXIE YODELER               (davis russe)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 20.00    
SCR  PURE NONSENSE               (gillespie a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.