Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-2   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (6/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-4   Win (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-5   Win (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-7   Win (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-8   Win (2/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-9   Win (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-10   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Vincent Moscarel Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE IS WICKED Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Jul21 Jun30 (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
KING KONTIE Sep29 Sep09 Aug05 Jul14   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.80 19% 4.30    
POWERED BY LOVE Sep29 Jul21 Jun30     (grams timot)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
SOUL CATCHER Sep16 Aug11 Jul21     (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
GRANDY Sep29 Aug11       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
JUBAWITHATWIST Sep29 Sep02 Aug05 Jun30   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 1.40 49% 1.10    
RACING HOT LINE Sep16 Sep01 Aug11     (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
 
CT-2   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Department Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBERS POINT Sep08 Aug15 Jul29 Jun01 Apr21 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUBASLILBALLERINA Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
JUBA'S PARADE Sep30 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jun23 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 22% 3.50    
MAGGIE'S GIRL Sep02 Aug25 Jul28 Jun24 Jun01 (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
POLISH THE DIAMOND Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Jul15 Jul01 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
MARINA GRANDE Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jun30 Jun10 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
LUCKY BLONDE Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 Jun02 May12 (grams ti)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
 
CT-3   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Lottery Breeders Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYMENGOLD Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 Jul06 (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
SUMMONING DENIS Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (petty kri)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
JUBA'S NOTION Aug25 Jul22 Jun23 May13 Apr22 (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Sep15 Aug04 Jul21 May19 Apr28 (sigler g)REYNOLDS C 122 30.00    
JAZZ WITH DENIS Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
HONEYQUIST Aug04 Jun15 May13 Apr22 Mar31 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
DUNCAN IDAHO Sep21 Aug17 Jul15 Jun09 May20 (runco c)BATISTA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JUBA'S HAT TRICK Sep28 Jul27 Jun09 May13 Apr22 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
LORD OF CORK Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Sep15 Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  MAC DADDY Sep25 Aug07       (shuler r)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
SCR  GREATANDGOOD Oct13 Sep22       (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 50.00    
 
CT-4   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Triple Crown Nut Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKANI Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
RUNAWAY BEAUTY Sep15 Aug31 Aug10     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Sep22 Sep02 Aug10 Jul08   (contreras jav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Sep29 Sep22 Aug05 Jul06   (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
ILIKEFUNSIZE Sep22 Aug10 Jul19 Jun18   (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Sep29 Jul14 May25 May01   (farrior antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 15.00    
MAMA MARGE Sep22 Jul20       (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIRECT THE CAT Sep22 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06   (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 0.60 38% 1.60    
NAVY BAND Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20   (runco je)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Thoroughbred Bre Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL CHIC Aug25 Aug03 May19 Apr22 Mar18 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
ROAD PARTY Aug25 Aug10 Jul06 May25 Dec08 (grigsby anthony)RIOS-CONDE A 123 15.00    
SCR  BUBBA GRUMP Sep09 Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 May11 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 Jun09 Apr22 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 6.00    
SCR  OUT OF CENTS Oct01 Sep09 Aug16 Jun21 Mar11 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
REMYS SHOWTIME Sep09 Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 Jul19 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 20.00    
SCR  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Sep28 Sep02 Jul27 May27 Aug26 (rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 30.00    
FANCY CONCHO Sep09 Aug25 Jul21 Jun16 May19 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 123 12.00 8% 12.00    
NO CHANGE Aug25 Aug03 Jul08 May19 Apr22 (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 1.40 25% 3.00    
 
CT-6   10/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Dash Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY DREAMS Jun17 May19 Feb23 Jan12 Oct08 (barber dona)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 12.00    
LITTLE ROO ROO Sep21 Aug25 Jul22 Jun17 May13 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 34% 1.90    
EL LUCERITO Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun02 May13 (campbell marshall)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
TEACHINTHERELEASE Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun24 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
NICO Sep21 Aug18 Jun17 May19 Apr22 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 4.00 9% 9.60    
GOLDEN KEY Aug25 Jul13 Jun17 May11 Feb02 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
SCR  AMIDSHIPS Aug17 May19 Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 (runco je)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Aug25 Aug17 Jul08 Jun22 Jun02 (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 123 6.00    
PENGUIN POWER Aug25 Jul13 Jun17 May11 Apr15 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 5.00 31% 2.20    
10  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Aug25 Jun11 May17 Apr28 Apr08 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 15.00    
SCR  FIZBO Sep10 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 May05 (allard t)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST Sep28 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (kravets m)ARAUJO DENIS 123 20.00    
 
CT-7   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Cavada Breeders' Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS WAVE Aug19 Jul01 May25 Apr13 Feb24 (hillegass alex)BATISTA A 123 30.00    
FULL MOON LOVER Sep22 Aug25 Jul01 Jun03 May13 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 5% 17.70    
FOXY SISTA Sep09 Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun02 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 3.50 6% 15.10    
LUCYLOU WHO Sep22 Aug25 Jul20 Jun03 Apr15 (geralis )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
HESSICA Sep30 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00    
MOONLIT SHADOW Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 Jun17 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 123 4.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Sep14 Sep02 Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 (reggetts ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 20.00    
THE SKY IS FALLING Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 Apr15 Nov05 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
CT-8   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Sam Huff West Virginia Breeder Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 Jul07 May26 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 50.00    
COASTAL MISSION Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Apr22 Apr08 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.80 52% 0.90    
BUFF'S EYE VIEW Sep09 Aug19 May13 Feb09 Jan12 (walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 30.00    
MARTIN MAN Sep21 Sep03 Jul24 Jun24 Oct08 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 123 20.00    
LATE IN THE GAME Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 Jun10 May18 (sigler g)LARROSA G 123 6.00    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 May12 (runco c)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00    
RIP THORN Sep18 Jul31 Jul03 Jun11 Oct22 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
C R'S MANDATE Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 May12 Apr22 (schiano-dicola r)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00    
CANDY INVASION Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 Jun10 May18 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
10  MUAD'DIB Aug25 Jul21 Jun16 Apr22 Dec10 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
CT-9   10/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY West Virginia Roger Ramey Bree Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEIRS MINUTE Sep08 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jun16 (hess g)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 8.00    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Sep14 Jul29 Jul13 Jun17 Apr13 (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 123 30.00    
NO DENYING DENIS Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
OCEAN LILLY Aug12 Jul22 Jun11 Apr15 Jan19 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Aug25 Jul22 Jun10 Apr13 Mar02 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 8% 12.00    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Oct03 Sep22 Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 20.00    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 Jun01 (jackson angelo )RIVERA JAVIER 123 20.00    
SENECA ROCKS Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 1.40 68% 0.50    
JUBA BABY Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 (keller christopher)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
10  AZZURRA Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 May05 (farrior anthony)REYNOLDS C 123 10.00    
SCR  BEST VIRGINIA Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 May05 Apr13 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
SCR  ARROWWOOD Aug19 Aug12 Jul22 May25 Apr28 (runco c)BATISTA A 123 20.00    
SCR  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Oct07 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00    
SCR  HERETODAYGONMANANA Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
 
CT-10   10/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Blue Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-11:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIXIE YODELER Sep07 Aug05 Jul06 May05 Apr21 (davis russe)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 20.00    
MANAROLA Aug10 Jul01 May13 Apr13 Mar11 (walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00    
COACH RUBE Oct02 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul01 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
FANCY HER UP Sep28 Sep07 Aug10 Jul07 Jun15 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 6.00    
STRYDA Sep07 Aug25 Jul27 Jul06 Jun03 (johnson r)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
GREAT SPIRIT Aug25 Jul29 Jun03 May13 Apr29 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
GHOSTLY SQUALL Jun03 Mar23 Feb11 Dec14 May21 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 20.00    
BELLA MELA Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Apr29 Apr14 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
JUBA'S HOUSE Sep21 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 May27 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00    
10  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Aug24 Jul27 Jun19 Jun03 May13 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 15.00    
SCR  PURE NONSENSE Sep15 Aug26 Jul20 Jul07 May18 (gillespie a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.