The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
CT-2   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $24.20 -6.00
CT-3   Win (5/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -1.40
CT-4   Win (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
CT-5   Win (9/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
CT-6   Win (4/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $12.60 -8.00
CT-7   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.00 -6.00
CT-8   Win (8/12/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:241 :484 1:153     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH FLIGHT 7 7 53 3   1½ 1(espinosa victor )ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
MOON FALL 6 6 7 7   42(runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 114 0.60 39% 1.50 0.90 P
JUBA'S MOCHA 5 5 31 1nk   3½ 3(brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 119 20.00 18.10  
LORD CLANCY 3 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 4(figgins l)CHILO JACINTO 121 3.00 30% 2.30 3.00  
LUNAR GHOST 8 8 810¾ 812¼   657 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 119 30.00 50.00  
COLONIAL ROAD 1 2 6 5   568 (campbell larr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 6.00 5% 18.20 6.00  
TO THE TOP 2 1 4 6   7725 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 121 30.00 46.10  
SHINEY GHOST 4 4 2nk 44   816¼ 845 (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 50.10  
 
CT-2   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:233 :48 1:151     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALDRINALINE 3 4 6 66   52 1(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 11.10  
SIENTE EL AMOR 2 2 2 2½   1nk 2(wilhelm tabitha )CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 10.10  
MODERN DAY ROMANCE 8 8 55 3   31 3(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 0.90 S
OCEAN STORM 7 5 43 42   446 (shanley tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 49% 1.00 5.50  
CHARITABLE WINDSOR 5 3 1 1½   2nk 5(hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 2.60  
WELL EQUIPPED 4 6 811 810½   85 6(shanley timothy)ADAMS L 113 15.00 19% 4.40 32.30  
MEETMARYSMAN 6 7 77 7   77(jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 47.80  
JEFFERSON SECURITY 1 1 32 5   63 812 (grams timot)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
 
CT-3   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
:22 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN ON AND ON 7 1 2½     1nk 1(huet k)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 16% 5.40 2.30 W
GRANDIOSELY 8 2 34     35 2(jones micha)BOCACHICA J 115 2.00 20% 4.10 2.70 P
SCARLET TANAGER 4 7 5     48 35 (spriggs r)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 12.70  
DING DING 5 4 1½     2nk 4(sanderson s)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70  
MAKE IT A DOUBLE 6 3 79     712½ 58 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 11% 8.10 12.40  
ONE TOUGH ROSE 2 8 68     611 6(pennella )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00 31.20  
SALSA RITA 1 5 46     57(gayle d)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00 11.40  
SECRET AFFIRMATION 3 6 812½     814½ 813½ (babcock reb)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 51.30  
 
CT-4   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
:242 :49 1:15 1:422   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR MEDAL 6 4 4 3 23 13 14 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 27% 2.70 4.80 W
MARCUS JUNIUS 9 8 6 6 3 33 24 (caiazzo corby)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50 5.90  
MOON SIGN 2 1 11 1 13 23 3(pradenas se)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 5.80  
ONLY GET'N BETTER 1 7 8 816 614½ 511½ 411 (shanley timothy)ADAMS L 111 20.00 23.30  
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 7 6 56 5 4 47 513 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 32% 2.10 2.20  
I SEE NOTHING 4 2 77 714½ 716 715 620½ (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 38.80  
GET OFF MY CLOUD 3 3 21 2 58 613 720¾ (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 14% 6.00 3.10  
FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK 8 5 3 48 828 840 869 (klesaris rob)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 11.10  
LOVE MACHINE 5 9 915½ 9100 9100 9100 9100 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
 
CT-5   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
:22 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBA G 6 3 32     31 1(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 W
DANCIN IN DUBAI 4 6 610½     44 2(brown kelto)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 29.20  
POLITICAL DECISION 5 2 46     63(murtaugh )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90 S
BRION 8 1 1nk     1nk 4(johnson r)ADAMS L 115 5.00 61% 0.60 2.00  
TRAPPE THE GOLD 7 5 5     55(dollinger-sth)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 20.70  
SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND 1 7 716½     76(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 11.40  
HUEY DUEY 2 4 2nk     2nk 7(comi w)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 12% 7.50 1.00  
ADIOS SEE YA 3 8 841½     834¾ 837¼ (straughn william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 42.20  
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE               (brooks gerald)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
SCR  VIOLENT ROCK               (ginter raymond)BATISTA A 122 1.40    
 
CT-6   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:234 :484 1:143 1:423   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM OF BLESSINGS 6 6 713½ 811 6 24 1(haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 5.30  
MUD BUG 5 5 49 32 2½ 14 2(walters )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 1.70  
HE'S ON FIRE 2 3 3 4 3 34 3(mancilla ca)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 9.60  
CHROME HEIR 7 8 613½ 69 77 67 4(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 14% 6.30 22.60  
BLUE N GOLD 4 4 5 5 5 55(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 33% 2.00 4.50  
VOLIERO 8 7 813¾ 710½ 8 712 616¾ (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00 57.60  
GABRIEL'S WING 3 2 12 11 1½ 4718 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 28% 2.50 8.60  
OILER 1 1 22 21 4 814 828 (nazario pedr)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 3.50 3.00  
 
CT-7   11/11/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST My Sister Pearl Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
:241 :481 1:142 1:411   1:553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 2 4 31 33 21 1nk 16 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 2.00  
LUCKY BLONDE 5 7 63 8 8 526 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 29% 2.50 3.00 P
NO DENYING DENIS 6 3 53 55 3 43 36 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 121 6.00 11.20  
JUBASLILBALLERINA 3 2 42 44 5 2nk 4(sigler g)LARROSA G 121 6.00 5.40  
MOONLIT SHADOW 1 1 1½ 1nk 11 31 57 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 123 4.50 5.90  
SENECA ROCKS 7 6 7 66 4 64 67 (contreras javie)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 42% 1.40 3.50  
AZZURRA 8 8 8 7 7 777 (barber c)MAWING A 123 20.00 62.90  
REVEIRS MINUTE 4 5 2½ 2nk 6 820½ 837¾ (hess g)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 44.20  
 
CT-8   11/11/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:234 :483 1:144     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARQUET CLASSIC 5 3 11 1   12 12 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.40 2.00 W
11  PUSH 8 9 64 5   33 22 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.80 3.50  
12  CHASING ARTEMIS 9 7 42 3   22 3(sanchez-)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 26% 2.90 3.20 S
HONEYCAMP 4 5 52 4   543 (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 12.60  
HERECOMES SCARLETT 6 6 21 2   45(davis russe)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 8% 11.40 6.50  
CHANNEL SCENT 1 2 86 8   77 6(mcgill sylves)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 25.60  
10  DIAL FOR LOVE 7 8 7 6   66 7(farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 9% 10.20 8.40  
CRIMSON LILLE 3 4 910 910¼   88(deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 15.00 41.10  
HOLY HIP 2 1 3 7   912½ 921¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 19.90  
SCR  CONNECTING FLIGHT               (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.00    
SCR  HANNAHS RED RUBY               (malgarini t)MAWING A 122 15.00    
SCR  WICKED SAUCY               (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.