Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/7)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/7)-(7/4/1)-(5/8/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/8/1)-(7/4/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(5/8/7/6)-(7/6/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/6)-(7/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/6)-(7/6/3/5)-(9/3/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/5)-(9/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(9/3/6/7)-(4/3/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/7)-(9/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/7)-(9/3/6/7)-(9/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/6/7)-(4/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/6/7)-(4/3/7/8)-(7/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/8)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/8)-(7/5/4)-(8/12/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(8/12/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/12/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/12/10/9)-(8/12/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/12/10/9)-(8/12/10/9)-(8/12/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONIAL ROAD Oct20 Sep30 Aug17 Jul28 Jul21 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 6.00 5% 18.20    
2  TO THE TOP Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 121 30.00    
3  LORD CLANCY Oct19 Sep30 Sep22 Sep08   (figgins ollie)CHILO JACINTO 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  SHINEY GHOST Oct20         (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
5  JUBA'S MOCHA Nov03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 Jul21 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 119 20.00    
6  MOON FALL Oct13 Sep08 Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 114 0.60 39% 1.50    
7  IRISH FLIGHT Oct20 Sep30 Jul06 Jan28 Jan04 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUNAR GHOST Oct20 Jun22 Jun04 May11 May04 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 119 30.00    
 
CT-2   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSON SECURITY Nov02 Oct19 Aug19 May20 Apr22 (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIENTE EL AMOR Oct25 Oct07 Aug19 Aug03 Jun22 (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
3  ALDRINALINE Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Oct12 Sep14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
4  WELL EQUIPPED Oct25 Oct07 Aug17 Jun23 Apr27 (shanley timot)ADAMS L 113 15.00 19% 4.40    
5  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Nov02 Oct19 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00    
6  MEETMARYSMAN Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 Jun30 Jun02 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
7  OCEAN STORM Jul06 Jun02 May06     (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
8  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 ★    
 
CT-3   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALSA RITA Oct20 Oct07 Sep20 Aug19 Jul16 (gayle webster)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
2  ONE TOUGH ROSE Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 Jul05 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
3  SECRET AFFIRMATION Oct22 Sep24 Sep11 Jul11 Jun18 (babcock r)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
4  SCARLET TANAGER Oct07 Sep07 Aug19 Jun16 May25 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
5  DING DING Oct25 Oct07 Jul14 Apr20 Mar24 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Oct07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul06 May25 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
7  REIGN ON AND ON Sep21 Sep02 Jul14 Jun02 Apr13 (huet k)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
8  GRANDIOSELY Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 May05 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
CT-4   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY GET'N BETTER Sep30 Sep02 Aug18 Jun10 May19 (shanley timot)ADAMS L 111 20.00    
2  MOON SIGN Oct21 Oct06 Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 (pradenas )HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00    
3  GET OFF MY CLOUD Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 Aug03 Jul07 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
4  I SEE NOTHING Oct20 Oct13 Sep09 Aug17 Aug10 (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
5  LOVE MACHINE Oct19 Apr14 Mar24 Feb25 Feb05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AIR MEDAL Oct25 Oct07 Aug03 Jun22 Jun01 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Nov01 Oct14 Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
8  FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 (klesaris r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
9  MARCUS JUNIUS Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 (caiazzo corb)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50    
 
CT-5   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul26 (brooks gera)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
2  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Oct21 Oct07 May11 Apr20 Apr13 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
3  HUEY DUEY Oct19 Sep28 Sep03 Jul29 May29 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
4  ADIOS SEE YA Mar25 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
5  DANCIN IN DUBAI Oct21 Oct07 Sep22 Aug05 Jul28 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
6  POLITICAL DECISION Oct21 Oct13 Aug24 Aug13 Jul09 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BUBBA G Oct21 Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 Jun15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TRAPPE THE GOLD Oct21 Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 (dollinger-s)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
9  BRION May28 May19 Mar17 Feb12 Oct20 (johnson jamey)ADAMS L 115 5.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  VIOLENT ROCK Jul15 Jun23 Dec09 Dec02 Nov18 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 1.40    
 
CT-6   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OILER Oct27 Oct07 Sep15 Aug30 Aug12 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 3.50    
2  HE'S ON FIRE Oct12 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 Jul19 (mancilla )BOCACHICA J 113 6.00    
3  GABRIEL'S WING Oct28 Oct05 Mar05 Feb17 Jan14 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
4  BLUE N GOLD Sep29 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
5  MUD BUG Oct21 Sep30 Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
6  DREAM OF BLESSINGS Nov03 Sep15 Aug26 Jul29 Jul14 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
7  CHROME HEIR Oct21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 May05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
8  VOLIERO Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Jun22 Jun02 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   11/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST My Sister Pearl Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT SHADOW Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 123 4.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MALIBU KITTEN by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
2  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Oct14 Aug25 Jul22 Jun10 Apr13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ANY DAY NOW by OUT OF PLACE)
3  JUBASLILBALLERINA Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 (sigler g)LARROSA G 121 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  REVEIRS MINUTE Oct24 Oct14 Sep08 Aug19 Aug03 (hess jacob)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of SAYES COURT by PAYNES BAY)
5  LUCKY BLONDE Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of VAIN MAGICIAN by STREET MAGICIAN)
6  NO DENYING DENIS Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 121 6.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  SENECA ROCKS Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
8  AZZURRA Oct14 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 (barber c)MAWING A 123 20.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of WILD IN MANILA by WILD RUSH)
 
CT-8   11/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANNAHS RED RUBY Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 Jul13 Jun16 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 15.00    
SCR  WICKED SAUCY Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul20 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
3  CHANNEL SCENT Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 (mcgill sylv)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
4  HOLY HIP Oct21 Oct05 Sep22 Aug24 Jul28 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
SCR  CONNECTING FLIGHT Sep26 Aug25 Aug10 Jun17 May13 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.00    
6  CRIMSON LILLE Aug23 Jul05 Jun20 May25 May05 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 15.00    
7  HONEYCAMP Oct21 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
8  MARQUET CLASSIC Oct21 Sep14 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
9  HERECOMES SCARLETT Oct25 Oct05 Aug10 Jul29 Jul09 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 8% 11.40    
10  DIAL FOR LOVE Oct21 Oct09 Sep11 Aug23 Jun20 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
11  PUSH Oct19 Sep28 Sep06 Aug31 Aug18 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.80    
12  CHASING ARTEMIS Nov01 Oct21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.