Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Laurel Park
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (2/9/6/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $12.00 $2.00 20%
    EXA (2/9/6/4/8)-(2/9/6/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-9 $27.20 $7.20 36%
LRL-2   EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $43.20 $31.20 260%
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-3 $71.05 $59.05 492%
    SFT (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-6-3-7 $443.50 $419.50 1748%
    DD (2/9/6/4/8)-(5/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-5 $23.10 $3.10 16%
LRL-6   WIN (2/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $20.00 $12.00 150%
    EXA (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $44.30 $32.30 269%

Simulator Race results

 
LRL-1   10/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
See original race card.
:22 :444 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECLARATION TIME 4 3 3 33   1 11 (crook-demasi)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
PICO D'ORO 9 6 5 44   5 21 (russell b)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 24% 3.20 2.50 P
10  STORM TRAPPE 10 4 46 54   42 31 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 14.90  
PEJA DU 7 9 911 8   6 4 (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 120 8.00 16.60  
KOBE TOUGH 8 8 7 7   8 52 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
FUTURE PERFECT 2 1 2 2   32 62 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.50 28% 2.60 6.60  
CLASS WIZARD 6 5 8 9   9 7 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 18% 4.50 8.60  
SCIENCE (IRE) 5 7 68 6   7 8 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00 17.60  
PICKIN SEA GLASS 1 2 1 1   2 9 (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.00 3.00  
WHERESTHEPASSION 3 10 1012½ 10   10 106 (merced)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 55.60  
 
LRL-2   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT-12:56
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:01     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEPENDENT 5 1 1 1   13 1½ (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 27% 2.70 3.10 W
CLUCK CLUCK 6 2 2 2   23 2½ (cox kenneth)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00 9% 10.60 19.10 P
HARMONIZING 3 8 811¾ 610½   4 3 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.00 21% 3.80 2.70 S
G'S FIREBALL 7 5 5 5   3 4 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.40  
VERY SURE 8 9 912¾ 815½   711 55 (duarte jo)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 10.00  
CONFLUENCE LASSIE 9 6 4 4   6 6 (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00 16.80  
CLOUDY NIGHT 2 7 3 32   5 7 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 6.80  
SKIP THRU DA FIRE 4 3 7 714½   816 811½ (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 50.00 41.00  
VALLEY STAR 1 4 6 916   922 928¾ (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 13.40  
 
LRL-3   10/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 1:27
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPLE SHAKE SHAKE 6 8 7 6 5 1½ 1 (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 5.40  
KRONE 3 3 5 32 3 2½ 2 (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 15.00 13% 6.70 10.40 P
MAGIC IN THE PARK 8 4 42 5 4 4 3 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.00 18% 4.50 3.30 S
KEEP IT SWEET 4 6 6 7 7 6 4 (carango ant)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00 42.30  
WAY TOO EARLY 2 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 32 5 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.00 36% 1.80 1.30  
STORM CREED 7 7 8 810¾ 8 7 6 (parram a)RUIZ JORGE 122 50.00 50.20  
DUCHESS OF DESTIN 1 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 5 710¾ (breen j)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
ORIGAMI GIRL 5 5 32 4 6 811½ 821¼ (delgado jorge)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 7.50  
SCR  MEOW MEOW HISS               (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 2.50    
 
LRL-4   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL DREAMING 6 1 2½ 1½   1 1 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.50 53% 0.90 3.00 W
JOYA DEL SUR 8 2 4 2½   2 2 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.40 11% 7.90 0.90 P
VOODOO MAMA JUJU 1 8 7 610   510 310¾ (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 15.00 26.00  
LADRO DI FICHI 2 4 5 44   3 413¼ (rideout anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 8.00 6% 14.90 6.00  
MYSISTERNANCY 3 7 68 56   4 517½ (salzman e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00 14.50  
BLAME CATALAYA 7 3 814½ 816   614 617½ (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 3.50 6.90  
NEED A MARKER 4 5 3 34   715½ 737¾ (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 30.00 6% 17.20 24.10  
LOLA FLO 5 6 1½ 711   827½ 856¼ (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00 20.80  
 
LRL-5   10/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:13 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NEAT 8 4 2 21 21 1 1 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 13.30  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
ST JAMES THE GREAT 4 3 66 6 65 35 2 (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 6.70 P
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of THAT'S A LADY by CITY ZIP)
ROUNDTOP 3 7 7 7 7 67 3 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 66% 0.50 0.80 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of BOURBONESQUE by DYNAFORMER)
12  NEIL TO THE KING 9 5 55 53 5 5 4 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00 19.20  
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of STRAIGHT BLUES by STRAIGHT MAN)
10  SASSE'S CLASS 7 1 1 11 11 2 5 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
  (by TONALIST out of NO SATIS ACTION by ACTION THIS DAY)
13  GOODBYE NOTE 10 6 44 3 3 4 610 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 15.00 22.50  
  (by BLOFELD out of MADAM ALEX by NOT FOR LOVE)
ARIUS 5 2 33 4 4 7 712½ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00 5.00  
  (by GET STORMY out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
D MAJESTICAL 1 9 912 912 915½ 917½ 816½ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 4.50 9% 10.50 10.90  
  (by JUSTIFY out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
DATS MY PHARAOH 2 8 810½ 87 8 813½ 918½ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00 14.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRAFTY'S DREAM by BODEMEISTER)
MISTER AGENT 6 10 1016 1015½ 1018½ 1023½ 1023¼ (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 33.70  
  (by BLOFELD out of MISSY KIM by LOUIS QUATORZE)
SCR  CESNOLA               (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 122 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WAR OF THE STATES by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CITY LEADER               (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HAWKSMOOR by AZAMOUR)
SCR  GRAND KINGDOM               (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 30.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  LEGENDARY PHANTOM               (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  MORTAL SIN               (doran car)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GALADRIEL'S LIGHT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  REGALO               (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PERFECT BOURBON by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
LRL-6   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:131 1:262   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOTETHEMALLOUT 6 1 53 55 6 4 1½ (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 8% 12.20 9.00 W
ALOTTACENTS 1 8 89 6 2½ 12 2½ (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 123 1.60 31% 2.20 2.80 P
LONG LIVE NOW 3 7 77 88 7 6 31 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 8.20  
SWAY'SINMYDNA 5 3 31 3 3½ 32 4 (serey j)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00 6.60  
FEDERAL OFFENSE 4 5 2nk 2½ 4¾ 22 5 (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 126 6.00 17% 4.90 3.70  
10  MINEOLA MIKE 8 2 4 4 5 5 6 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 126 10.00 4.40  
I RUN 2 6 1nk 1½ 1½ 7 711 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00 14% 6.10 3.90  
MOON SIGN 7 4 65 7 8 814½ 842 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00 35.50  
SCR  IMPROPER               (sanchez-salom)CHAVEZ ANDRES 112 4.50    
SCR  SPIRITUAL GHOST               (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00    
 
LRL-7   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:133 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HAPPY CAT 8 2 12 11 11 13 1¾ (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 2.60  
WICKED SECRET 3 8 7 8 86 67 2¾ (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00 8.30  
CROSSLAND 5 4 6 5 34 3 31 (hohlbein kerry)BOYCE FOREST 122 30.00 52.80  
VICTORS VALIANT 2 1 32 21 21 23 4 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 15.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
OPPOSITES ATTRACT 1 7 8 7 7 57 52 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.00 7% 13.40 7.00  
BASSANIO (GB) 4 6 54 6 44 4 6 (delacour )CARRASCO R 126 3.00 65% 0.50 1.90  
JOLLY BY GOLLY 7 5 4 3 6 79 7 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 6.80  
11  WIRED IN 9 3 22 4 5 8 87 (white alexa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00 31.10  
SHERIFF RONNIE 6 9 9 9 912 917¼ 917½ (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 6% 15.00 8.80  
SCR  MALIBU RUMBLE               (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO               (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.50    
SCR  STORMING CHROME               (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 2.00    
SCR  WRECKING BALL               (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
 
LRL-8   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARADISE PRIDE 7 3 1½ 1½ 12 1 1 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.20 0.60  
HANALEI'S HOUDINI 6 1 6 5 3 33 2 (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00 22% 3.50 11.70 P
CHARGE TO VICTORY 3 2 33 33 22 2 3 (howard da)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 32% 2.20 3.90 S
BAHAMA CHANNEL 1 7 45 4 55 46 45 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00 14.90  
SHOOT THEMESSENGER 4 6 56 66 67 58 57 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00 20.60  
OXIDE 5 4 710½ 710 711 713 611½ (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 15.00 8.30  
BRASSTOWN 2 5 2½ 2½ 44 69 713 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 5.00 21% 3.80 6.90  
SCR  ACE NINE NINE               (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00    
SCR  TOUCH CODE               (troxell kristi)PEREZ XAVIER 126 30.00    
 
LRL-9   10/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:213 :443 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  NEW ROME 10 7 99 88   2nk 1 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 4.70  
MOLLIE TAPPER 6 10 1011 1010   6 2 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 18.10  
MORGS WORLD 1 3 89 6   8 3 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.00 20% 4.10 2.20 S
GIFT OF GAB 5 2 2½ 23   3½ 44 (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 119 10.00 6% 16.30 8.80  
GIRLS HOUSE 4 4 4 45   4 5 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 15.00 16.90  
COMEDY ACT 7 8 7 99   9 6 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
LADY SERENITY 2 1 1½ 13   1nk 7 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 116 15.00 19.40  
CLOUDS OF WHITE 3 9 34 35   7 8 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 13% 7.00 4.30  
11  SWEET SHUGS 9 6 6 5   5 9 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 8.00 17.10  
10  PATRIA 8 5 55 7   1010¼ 1017¼ (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 41% 1.40 5.90  
SCR  EVERLYS GIRL               (jacobson david)TBA 123 1.40    
SCR  GATITA SUAVE               (sanchez-sa)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 6.00    
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS               (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00    
 
LRL-10   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANCY MADE MY DAY 5 2 2nk 2nk   11 1¾ (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00 27.20  
ONE WAY FARRIOR 7 6 4 3   32 2¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 56% 0.80 1.00 P
BUCKIN' DREAMER 4 3 1nk 1nk   21 3 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 6.00 3.30  
MINIMO 2 5 5 55   5 4 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 7% 12.90 3.80  
AVES MAKIN' WAVES 1 1 3 43   4 5 (martin f)ROSADO JOHAN 122 12.00 22.40  
THENAME OF THEGAME 3 4 6 68   6 6 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 14% 6.00 8.40  
R B TOOK THE ODDS 6 7 715¼ 720   729½ 746 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 7.40  
SCR  COUNT DADDY               (howard davi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00    
SCR  CUCHULAIN               (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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