The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.80 -6.00
CT-2   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
CT-3   Win (4/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $3.80 -8.00
CT-4   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.60 -6.00
CT-5   Win (3/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
CT-6   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
CT-7   Win (8/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
CT-8   Win (2/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.80 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:223 :472       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER TAKES TIME 3 5 5     41¾ (barber dona)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 1.40  
CHARITABLE WINDSOR 5 4 4     31 2¾ (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 2.30  
ABENDEGO 2 3 1nk     1nk 3(greaves vernon)REAP E 122 4.50 8.10  
JEFFERSON SECURITY 1 6 66     546 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 122 3.50 19% 4.40 6.80  
ELEANORS JACK 6 2 2nk     2nk 5(jackson angelo )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 33% 2.10 3.50  
HE'S ON THE LINE 4 1 3½     67 620¼ (racanelli j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 12% 7.50 21.30  
 
CT-2   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:30
:223 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BAYTOWN 6 2 11     11(mcentee paul)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 0.60 60% 0.70 0.50 W
MIDCENTURY MODERN 2 3 4     32(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 14.50  
RAGAZZA MIA 4 6 68     53(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 12% 7.10 4.20 S
KAPADOKYA 7 1 21     24(moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.50 5.30  
P B FOXY 5 5 54     46 5(venham d)BATISTA C 120 15.00 18.60  
FUZZY WUZZY 3 4 3     611½ 622¾ (mcclure l)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00 24.60  
BAYTOWN RINGER 1 7 722     719½ 724¼ (mcentee paul)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6% 16.30 19.40  
 
CT-3   10/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:242 :491 1:142     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHMEAR 5 5 54 4   1nk 1(viands r)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 0.90  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 1 1 12 1½   2nk 2(sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
PERSONAL FINANCE 8 8 33 31   3½ 35 (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 35.90  
SURF CITY GOLD 3 6 65 5   54(mckenzie daniel )ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 12.00  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 6 3 22 2½   458 (deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 15.00 10.40  
LOVE MACHINE 7 7 8 8   68 6(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 22% 3.50 5.40  
MISS YOU AJAX 4 4 7 6   710 7(knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 51% 1.00 3.90  
STILL THE ONE 2 2 43 7   820 821 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 63.30  
SCR  GLORIOUS MAHOMES               (dilodovico r)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
 
CT-4   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
:22 :453       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUEY DUEY 6 1 1     13 11 (comi w)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 2.80  
FROGGY THE GREMLIN 4 2 3     23 21 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.30 P
CAJUN FUN 5 3 5     59 3(collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 6.10  
DOC ELM 3 5 4     49 4(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 23% 3.30 3.40  
SKY OF GOLD 2 6 613     613½ 5(atkins willia)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
BIG BALLOONS 1 4 2     38 6(jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 7.30  
 
CT-5   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
:242 :49 1:151     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKETABILITY 3 9 7 4   311 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.60 42% 1.40 1.60 W
WAGER WORTHY 7 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 21 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 3.60 P
ADABEL 6 4 32 3.2   2nk 3(garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 20.00 37.40  
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 2 2 6 6   44(shanley tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 14.60  
LIGHTFOOT MISS 9 6 5 5   55(racanelli j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
SO RED THE ROSE 5 3 8 9   86(obed-letts keturah)MAWING A 122 20.00 47.50  
CONNOISSEUR 8 7 1nk 2nk   65 7(shanley timothy)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5.20  
DANCE LIGHTLY 1 1 43 7   7810½ (stahlin john)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 70.90  
MISS BETTE LUTE 4 8 9 8   910½ 920¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 1.80 36% 1.80 2.60  
 
CT-6   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
:25 :50 1:161 1:441   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 2 2 3 3 3 11 1¼ (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 16% 5.40 2.00 W
CICI UNIFIED 6 4 5 515½ 512½ 52 2¼ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 5.40  
URKILLINGMEBETH 3 3 47 414½ 4 33(walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 57% 0.70 2.00 S
ONEPRETTYTHING 1 1 12 1 2nk 42 47 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00 58.60  
MISS WILD 4 6 22 2 1nk 21 5(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 4.50  
CHINA CAT 5 5 612½ 720 619 611 617½ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 4.60  
UPSY DAISY DO 7 7 713½ 620 720 720 729 (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 38.00  
 
CT-7   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
:221 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANTOM QUEEN 8 1 1nk     1½ 13 (greaves ver)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 40% 1.50 1.60 W
GHOST OF ALCINA 3 8 710     723 (greaves verno)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10 P
XTENDED STREAK 2 6 63     53(lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 7.90  
ESSENTIAL MAGIC 1 7 3     31 44 (brown w)ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.50 2.80  
LIL BOUGIE 6 3 2nk     2½ 5(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 17% 5.00 7.50  
OUR GREAT NOTION 5 4 5     46(grams c)CHILO MAXIMO 118 8.00 7.80  
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS 4 5 42     675 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 17% 4.80 5.20  
LAURA'S GRAND 7 2 810½     816¾ 817¾ (pyke joseph)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 52.60  
 
CT-8   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
:223 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD PUNCH 3 7 6     31¼ (armstrong bus)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 6.00 4.40  
RAISE A RUCKUS 4 4 1nk     12¼ (grams c)REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 14.00  
DOG TOWN ALLEN 7 2 2nk     23(harrison glenn)MARRERO CARLOS 121 6.00 11.00  
LORD CLANCY 8 1 5     54(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 3.00 21% 3.70 0.80  
J. WICK 1 6 3.2     454 (brown w)ROJAS MARTINA 116 1.80 55% 0.80 3.30  
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 6 5 7     76(racanelli m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 63.60  
MYLASHURRAH 2 8 8     67(collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
NEEDNOEXPLANATION 5 3 4¼     8813¾ (bowman d)ADAMS L 117 15.00 13.10  
SCR  GETTIN SPICY               (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.