Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-5   EXA (3/4/9)-(3/4/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $12.60 $3.60 40%
CT-6   DD (3/4/9)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-2 $23.40 $5.40 30%
CT-7   EXA (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $26.80 $14.80 123%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :472       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER TAKES TIME 3 5 5     4 1¾ (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 1.40  
CHARITABLE WINDSOR 5 4 4     31 2¾ (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 2.30  
ABENDEGO 2 3 1nk     1nk 3 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 4.50 8.10  
JEFFERSON SECURITY 1 6 66     5 46 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50 19% 4.40 6.80  
ELEANORS JACK 6 2 2nk     2nk 5 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 33% 2.10 3.50  
HE'S ON THE LINE 4 1 3½     67 620¼ (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 12% 7.50 21.30  
 
CT-2   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:223 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BAYTOWN 6 2 11     1 1 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 0.60 60% 0.70 0.50 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TIZASONG by TIZNOW)
MIDCENTURY MODERN 2 3 4     3 2 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 14.50  
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEOPATTY by CAIRO PRINCE)
RAGAZZA MIA 4 6 68     5 3 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 12% 7.10 4.20 S
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
KAPADOKYA 7 1 21     2 4 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.50 5.30  
  (by GET STORMY out of THREE HALOS by LIAISON)
P B FOXY 5 5 54     46 5 (venham d)BATISTA C 120 15.00 18.60  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of POSEIDON'S BLUFF by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
FUZZY WUZZY 3 4 3     611½ 622¾ (mcclure diana )ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00 24.60  
  (by PALACE out of DUN IN ONE by DUNKIRK)
BAYTOWN RINGER 1 7 722     719½ 724¼ (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6% 16.30 19.40  
  (by DIALED IN out of PURELY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
CT-3   10/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHMEAR 5 5 54 4   1nk 1 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 0.90  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 1 1 12 1½   2nk 2 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
PERSONAL FINANCE 8 8 33 31   3½ 35 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 35.90  
SURF CITY GOLD 3 6 65 5   5 4 (mckenzie danie)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 12.00  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 6 3 22 2½   4 58 (deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 15.00 10.40  
LOVE MACHINE 7 7 8 8   68 6 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 22% 3.50 5.40  
MISS YOU AJAX 4 4 7 6   710 7 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 51% 1.00 3.90  
STILL THE ONE 2 2 43 7   820 821 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 63.30  
SCR  GLORIOUS MAHOMES               (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
 
CT-4   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:22 :453       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUEY DUEY 6 1 1     13 11 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 2.80  
FROGGY THE GREMLIN 4 2 3     23 21 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.30 P
CAJUN FUN 5 3 5     59 3 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 6.10  
DOC ELM 3 5 4     49 4 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 23% 3.30 3.40  
SKY OF GOLD 2 6 613     613½ 5 (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
BIG BALLOONS 1 4 2     38 6 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 7.30  
 
CT-5   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:151     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKETABILITY 3 9 7 4   3 11 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.60 42% 1.40 1.60 W
WAGER WORTHY 7 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 21 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 3.60 P
ADABEL 6 4 32 3.2   2nk 3 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 20.00 37.40  
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 2 2 6 6   4 4 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 14.60  
LIGHTFOOT MISS 9 6 5 5   5 5 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
SO RED THE ROSE 5 3 8 9   8 6 (obed-letts ketur)MAWING A 122 20.00 47.50  
CONNOISSEUR 8 7 1nk 2nk   65 7 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5.20  
DANCE LIGHTLY 1 1 43 7   7 810½ (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 70.90  
MISS BETTE LUTE 4 8 9 8   910½ 920¾ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 1.80 36% 1.80 2.60  
 
CT-6   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:161 1:441   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 2 2 3 3 3 11 1¼ (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 16% 5.40 2.00 W
CICI UNIFIED 6 4 5 515½ 512½ 52 2¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 5.40  
URKILLINGMEBETH 3 3 47 414½ 4 3 3 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 57% 0.70 2.00 S
ONEPRETTYTHING 1 1 12 1 2nk 42 47 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00 58.60  
MISS WILD 4 6 22 2 1nk 21 5 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 4.50  
CHINA CAT 5 5 612½ 720 619 611 617½ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 4.60  
UPSY DAISY DO 7 7 713½ 620 720 720 729 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 38.00  
 
CT-7   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:221 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANTOM QUEEN 8 1 1nk     1½ 13 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 40% 1.50 1.60 W
GHOST OF ALCINA 3 8 710     7 23 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10 P
XTENDED STREAK 2 6 63     5 3 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 7.90  
ESSENTIAL MAGIC 1 7 3     31 44 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.50 2.80  
LIL BOUGIE 6 3 2nk     2½ 5 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 17% 5.00 7.50  
OUR GREAT NOTION 5 4 5     4 6 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 118 8.00 7.80  
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS 4 5 42     6 75 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 17% 4.80 5.20  
LAURA'S GRAND 7 2 810½     816¾ 817¾ (pyke joseph)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 52.60  
 
CT-8   10/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:223 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD PUNCH 3 7 6     3 1¼ (armstrong b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 6.00 4.40  
RAISE A RUCKUS 4 4 1nk     1 2¼ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 14.00  
DOG TOWN ALLEN 7 2 2nk     2 3 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 121 6.00 11.00  
LORD CLANCY 8 1 5     5 4 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 3.00 21% 3.70 0.80  
J. WICK 1 6 3.2     4 54 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 116 1.80 55% 0.80 3.30  
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 6 5 7     7 6 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 63.60  
MYLASHURRAH 2 8 8     6 7 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
NEEDNOEXPLANATION 5 3 4¼     8 813¾ (bowman d)ADAMS L 117 15.00 13.10  
SCR  GETTIN SPICY               (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.