The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - November 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
PEN-2   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.40 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
PEN-4   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $50.20 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
PEN-6   Win (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
PEN-7   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.20 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
:224 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI HEAT 5 3 2nk 1½   15 1(salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 10% 9.20 1.40 W
CHASIN' WHISKEY 1 4 31 31   25 2(arnold pamela)CORA D 121 15.00 35.40  
WARRIOR AT BAT 7 1 4 2½   3312¼ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.50 54% 0.90 6.00 S
WORK FROM HOME 6 6 6 54   4412½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 26.10  
BIG SMILE 8 8 7 7   712 514 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 2.10  
DRAMA KEY 3 7 8 8   611½ 614 (graci a)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
POLIE 4 5 5 65   510½ 715¾ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00 21.30  
CHUCK ADAMS 2 2 1nk 44   812½ 821¾ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 4.10  
 
PEN-2   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
:222 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILIMANJARA 4 4 21 2nk   1nk 13 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 3.50 1.70  
NEWSDLEY 6 1 11 1nk   2nk 23 (sinnefia paul)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 40% 1.50 2.30 P
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 1 2 31 3   33(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 12% 7.30 4.10 S
JACK'S LILLY 3 5 67 55   54(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 6.00 10.00  
SEVEN YEARS LATER 2 6 5 6   6512¼ (nicholson junio)TORRES WESLEY 120 8.00 32.30  
MOONSAFE 5 3 43 44   4614½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 18% 4.40 3.40  
 
PEN-3   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 3 4 43   31 1nk (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 27% 2.70 2.00 W
JUMPMASTER 1 7 63 6   42nk (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 15% 5.80 2.10 P
GRAB THE GOLD 6 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 3(kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 7.40  
YES SIR ROBERT 7 6 31 3   53 44 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 26% 2.90 3.90  
SPIKES SHIRL 4 2 1½ 2nk   2½ 5(ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00 17.30  
LIVE FIRE 5 5 53 5   66(mcclellan eri)INIRIO J 120 4.50 7.10  
INSTIGATED 3 1 7 7   77(moysey chels)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 10.00 18.10  
SCR  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN               (moreno tito)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
:222 :463 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE ME LUCKY 2 4 4 3   1nk 1(stites willia)INIRIO J 124 12.00 24.10  
SHARP STYLE 4 6 710¼ 6   43 2(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 12.00  
WILD VINE 3 7 6 43   535 (stites flin)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.50 65% 0.50 0.80 S
NECCO 6 1 1nk 1½   2nk 45 (murtough stephe)DIAZ VLADIMIR 117 5.00 25.70 DH
BROKENHEARTED 7 3 3.2 2½   31 45 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60 1.20 DH
BOOK RUNNER 1 5 5 75   66(salinas jose)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
UNCLE GEORGY 5 2 2nk 53   7713¾ (meister s)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 13% 6.80 17.80  
 
PEN-5   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOURING MARYANNE 4 1 1½ 1nk   111 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.00 60% 0.70 0.50 W
STASSI 2 3 3 31   321 (arnold pamela)CORA D 119 3.50 5.10  
PACHELBEL 1 2 5 44   44 3(servis john)RODRIGUEZ R 119 10.00 6.40  
FREYDIS 3 4 2½ 2nk   24(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.00 5.40  
MORGANS COVE 5 5 4 5   55(geist w)INIRIO J 119 8.00 13% 6.70 8.00  
SCR  CHAPA               (arnold pame)VARGAS L 121 2.50    
 
PEN-6   11/03/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
:234 :481 1:133 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT STRIKES 5 1 2 43 44 21 1nk (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.40 0.90 W
JACK SLYE 2 3 1 1 11 11 2nk (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 21% 3.70 4.00 P
EL POLICIA 1 6 43 3 31 32 3(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 3.40  
MONEYONTHELINE 4 4 56 5 5 43 47 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 3.00 6.20  
STREET LAMP 6 2 32 2 21 55(sillaman richard)TORRES JOMAR 115 6.00 25% 3.00 7.10  
LONG TOM 3 5 69 6 6 6610¼ (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 55.20  
SCR  BUFF AND SHINE               (salinas )SMITH DANIEL 115 15.00    
 
PEN-7   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
:224 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMOLOGICAL 2 4 3 43   2½ 1½ (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 1.10  
LITTLE DOYLE 7 3 2 21   3½ 2½ (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 6.30  
BEA BEA KAZ 1 5 53 32   43(synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 15% 5.50 3.70 S
UPTOWN SERAPHINA 6 1 1 11   1½ 43 (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 4.00 13.80  
THROWBACK 4 2 4 5   55 5(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 12% 7.10 6.90  
LADYNESS 5 7 7 7   66(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 9.60  
MADI'S TUNE 3 6 6 6   777 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 42% 1.40 8.30  
SCR  LUCKY BREEZE               (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.