Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(6/5/1)-(2/8/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(2/8/1)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(3/5/1)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/6)-(7/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(7/5/2)-(4/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASIN' WHISKEY Oct26 Oct03 Sep15     (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 15.00    
2  CHUCK ADAMS         (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 ★    
3  DRAMA KEY Oct26 Sep15       (graci a)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  POLIE Oct10 Sep27 Aug25 Aug09   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00    
5  CALI HEAT Sep30 Aug13       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 10% 9.20    
6  WORK FROM HOME Sep13 Aug19       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
7  WARRIOR AT BAT Sep06         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
8  BIG SMILE         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50    
 
PEN-2   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 12% 7.30    
2  SEVEN YEARS LATER Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 Jul18 (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 120 8.00    
3  JACK'S LILLY Oct20 Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 6.00    
4  KILIMANJARA Oct24 Sep21 Aug09 Jul07 Jun19 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 3.50    
5  MOONSAFE Jul14 Jun21 May31 May06 Mar02 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
6  NEWSDLEY Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 Jun20 Jun02 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-3   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPMASTER Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May17 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
2  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Sep20 Aug02 Jul07 Jun15 May18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 Jul24 Jun28 (moreno ti)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
4  INSTIGATED Oct21 Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00    
5  SPIKES SHIRL Sep15 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 May17 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00    
6  LIVE FIRE Oct07 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jul03 (mcclellan e)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
7  GRAB THE GOLD Sep20 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
8  YES SIR ROBERT Sep20 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-4   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK RUNNER Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 Jun29 (salinas jose)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAKE ME LUCKY Sep22         (stites will)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
3  WILD VINE Sep15 Feb08 Dec21     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 1.50 65% 0.50    
4  SHARP STYLE Sep22 Jan25 Jan13     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
5  UNCLE GEORGY         (meister s)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 13% 6.80    
6  NECCO May19 Apr21 Mar24 Feb08 Dec21 (murtough step)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
7  BROKENHEARTED May03 Apr14 Mar17 Feb11   (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60    
 
PEN-5   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACHELBEL Oct10 Aug30 Jun21 Jun02 Oct24 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 10.00    
2  STASSI Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 May31 (arnold pamela)CORA D 119 3.50    
3  FREYDIS Oct24 Oct11 Sep26 Aug24 Feb23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.00    
SCR  CHAPA Sep22 Aug24 Aug03     (arnold pa)VARGAS L 121 2.50    
5  TOURING MARYANNE Oct16 Sep19 Aug25 Aug03 Jul03 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
6  MORGANS COVE Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 (geist david)INIRIO J 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
PEN-6   11/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL POLICIA Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul06 Apr01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
2  JACK SLYE Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  LONG TOM Oct25 Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00    
4  MONEYONTHELINE Sep20 Sep06 Jan13 Oct28 Oct07 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 3.00    
5  MIDNIGHT STRIKES Oct27 Oct07 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  BUFF AND SHINE Oct16 Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 (salina)SMITH DANIEL 115 15.00    
7  STREET LAMP Oct12 Sep28 Aug27 Oct28 Sep25 (sillaman rich)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-7   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY BREEZE Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 Aug29 Jul04 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 122 30.00    
2  BEA BEA KAZ Aug08 Jul19 Jun18 May19 Jan20 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  COSMOLOGICAL Sep21 Sep08 Aug21 Aug04 Jun30 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
4  MADI'S TUNE Sep21 Sep08 Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
5  THROWBACK Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep04 Jul08 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  LADYNESS Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
7  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Sep21 Aug31 Aug08 Jul07 Jun16 (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 4.00    
8  LITTLE DOYLE Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug28 Jul30 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.