The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
MVR-2   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $2.60 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (6/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
MVR-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
MVR-5   Win (1/3/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -3.00
MVR-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (4/6/11/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $33.20 -10.00
MVR-8   Win (2/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -5.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :482       1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN IN ROME 3 6 44 5   4¼ 1(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 40% 1.50 2.60 W
WILDERZAR 4 1 55 3½   2nk 2(wilson jr)BRACHO A 124 3.00 13% 6.50 4.00 P
QUESTION MARK 2 4 22 2nk   1nk 3(gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 8.10  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 6 5 3 1nk   3.2 45 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 24% 3.20 0.60  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 1 3 12 4¾   5512¼ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00 45.70  
KATZ ULTIMO 5 2 6 6   611¼ 627½ (gotera juan)GONZALEZ J 119 20.00 81.20  
SCR  HEART OF AN ANGEL               (rettele richar)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE FIGHTER               (villa francisco)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:151 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY 1 3 1½ 1½ 1 16 116¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 0.30  
MAUREENLOVESFRANK 4 1 32 3 2 26 216¾ (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 26% 2.90 8.70 P
POLYESTER BRIDE 6 5 66 66 55 4317¼ (poole c)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80 S
ANIPPE 2 4 2½ 2½ 34 3418¾ (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 35% 1.90 6.50  
BACKSPLASH 3 6 4 4 45 58 521¾ (mahan joseph )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 12.70  
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 5 2 5 5 6 614 640¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 37.90  
 
MVR-3   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUANTUM THEORY 6 7 5 5   2½ 14 (bernardin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 41% 1.50 3.10 W
UNCAPTURED LYON 5 6 4 42   31 24 (erdel john)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00 7.40  
CONSIDER ME 4 3 2½ 1   1½ 34 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 2.70  
ON HIS TOES 1 9 9 9   64(londono )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 8% 11.80 6.10  
SILVER MATT 8 8 7 6   43 5(rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 4.90  
SEEING RED 9 1 8 8   76(pappada julie )ROSARIO L 122 4.00 13% 6.60 7.50  
ARMOR PIERCING 3 2 6 7   8713¾ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 122 5.00 9% 9.60 19.80  
SECOND TO NO ONE 7 4 31 3   53 815¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 10.50  
ESTILO CLASICO 2 5 1½ 2   9921¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00 29.90  
 
MVR-4   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:152 1:433   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY ROAN 3 2 3 32 5 51½ (sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 51% 1.00 2.20 W
KING SOCIAL 2 6 5 5 4 1nk 2½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 2.60  
MASTER 6 1 1 12 1nk 2nk 33 (casalinova ti)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 15.00  
RUBINSTEIN 1 4 6 22 3 4¾ 4(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 4.50  
LUCKY SMILE 4 7 7 7 7 65(gomez alejand)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 14% 6.20 3.00  
FISHING FOR FUN 7 3 2 4 2nk 3½ 6(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 8% 11.60 11.40  
DUEL FUEL 5 5 4 6 6 777 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 12.90  
 
MVR-5   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:002     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BOY BOOGIE 4 5 1 13   11(romero oscar)DIAZ I 122 10.00 13% 6.90 2.50 W
CONSTITUTION COAL 8 4 2 23   22(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 8.00 6% 14.80 4.00 P
BIG TIME FLIRT 9 1 3 38   336 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 56.40  
WHISKEY HELPS 5 10 1013¼ 817   613 411 (salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.50 6.70  
GOOD MUSIC 3 7 68 413   412 511½ (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 7.60  
NOSEY POWER 2 8 7 716   713½ 612¼ (spiess shane )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 60.50  
CHILTEPIN 7 3 57 615½   513 716¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 10.50  
BUCKEYE CHARLIE 1 9 912¾ 921   816 817½ (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 4.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
10  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 10 2 47 513½   916¼ 927½ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 60.80  
YOU'RE OUT 6 6 812½ 1026   1021¼ 1034 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 14.20  
 
MVR-6   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:153 1:294   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAWN 1 6 614½ 618½ 45 24 11 (mackey wayne)BRACHO A 124 6.00 1.20  
HONORABLE WOMAN 2 5 2nk 11 12 14 21 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.60 50% 1.00 1.60 P
SICILIAN STYLE TWO 4 3 1nk 21 22 338 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 14% 6.10 4.10 S
HIGH FASHION LADY 5 4 47 4 3 4415¼ (morzan javier)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 12% 7.00 10.10  
LADY GIULIANA 3 1 3 38 5 511 522½ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 122 12.00 11.00  
LITTLE EMPIRE 6 2 511 515½ 610½ 614 623¼ (reust megan)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 34.80  
SCR  FULL TIME STRUTIN               (gonzalez donac)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
 
MVR-7   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Ohio Debutante Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:153 1:441   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY LADY 1 5 9 8 6 2½ 1(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 10.00 15.60  
AUNT BEE 6 11 7 53 3½ 1½ 2(ginter jr)AVILES YAN 118 4.50 16% 5.40 7.80 P
11  NEAR PERFECT 11 8 8 64 5 33(gorham m)DIAZ I 116 10.00 11% 8.40 3.10 S
13  KETTLE KISS 13 9 11 9 9 647 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 5.50  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 9 12 1312¾ 13 11 857 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 12.00 18.80  
EXPRESS FASHION 2 3 5 32 7 53 611¼ (meyers shane)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 15.00 5% 19.00 59.20  
DIVA POWER 4 2 2 2 2nk 4715¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 46% 1.20 1.70  
SARAH JANE 3 1 1 1 1nk 9818¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00 ######  
LOFTY COWTOWN 8 7 3 4 4¾ 7920¾ (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 25.30  
10  STAR RULES 10 13 12 10 10 101021 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 10.00 35.80  
GOODNESS SAKES 5 4 4 74 8 111123¾ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00 62.90  
12  CHILLVILLE 12 10 10 11 1210½ 1213¾ 1234¼ (lopez jacinto)VELEZ J 120 30.00 ######  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 7 6 65 12 1315 1318¾ 1343¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
 
MVR-8   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL DIRECT 2 4 2½ 13   11(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 52% 0.90 0.10 W
ROMANIAN PRINCE 7 2 3 33   22(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 14.60 P
GUNNER GABRIEL 1 6 1½ 23   338 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 19% 4.40 5.40 S
BLUE NOMORE 9 1 6 49   410 410 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 8% 11.80 28.90  
ATLAS FALLS 4 10 7 612½   512½ 510¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 14.50  
A VAN ON THE RUN 5 7 812¼ 714   615½ 616¼ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 8.00 35.60  
GRAY TORMENTOR 8 9 912¾ 814½   716½ 717 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 ######  
NOAH MY BABY 6 3 4 511½   821½ 838¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 ######  
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 3 5 5 919½   928½ 953¾ (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 85.60  
10  ITSMYLUCKYPAL 10 8 1015¾ 1024½   1032½ 1054¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.