Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(2/4/6)-(6/9/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/9/3/1)-(3/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/3/1)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/1)-(3/4/7)-(1/3/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(1/3/4/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(1/3/4/8/2)-(2/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (1/3/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/8/2)-(1/3/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/8/2)-(1/3/4/8/2)-(1/3/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/4/8/2)-(2/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/8/2)-(2/4/5)-(4/6/11/7/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/6/11/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/6/11/7/2)-(2/1/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/6/11/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/11/7/2)-(4/6/11/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/11/7/2)-(4/6/11/7/2)-(4/6/11/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/11/7/2)-(2/1/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/6)-(2/1/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/6)-(2/1/9/7/6)-(2/1/9/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Nov02 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00    
2  QUESTION MARK Nov05         (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE FIGHTER Oct31 Sep30 Sep05 Aug20   (villa francisco)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00    
4  WHEN IN ROME Nov02 Jun20 Jun06 Mar20 Feb07 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  WILDERZAR Nov09 Oct30 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (wilson david )BRACHO A 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
6  KATZ ULTIMO Nov05         (gotera ju)GONZALEZ J 119 20.00    
7  ROYAL AIR FORCE Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 Jun17 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 24% 3.20    
SCR  HEART OF AN ANGEL Nov02 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY ROYALITY Oct31 Oct10 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60    
2  ANIPPE Oct25 Oct09 Sep26 Aug22 Aug07 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  BACKSPLASH Oct25 Sep25 Sep05 Aug21 Jul27 (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00    
4  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 Aug13 Jul26 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
5  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Oct21 Sep25 Aug17 Jul10 Jun01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
6  POLYESTER BRIDE Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug13 Jul18 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON HIS TOES Nov02 Oct16 Oct05 Aug31 Aug15 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
2  ESTILO CLASICO Nov09 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep01 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00    
3  ARMOR PIERCING Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul10 Jun06 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
4  CONSIDER ME Nov02 Oct22 Sep21 May29 May09 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
5  UNCAPTURED LYON Nov02 Oct09 Sep21 Aug21 Jul11 (erdel john)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00    
6  QUANTUM THEORY Nov02 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul16 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
7  SECOND TO NO ONE Nov01 Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 Jul11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
8  SILVER MATT Nov02 Jul11 Jun11 May24 May08 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
9  SEEING RED Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 May11 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-4   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBINSTEIN Nov01 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 Jul22 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
2  KING SOCIAL Oct18 Sep28 Sep11 Aug16 Jul15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00    
3  WHISKEY ROAN Oct31 Aug03 Jun15 May27 Apr29 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  LUCKY SMILE Nov08 Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 Aug22 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  DUEL FUEL Oct31 Oct21 Sep27 Jun06 May16 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
6  MASTER Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 (casalinova )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
7  FISHING FOR FUN Oct31 Oct04 Sep13 Aug22 Jul31 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
MVR-5   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE CHARLIE Oct25 Mar30 Mar01 Feb09   (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  NOSEY POWER Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOOD MUSIC Sep18 Aug31 Jul31 Jul06 May29 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  BAD BOY BOOGIE Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
5  WHISKEY HELPS Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug01 Jul15 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.50    
6  YOU'RE OUT Oct25 Sep28 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
7  CHILTEPIN Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 Aug30 Aug12 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
8  CONSTITUTION COAL Oct22 Sep29 Sep21 Jul06 Jun02 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
9  BIG TIME FLIRT Oct02 Sep14 Aug22 Jun12 Apr24 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
10  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Sep28 Sep18 Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAWN Sep28 Jul05 Jun10 Oct30 Sep18 (mackey wayne)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
2  HONORABLE WOMAN Nov07 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jun17 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
3  LADY GIULIANA Oct31 Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 Jul20 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 122 12.00    
4  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Aug23 Aug01 Jul10 Jun14 Jun07 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
5  HIGH FASHION LADY Oct31 Oct01 Aug11 Feb08 Dec30 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 12% 7.00    
SCR  FULL TIME STRUTIN Nov07 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 (gonzalez don)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
7  LITTLE EMPIRE Sep14 Sep05 Jul11 May25 Dec08 (reust mega)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   11/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ohio Debutante Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY LADY Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
2  EXPRESS FASHION Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 May06 (meyers shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
3  SARAH JANE Oct28 Sep22 Sep11 Aug30 Aug21 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of HEBREW SONG by DIXIE UNION)
4  DIVA POWER Oct28 Oct02 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MY GIRL CASSIE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  GOODNESS SAKES Oct25 Sep22 Aug18 Aug06 May11 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
6  AUNT BEE Oct05 Sep22 Aug12 Mar14 Mar02 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SILKY SAMI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
7  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Oct21 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Jul17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of KIMCHI by LANGFUHR)
8  LOFTY COWTOWN Oct23 Sep22 Aug24 Aug01 Jul05 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOFTY LIZZY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Oct23 Oct03 Sep22 Aug21 Jul27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COPPER ROSE by UNBRIDLED)
10  STAR RULES Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 May20 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 10.00    
  (by MOBIL out of STAR OF ATTICUS by ATTICUS)
11  NEAR PERFECT Oct21 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by MOBIL out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
12  CHILLVILLE Oct23 Oct12 Sep26 Aug24 Aug10 (lopez jacinto)VELEZ J 120 30.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of KELLVILLE by PETIONVILLE)
13  KETTLE KISS Oct23 Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 Jun30 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 5.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
 
MVR-8   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNER GABRIEL         (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  DIAL DIRECT Oct28 Oct12       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by DIALED IN out of KISSY SUZUKI by SUMMER BIRD)
3  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Oct12         (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
4  ATLAS FALLS         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN         (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  NOAH MY BABY Oct31 Oct12       (poole m)BRACHO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
7  ROMANIAN PRINCE Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
8  GRAY TORMENTOR Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
9  BLUE NOMORE Oct31         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 8% 11.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
10  ITSMYLUCKYPAL Oct12         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of PALSY WALSY by LONHRO (AUS))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.