The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Fort Erie
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.00 -4.00
FE-2   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
FE-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $11.90 $11.90 5.90
FE-4   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $16.30 -6.00
FE-5   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
FE-6   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
FE-7   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $29.50 -6.00
FE-8   Win (2/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
FE-9   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:224 :454       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  I LIVE BY FAITH 3 2 21 1nk   11 11¼ (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 2.50  
5  ROLLING HILLS 5 4 52½ 3½   21 21¼ (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 4.00 3.10  
4  JUSTIN'S WAY 4 1 42 41½   42½ 35 (fournier)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 53% 0.90 1.80 S
2  M C JACKHAMMER 2 5 31½ 51¾   54 47¼ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 12.55  
1  RELOAD BULLET 1 3 11 2nk   32 57¼ (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 25% 3.00 3.00  
 
FE-2   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
:232 :464 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOQUACIOUS 6 4 64½ 41½   31 1hd (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.55 W
5  BOUND LUCKY 5 3 31 3½   21 2hd (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.00 1.75  
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 2 6 43 51¾   41¼ 31¾ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.85 S
4  BOCELLI 4 2 2nk 1½   11 42¼ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 9.55  
1  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 1 5 53½ 65¼   63¼ 55¾ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
3  RADCLIFFE 3 1 1nk 2½   52¾ 615¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 5.15  
 
FE-3   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
:233 :47 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TICKLE HER TOE 5 3 31½ 31   1nk 1½ (capi lou)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 18% 4.60 4.95 W
2  SO BREANNA 2 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 2½ (tharrenos wi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.50 1.70  
4  HONEY GIRL 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 3½ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 12% 7.20 3.00 S
1  MS SUEDOO 1 5 43½ 63¾   62¾ 42¾ (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 122 4.50 14.20  
6  SMARTY ILLUSION 6 4 54 53¾   52½ 53 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 43% 1.30 6.35  
3  CEDAR VALLEY 3 6 65½ 41¼   41½ 66¾ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 3.60  
 
FE-4   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:223 :46 1:12 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUIET REBEL 3 7 712 721½ 610½ 42¾ 11¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 7.15  
4  FIFTH SEASON 4 6 68 59½ 45½ 22½ 21¼ (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 15.20  
1  SENSING HOLIDAY 1 4 44½ 23 11 12½ 32 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 58% 0.70 0.60 S
7  STRONG ATTITUDE 7 2 13 13 21 32½ 46½ (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 16% 5.40 6.55  
5  TWO YEAR CONTRACT 5 3 33½ 34 56 55¼ 520¼ (capi m)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 10.05  
6  DR CHAPPELL 6 5 55 44½ 34½ 65¼ 637 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 6.40  
2  BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 1 23 611½ 730½ 7100 7100 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00 24.80  
 
FE-5   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
:25 :501 1:152 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DONNARUMMA 2 3 21 21 22 11 1½ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 41% 1.50 1.30 W
3  MANITOULIN ISLAND 3 2 11 11 12 21 2½ (loescher paula)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00 7.45  
5  SECRET SUNSHINE 5 6 63¾ 54½ 44½ 42 33¼ (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 8% 11.90 4.45 S
4  ZIPPITY DAY 4 1 32 32 33 32 45 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 31% 2.20 2.55  
1  FLAT OUT ANGEL 1 4 43½ 44 54½ 54 56¾ (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 9.90  
6  HONEYS DIAMOND 6 5 53½ 65 65 624 6100 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 9.20  
 
FE-6   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:221 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VICTORY MARCH 6 3 54 43   1nk 15¼ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10 2.00 W
3  STRONG ENDING 3 5 44 53¼   41¼ 25¼ (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 19% 4.30 4.95 P
4  STRIKING MOON 4 4 32½ 31½   2nk 35¼ (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 2.90  
5  HAPPYMAC 5 1 2½ 1nk   3.2 46½ (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00 5.15  
1  VINNIE VAN GO 1 2 1½ 2nk   51¼ 512 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 24% 3.20 2.70  
2  HALF LIT 2 6 64½ 66¾   65¼ 616 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 43.00  
 
FE-7   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
:234 :473 1:13 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LITTLE FIRE 3 6 68¼ 57¼ 43 21 1nk (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 6.00 13.75  
6  IPSUM GRATUS 6 3 3½ 2nk 12½ 11 2nk (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 17% 4.80 0.25 P
5  ORBITING THE SKY 5 4 46½ 46¾ 32½ 32 31½ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 39% 1.50 9.05 S
4  AWILDAS TREASURE 4 2 2½ 1nk 22½ 45½ 417½ (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 17.75  
2  DOODLE DANDY 2 5 58 67¼ 68 68 524 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00 17.20  
1  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 1 1 1½ 3.2 56½ 58 626¾ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 14% 6.10 6.30  
 
FE-8   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
:221 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SNELL FLICKA 3 1 2nk 2nk   11½ 14¼ (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 13% 6.90 4.40 W
11  MUSICAL RIDE 6 6 66½ 68   53 24¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 16% 5.10 3.25 P
6  SOMEONE ELSE 4 4 43½ 44   32 34½ (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 3.90  
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET 1 3 32½ 33   21½ 45¼ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 3.00  
10  SILVER TUNES 5 5 54 55   63½ 513¼ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 20.00 34.10  
2  DETERMINED LOVE 2 2 1nk 1nk   43 619½ (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 8.00 43% 1.30 2.25  
SCR  BABY MO               (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 12.00    
SCR  BODACIOUS MISS               (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH               (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 6.00    
SCR  CRUMLIN BIRD               (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 4.00    
SCR  FRERET               (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00    
 
FE-9   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
:223 :453 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HALF TO RELOAD 4 2 31 21   1nk 11 (blake mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 17.50 3.65 W
4  WOOD BE WILD 3 1 1nk 11   2nk 21 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 9% 9.90 6.50 P
2  RAGING BEAR 1 5 52¾ 53   41¾ 32½ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 64% 0.60 0.50 S
7  STUBBORN STREAK 5 3 42½ 42   52¼ 44¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 9.35  
8  ARTIE'S ALL IN 6 6 64¼ 64   62¼ 54¾ (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 14.80  
3  EL FANTASMA 2 4 2nk 31   31½ 66¼ (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 18.95  
SCR  BLUES POWER               (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50    
SCR  PENNIESFROMABOVE               (steer tom)DAVID MICHAEL 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.