Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Fort Erie
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.00  
FE-2   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
FE-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $11.90 $11.90 5.90
FE-4   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $16.30  
FE-5   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
FE-6   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
FE-7   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $29.50  
FE-8   Win (2/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
FE-9   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :454       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIVE BY FAITH 3 2 21 1nk   11 1 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 2.50  
ROLLING HILLS 5 4 5 3½   21 2 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 4.00 3.10  
JUSTIN'S WAY 4 1 42 4   4 35 (fournier)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 53% 0.90 1.80 S
M C JACKHAMMER 2 5 3 5   54 4 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 12.55  
RELOAD BULLET 1 3 11 2nk   32 5 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 25% 3.00 3.00  
 
FE-2   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOQUACIOUS 6 4 6 4   31 1hd (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.55 W
BOUND LUCKY 5 3 31 3½   21 2hd (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.00 1.75  
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 2 6 43 5   4 3 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.85 S
BOCELLI (IRE) 4 2 2nk 1½   11 4 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 9.55  
BIG BROWN BREWSKII 1 5 5 6   6 5 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
RADCLIFFE 3 1 1nk 2½   5 615¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 5.15  
 
FE-3   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TICKLE HER TOE 5 3 3 31   1nk 1½ (capi lou)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 18% 4.60 4.95 W
SO BREANNA 2 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 2½ (tharrenos wi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.50 1.70  
HONEY GIRL 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 3½ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 12% 7.20 3.00 S
MS SUEDOO 1 5 4 6   6 4 (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 122 4.50 14.20  
SMARTY ILLUSION 6 4 54 5   5 53 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 43% 1.30 6.35  
CEDAR VALLEY 3 6 6 4   4 6 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 3.60  
 
FE-4   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:12 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET REBEL 3 7 712 721½ 610½ 4 1 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 7.15  
FIFTH SEASON 4 6 68 5 4 2 2 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 15.20  
SENSING HOLIDAY 1 4 4 23 11 1 32 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 58% 0.70 0.60 S
STRONG ATTITUDE 7 2 13 13 21 3 4 (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 16% 5.40 6.55  
TWO YEAR CONTRACT 5 3 3 34 56 5 520¼ (capi m)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 10.05  
DR CHAPPELL 6 5 55 4 3 6 637 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 6.40  
BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 1 23 611½ 730½ 7100 7100 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00 24.80  
 
FE-5   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:152 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNARUMMA 2 3 21 21 22 11 1½ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 41% 1.50 1.30 W
MANITOULIN ISLAND 3 2 11 11 12 21 2½ (loescher paula)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00 7.45  
SECRET SUNSHINE 5 6 6 5 4 42 3 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 8% 11.90 4.45 S
ZIPPITY DAY 4 1 32 32 33 32 45 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 31% 2.20 2.55  
FLAT OUT ANGEL 1 4 4 44 5 54 5 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 9.90  
HONEYS DIAMOND 6 5 5 65 65 624 6100 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 9.20  
 
FE-6   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY MARCH 6 3 54 43   1nk 1 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10 2.00 W
STRONG ENDING 3 5 44 5   4 2 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 19% 4.30 4.95 P
STRIKING MOON 4 4 3 3   2nk 3 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 2.90  
HAPPYMAC 5 1 2½ 1nk   3.2 4 (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00 5.15  
VINNIE VAN GO 1 2 1½ 2nk   5 512 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 24% 3.20 2.70  
HALF LIT 2 6 6 6   6 616 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 43.00  
 
FE-7   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE FIRE 3 6 6 5 43 21 1nk (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 6.00 13.75  
IPSUM GRATUS 6 3 3½ 2nk 1 11 2nk (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 17% 4.80 0.25 P
ORBITING THE SKY 5 4 4 4 3 32 3 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 39% 1.50 9.05 S
AWILDAS TREASURE 4 2 2½ 1nk 2 4 417½ (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 17.75  
DOODLE DANDY 2 5 58 6 68 68 524 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00 17.20  
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 1 1 1½ 3.2 5 58 626¾ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 14% 6.10 6.30  
 
FE-8   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:221 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNELL FLICKA 3 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 13% 6.90 4.40 W
11  MUSICAL RIDE 6 6 6 68   53 2 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 16% 5.10 3.25 P
SOMEONE ELSE 4 4 4 44   32 3 (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 3.90  
HASN'T HIT ME YET 1 3 3 33   2 4 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 3.00  
10  SILVER TUNES 5 5 54 55   6 513¼ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 20.00 34.10  
DETERMINED LOVE 2 2 1nk 1nk   43 619½ (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 8.00 43% 1.30 2.25  
SCR  BABY MO               (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 12.00    
SCR  BODACIOUS MISS               (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH               (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 6.00    
SCR  CRUMLIN BIRD               (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 4.00    
SCR  FRERET               (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00    
 
FE-9   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF TO RELOAD 4 2 31 21   1nk 11 (blake mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 17.50 3.65 W
WOOD BE WILD 3 1 1nk 11   2nk 21 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 9% 9.90 6.50 P
RAGING BEAR 1 5 5 53   4 3 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 64% 0.60 0.50 S
STUBBORN STREAK 5 3 4 42   5 4 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 9.35  
ARTIE'S ALL IN 6 6 6 64   6 5 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 14.80  
EL FANTASMA 2 4 2nk 31   3 6 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 18.95  
SCR  BLUES POWER               (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50    
SCR  PENNIESFROMABOVE               (steer tom)DAVID MICHAEL 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.