Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Fort Erie
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-8   Win (2/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-9   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
FE-1   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELOAD BULLET Sep18 Sep11 Sep04 Aug25 Aug07 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
2  M C JACKHAMMER Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00    
3  I LIVE BY FAITH Oct10 Sep18 Sep12 Aug22 Aug07 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50    
4  JUSTIN'S WAY Sep25 Sep14 Aug22 Jul16 May28 (fournier)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
5  ROLLING HILLS Sep15 Aug07 Jul11 Jun23 Jun11 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 4.00    
 
FE-2   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Oct03 Sep18 Aug28 Aug22 Jul31 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  RADCLIFFE Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00    
4  BOCELLI (IRE) Oct10 Oct03 Sep18 Sep12 Aug07 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00    
5  BOUND LUCKY Oct09 Sep26 Aug29 Jul24 Jul18 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.00    
6  LOQUACIOUS Oct09 Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 Aug21 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
FE-3   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS SUEDOO Oct02 Aug15 Jun27 Oct10 Sep06 (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 122 4.50    
2  SO BREANNA Oct03 Sep22 Aug18 Aug06 Jul20 (tharrenos wi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.50    
3  CEDAR VALLEY Sep25 Sep14 Sep01 Jul20 Jul06 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
4  HONEY GIRL Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
5  TICKLE HER TOE Oct02 Sep18 Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 (capi lou)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  SMARTY ILLUSION Oct03 Sep26 Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
FE-4   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSING HOLIDAY Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul07 Jun11 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  BROADWAY RUCKUS Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00    
3  QUIET REBEL Sep28 Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50    
4  FIFTH SEASON Oct03 Sep18 Sep07 Aug11 Jun23 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
5  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Oct10 Oct03 Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 (capi m)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DR CHAPPELL Sep04 Aug13 Jul21 Jul06 Nov11 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00    
7  STRONG ATTITUDE Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
FE-5   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT ANGEL Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Jun12 Jun06 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
2  DONNARUMMA Sep12 Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 Jun13 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
3  MANITOULIN ISLAND Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 (loescher paula)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00    
4  ZIPPITY DAY Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug03 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  SECRET SUNSHINE Sep26 Sep12 Jul13 Jun13 May27 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
6  HONEYS DIAMOND Sep26 Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
 
FE-6   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINNIE VAN GO Sep12 Sep04 Jul31 Jul16 Jul10 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  HALF LIT Oct10 Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
3  STRONG ENDING Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Aug01 Jul10 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  STRIKING MOON Sep25 Sep12 Aug15 Aug04 Jul16 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80    
5  HAPPYMAC Oct07 Sep10 Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00    
6  VICTORY MARCH Sep25 Aug08 Jul03 Jun16 May26 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
FE-7   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
2  DOODLE DANDY Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Aug21 Aug01 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00    
3  LITTLE FIRE Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 6.00    
4  AWILDAS TREASURE Sep25 Sep12 Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00    
5  ORBITING THE SKY Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 39% 1.50    
6  IPSUM GRATUS Oct10 Sep02 Jul08 Mar25 Mar10 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 17% 4.80    
 
FE-8   10/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET Oct02 Sep19 Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
2  DETERMINED LOVE Aug08 Jun18 Jun06 Jan28 Oct10 (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 8.00 43% 1.30    
3  SNELL FLICKA Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  CRUMLIN BIRD Oct02 Sep25 Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 4.00    
SCR  BABY MO Oct05 Sep19 Aug21 Jul25 Jun16 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 12.00    
6  SOMEONE ELSE Oct02 Aug29 Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH Oct02 Sep19 Aug21 Jul31 Jul20 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 6.00    
SCR  BODACIOUS MISS Oct03 Sep07 Aug24 Jul15 Jun15 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
SCR  FRERET Oct02 Sep19 Sep07 Aug21 Jul11 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 124 5.00    
10  SILVER TUNES Sep19 Aug28 Jul16 Jun23 Apr22 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 20.00    
11  MUSICAL RIDE Oct02 Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 Jul11 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
FE-9   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENNIESFROMABOVE Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 (steer tom)DAVID MICHAEL 117 10.00    
2  RAGING BEAR Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
3  EL FANTASMA Sep17 Aug06 Jul30 Jul31 Jul17 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
4  WOOD BE WILD Aug01 Jul11 Jun18 Jun06 May14 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 9% 9.90    
5  HALF TO RELOAD Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Sep01 Aug18 (blake mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  BLUES POWER Sep04 Aug07 Jun12 Oct15 Aug31 (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50    
7  STUBBORN STREAK Oct10 Sep30 Sep21 Aug18 Jul07 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
8  ARTIE'S ALL IN Oct09 Sep25 Sep18 Aug28 Aug01 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.