Handicappers' Race Results

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Lethbridge
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LBG-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
LBG-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.20  
LBG-4   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.50 $2.50  
LBG-5   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $12.90 $12.90 8.90
LBG-7   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
LBG-8   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $16.90  

Simulator Race results

 
LBG-2   09/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
1:002         1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET BAKK 2 2 2 21   12 14 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 1.60 48% 1.10 0.90 W
TIMBERLAKE GAGE 3 5 5 45   33 24 (rumsey cory)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.80 1.55  
WAR MAIDEN 4 4 3 32   44 3 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 15.90  
ONE SHOT TO WIN 1 1 4 58   5 414 (schmitt bill)SIMPSON W 124 8.00 23.55  
NORTH DAWN 5 3 1 11   22 514¼ (birdrattler ter)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 4.00 16% 5.30 4.45  
 
LBG-3   09/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
1:01         1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORMAL TUX 1 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 2.60  
SOUL OBSESSION 2 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (smith rusty)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00 35% 1.90 1.80 P
THORNISH 3 2 3½ 5   65 3 (bensmiller )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 13% 7.00 12.45 S
OAKDALE ROAD 6 6 5¾ 3.2   3 4 (birdrattler terra)APANGO JUAN 124 5.00 20.50  
IRISH POLO 4 4 61 6   54 5 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50 14% 6.20 2.50  
FORGOTABOUTME 5 5 4¾ 4   43 6 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 2.50 5.35  
 
LBG-4   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:103         1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON BANDIT 4 3 21 1½   11 1 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.20 54% 0.80 0.25 W
DRAW THE FOUL 5 5 11 2½   21 2 (smith jackie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.50 14% 6.10 3.80 P
THISISMYSTORY 2 1 4 43   32 310¼ (cummins m)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 4.00 7.40  
WITTS LUCKY SHOES 3 2 31 31   47 414½ (calfrobe noran)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 26.05  
BEAR ME A MOMENT 1 4 5 55   58 514¾ (brown john )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 21.10  
 
LBG-5   09/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:283         1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARASOTA SALSA 5 1 2½ 1   12 11 (speaks denn)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.60 42% 1.40 5.45 W
EL FANTASMA 2 2 1½ 3   22 21 (gregoire carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 7.00 16% 5.10 2.00 P
YNOTGIVEITAGO 4 5 42 4   3 34 (mcnally kathy)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.20 2.05  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 3 4 55 5   511 422¼ (fantin caitl)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00 7.95  
HIGH KELLY SONG 1 3 31 2   45 525¼ (daniels antho)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 2.80  
 
LBG-7   09/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
1:283         1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COMRIE RULE 2 2 11 13   14 1 (brown john )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 43% 1.30 0.55 W
BEAUTIFUL CALL 4 4 43 5   35 2 (perry carl)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00 6.75  
FAMILY IS GOLD 1 3 32 34   24 36 (bugeaud mike)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 24% 3.20 7.45 S
ZIBO 3 1 21 23   45 4 (oberholtzer daniel)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00 20.35  
NORTHERN GOLD 5 5 5 4   5 513¼ (perry carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.50 3.00  
SCR  GOVERNOR ANN               (daniels anthony)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00    
 
LBG-8   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
1:493         1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KVOTHE 2 2 67 55 4 23 1 (smith rusty)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 7.45  
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 3 4 32 31 11 13 2 (oberholtzer)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.20 37% 1.70 0.85 P
JAKE THE GREAT 7 7 78 7 5 45 38 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50 27% 2.70 4.50 S
COZY BEAR 5 5 21 2½ 31 34 4 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00 7.10  
DOC ROSS 4 3 56 65 6 68 513¾ (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 13% 7.00 20.55  
ANELLO 1 1 11 1½ 21 56 616½ (kinch bill)SIMPSON W 124 8.00 5.80  
KING WITT 6 6 43 42 7 710 734½ (calfrobe shawn)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 12.00 26.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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