Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lethbridge
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LBG-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LBG-4   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-5   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-7   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-8   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LBG-2   09/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SHOT TO WIN Jul29 Jul16 Jul31 Jul29   (schmitt bill)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
GET BAKK Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 May27 May13 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 Apr08 (rumsey cory)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.80    
WAR MAIDEN Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Jul23 Jun23 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
NORTH DAWN Jul22 Jul15 May13 Apr02 Mar25 (birdrattler ter)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
LBG-3   09/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORMAL TUX Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00    
SOUL OBSESSION Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 (smith rusty)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00 35% 1.90    
THORNISH Aug26 Aug19 Jul29 Jul02 Jun09 (bensmiller )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
IRISH POLO Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
FORGOTABOUTME Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul15 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 2.50    
OAKDALE ROAD Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Jun04 May21 (birdrattler terra)APANGO JUAN 124 5.00    
 
LBG-4   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR ME A MOMENT Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul11 Jun19 (brown john )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
THISISMYSTORY Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (cummins m)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 4.00    
WITTS LUCKY SHOES Jun10 Sep24 Jun04     (calfrobe noran)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00    
BOURBON BANDIT Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.20 54% 0.80    
DRAW THE FOUL Jul23 Jun03 May21 Mar19 Mar04 (smith jackie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.50 14% 6.10    
 
LBG-5   09/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH KELLY SONG Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 (daniels antho)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00    
EL FANTASMA Aug06 Jul30 Jul31 Jul17 Jun29 (gregoire carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 7.00 16% 5.10    
FORGOTTEN VOWS Sep10 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 (fantin caitl)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00    
YNOTGIVEITAGO Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (mcnally kathy)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.20    
SARASOTA SALSA Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Oct01 (speaks denn)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
LBG-7   09/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOVERNOR ANN Aug30 Aug08 Aug02 Jul10 Jun11 (daniels anthony)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 8.00    
FAMILY IS GOLD Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jun23 (bugeaud mike)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
THE COMRIE RULE Aug23 Aug02 Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 (brown john )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
ZIBO Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Oct08 Sep23 (oberholtzer daniel)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00    
BEAUTIFUL CALL Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 (perry carl)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00    
NORTHERN GOLD Aug27 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jul01 (perry carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.50    
 
LBG-8   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANELLO Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 (kinch bill)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
KVOTHE Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 (smith rusty)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00    
DON'TTEASETHETIGER Sep04 Aug19 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 (oberholtzer)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
DOC ROSS Sep03 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
COZY BEAR Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00    
KING WITT Sep04 Aug06 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 (calfrobe shawn)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 12.00    
JAKE THE GREAT Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 Jun18 Jun03 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.