Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-3   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $16.00 $10.00 167%
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $20.80 $8.80 73%
MNR-7   EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-6 $7.40 $3.40 85%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARKER 5 3 53 1nk   12 1 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.30 W
HAPPY CHAMP 1 6 43 4¼   22 2 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 120 5.00 2.60  
NO MORE TALK 7 4 32 2nk   3 3 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 6% 14.80 2.80 S
BAD LITTLE BEAST 6 5 65 7   710½ 4 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 10.70  
FIVE STAR PHIL 4 7 89 6   5 54 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 113 20.00 30.50  
JULIE'S FERRARI 3 2 2½ 3.2   4 6 (welsh r)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 35% 1.80 4.30  
PERFECT PICTURE 2 1 1½ 5½   6 7 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00 34.70  
10  SUPER CLASSIC 8 8 77 811½   814½ 811¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 120 30.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
SCR  GREAT GO GO               (sullivan el)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00    
SCR  KHALFANI               (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 120 4.50    
SCR  ROYAL THUNDER               (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
 
MNR-2   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:163     1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND BEAUTY 5 1 12 11 11 1½ 1 (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 111 15.00 14.80  
GIO'S MY DAD 2 7 64 4 35 3 2 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 12.00 8.80  
ICY RAIN 1 2 43 3 4 45 3 (ratliff gob)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00 7.10  
RED DELICIOUS 3 4 22 21 21 2½ 4 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 118 5.00 14% 6.20 2.40  
PEACE PACT 6 5 5 6 57 57 56 (hendriks ri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.40 40% 1.50 1.90  
LITTLEBITOFLASH 7 6 78 713¾ 715½ 611 6 (gray chri)GONZALEZ J 108 20.00 ######  
HAUGHTY KITTY 4 3 32 5 6 716 714¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 118 6.00 19% 4.20 2.50  
SCR  HOLY SKULL               (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  MEMORIES ETERNAL               (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
 
MNR-3   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER CANDICE 2 1 12 11   13 1 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 32% 2.10 7.00 W
  (by OLD FORESTER out of SILVER SHASA by KINSHASA)
LOVE MY CANDY 1 5 22 21   23 2 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 0.60 37% 1.70 0.10 P
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
WORK N FLIRT 5 3 43 3   36 313 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.00 11% 8.20 4.90 S
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
MARAVILLOSO 3 4 32 4   418 427 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 51.60  
  (by BRETHREN out of MISS ALONDRA by HENNESSY)
THIRSTY FOR LOVE 4 2 5 5   518½ 532 (silva paul)PAUCAR E 118 10.00 24.30  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EMPRESS OF LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
SCR  QADIRA               (urieta johann)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  QUEEN CATALINA               (gotera ju)GONZALEZ J 108 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of QUEEN OF ROSES by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  VALENTINA MIA               (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00    
  (by BUCKWHEAT BOB out of PREVIOUS PLEASURE by FORMAL DINNER)
 
MNR-4   11/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZING CHICK 4 5 6 6   2½ 1nk (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 121 4.50 2.90  
BRODY'S JESSICA 3 7 7 7   3½ 2nk (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40 P
10  RIVERVIEW STEVIE 7 2 3½ 3   42 3½ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 4.00 15% 5.60 2.40 S
O K BABY 1 8 8 8   7 41 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00 12.90  
G MONEY LIV 5 1 2nk 11   1½ 54 (reffner tar)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00 58.70  
11  I SAID HEY 8 6 5 5   55 66 (lopez c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00 22.30  
SHELLY THE ROCKET 6 3 1nk 21   6 713 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 25% 3.00 6.70  
MAMALONA 2 4 4¾ 4   814½ 816¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB               (anderson l)AVILES YAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DREAM MUSIC               (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 120 4.00    
SCR  LELAWALA               (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO               (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS NUCKOLS               (godsey ma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SCR  THE REIGN SONG               (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50    
 
MNR-5   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET SANCTUARY 2 2 2nk 11   13 1 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 3.70  
BEND IN THE RIVER 3 4 31 4   23 2 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 12% 7.60 9.60 P
RECKLESS AFFAIR 7 5 5 31   34 3 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 35.90  
EMJAY 4 1 1nk 21   4 47 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 44% 1.30 2.80  
GREENSFELDER 6 7 7 6   5 57 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00 7% 13.20 13.30  
ARGYLL 1 8 8 8   812 6 (dodge albert)AVILES YAN 120 12.00 8.90  
GUNGI 5 3 42 7   69 7 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 121 2.50 1.40  
WHISKEY SUNRISE 8 6 6 5   710 810½ (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 13% 6.60 19.30  
 
MNR-6   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:133     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE DRAWL 2 6 610½ 611¼ 42 1 1 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 2.00 1.30  
MAXIMUM IMPACT 1 7 712½ 713¼ 6 3 2 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 1.40  
HIGH ROLLING DUDE 3 4 3 35 2½ 2 3 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.00 47% 1.10 4.00 S
SCORSESE 7 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 4 4 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 12.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
DYRDEK 4 3 4 47 3 6 510¼ (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00 29% 2.50 9.40  
LONG RAP SHEET 5 5 5 511 5 5 612 (urieta jo)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 56.10  
CINDY'S STORM 6 1 1½ 2nk 7 715¾ 728 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 25.40  
SCR  STRIKE THE TOP               (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   11/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BETTY 1 5 2nk 11   11 1 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.00 32% 2.10 0.50 W
BOURBONWITHGINGER 4 2 3½ 21   21 2 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 28% 2.60 3.70 P
JOLIE RULER 5 3 5 5   4 3 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 19.90  
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3 1 1nk 46   58 4 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 11.30  
SIRJUS DREAM 2 4 4 35   37 510¼ (stephen anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.50 3.50  
SCR  GOLDEN NOLE               (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 120 30.00    
SCR  PANAMANIAC               (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  TEAM GOLD DIGGER               (ramgeet tina)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 
MNR-8   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:161     1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE IS ROYALTY 7 8 810¼ 69 6 1½ 1 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 6.60  
PARTY SWAGGER 6 10 1017¼ 911½ 8 3 2 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 14% 6.30 5.50 P
LIPARI 2 9 7 710 7 42 3 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.40 S
OPTIMIZME 4 3 4 3½ 11 2½ 4 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 118 4.00 6.50  
BLACK LICORICE 9 4 32 41 21 56 516¾ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 18% 4.50 2.90  
SAINT FOXY 5 7 5 55 5 78 619¾ (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 118 20.00 15.50  
LIL SWEETHEART 8 1 1nk 1nk 4 68 723 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 8% 11.20 19.90  
MARPIN 1 2 2nk 2nk 3 813 833 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 3.00 35% 1.90 1.80  
10  ARTUME 10 5 6 810½ 1012½ 1019 933½ (fiesman r)GONZALEZ J 113 15.00 32.30  
NOGRATZ 3 6 913¼ 1013 9 917 1040¼ (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00 30.50  
SCR  DONNA LIRICA               (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 2.50    
SCR  SWEETER THAN HONEY               (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.