Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/5/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/10)-(7/5/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/9/10)-(8/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/3) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/3)-(8/5/3) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(2/3/8)-(5/9/10/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(5/9/10/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/3)-(5/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/3)-(5/9/10/3)-(5/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/10/3)-(4/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(2/6)-(1/9/6/8/2) 30 $2.00 $60.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/9/6/8/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/9/6/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/8/2)-(1/9/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/8/2)-(1/9/6/8/2)-(1/9/6/8/2) 60 $0.50 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHAMP Nov04 Oct11 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 120 5.00    
SCR  ROYAL THUNDER Oct18 Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  GREAT GO GO Nov05 Oct21 Oct11 Sep02 Aug12 (sullivan el)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00    
4  PERFECT PICTURE Aug29 Aug13 Jul19 Jun27 Jun04 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
5  JULIE'S FERRARI Oct24 Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 Aug14 (welsh r)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
6  FIVE STAR PHIL Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 Jun18 Apr02 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
7  PARKER Nov13 Oct29 Oct03 Sep21 Sep09 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
8  BAD LITTLE BEAST Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 Aug17 Jul19 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
9  NO MORE TALK Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug30 Aug05 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 6% 14.80    
10  SUPER CLASSIC Oct23 Oct09 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KHALFANI Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 Jul03 (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 120 4.50    
 
MNR-2   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY RAIN Oct23 Sep27 Aug17 Aug01 Jul09 (ratliff gob)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
2  GIO'S MY DAD Oct22 Oct10 Sep12 Aug09 Jul26 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 12.00    
3  RED DELICIOUS Nov08 Oct03 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  MEMORIES ETERNAL Nov01 Oct23 Sep27 Sep23 Aug27 (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
5  HAUGHTY KITTY Nov13 Oct22 Oct08 Sep10 Sep02 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  HOLY SKULL Nov07 Oct31 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
7  ISLAND BEAUTY Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep03 Aug26 (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 111 15.00    
8  PEACE PACT Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug12 (hendriks ri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
9  LITTLEBITOFLASH Nov08 Oct23 Sep20 Jul05 Jun10 (gray chri)GONZALEZ J 108 20.00    
 
MNR-3   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VALENTINA MIA Oct31         (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00    
  (by BUCKWHEAT BOB out of PREVIOUS PLEASURE by FORMAL DINNER)
2  LOVE MY CANDY Oct31 Sep25 Sep04 Aug09 Jul21 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 0.60 37% 1.70    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  SILVER CANDICE         (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of SILVER SHASA by KINSHASA)
SCR  QADIRA Sep05         (urieta johann)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MARAVILLOSO Oct31         (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MISS ALONDRA by HENNESSY)
6  THIRSTY FOR LOVE Sep27 Sep03 Jul27 Jul01 May20 (silva paul)PAUCAR E 118 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EMPRESS OF LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
SCR  QUEEN CATALINA Nov05 Sep28 Sep11     (gotera ju)GONZALEZ J 108 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of QUEEN OF ROSES by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
8  WORK N FLIRT Oct31 Aug13 Jun16 May26   (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.00 11% 8.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
 
MNR-4   11/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Oct24 Sep22 Aug29 Aug04 Jul20 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 120 8.00    
2  O K BABY Oct24 Sep24 Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00    
3  MAMALONA Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May21 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LELAWALA Oct01 Aug21 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
5  BRODY'S JESSICA Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 Aug08 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  DANZING CHICK Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Jul03 (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 121 4.50    
7  G MONEY LIV Oct23 Oct01 Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 (reffner tar)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  MISS NUCKOLS Oct24 Oct01 Sep11 Aug16 Jul11 (godsey ma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
9  SHELLY THE ROCKET Nov06 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
10  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Nov06 Oct24 Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
11  I SAID HEY Nov12 Oct18 Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 (lopez c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
SCR  DREAM MUSIC Oct02 Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 Oct04 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 120 4.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO Nov02 Oct21 Sep26 Sep06 Aug12 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
SCR  THE REIGN SONG Nov06 Oct24 Oct17 Sep23 Aug24 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50    
 
MNR-5   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGYLL Oct26 Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 (dodge albert)AVILES YAN 120 12.00    
2  SECRET SANCTUARY Sep03 Aug08 Jul05 May30 May08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.50    
3  BEND IN THE RIVER Nov06 Oct16 Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
4  EMJAY Jul17 Jul05 Jun21 May23 May08 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
5  GUNGI Nov06 Oct20 Sep30 Sep21 Aug05 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 121 2.50    
6  GREENSFELDER Nov06 Oct06 Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00 7% 13.20    
7  RECKLESS AFFAIR Oct24 Sep20 Sep03 Aug09 Jul17 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
8  WHISKEY SUNRISE Nov06 Oct24 Oct08 Sep20 Sep06 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
MNR-6   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM IMPACT Nov12 Oct13 Sep26 Sep03 Jul14 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 3.50    
SCR  STRIKE THE TOP Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
3  DIXIE DRAWL Oct27 Oct12 Sep08 Aug27 Aug19 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 2.00    
4  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Nov06 Sep18 Sep05 Aug13 Jul31 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  DYRDEK Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 Jul24 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  LONG RAP SHEET Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Aug23 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 118 15.00    
7  CINDY'S STORM Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
8  SCORSESE Oct16 Sep20 Sep10 Aug23 Jul31 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   11/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN NOLE Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 120 30.00    
2  MISS BETTY Nov01 Sep13 Aug06 Jul16 Jun21 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  SIRJUS DREAM Jul02 Jun01 May17 Mar02 Feb09 (stephen anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.50    
SCR  PANAMANIAC Oct11 Oct02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 10.00    
5  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 Jul25 Jun26 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
6  BOURBONWITHGINGER Nov06 May30 May02 Mar28 Feb14 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  JOLIE RULER Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 Aug15 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
SCR  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Nov13 Oct21 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 (ramgeet tina)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 
MNR-8   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARPIN Oct15 Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul16 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  LIPARI Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 Aug18 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOGRATZ Oct22 Oct04 Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00    
4  OPTIMIZME Nov07 Oct07 Sep21 Sep04 Aug11 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 118 4.00    
5  SAINT FOXY Nov01 Sep26 Aug25 Aug16 Aug08 (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 118 20.00    
6  PARTY SWAGGER Nov08 Nov01 Sep27 Aug27 Jul11 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  SHE IS ROYALTY Oct09 Sep27 May26 Apr05 Mar15 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
8  LIL SWEETHEART Feb09 Oct05 Sep28 Sep20 Aug17 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
9  BLACK LICORICE Nov01         (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
10  ARTUME Oct30 Jan02 Nov30 Nov08 Oct05 (fiesman r)GONZALEZ J 113 15.00    
SCR  DONNA LIRICA Oct31 Sep14 Aug06 Jun20 Apr26 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 2.50    
SCR  SWEETER THAN HONEY Nov06 Sep28 Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.