The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
PID-2   Win (4/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.20 -8.00
PID-3   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $10.40 -4.00
PID-4   Win (3/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
PID-5   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
PID-6   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
PID-7   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
PID-8   Win (6/2/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -3.20

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:231 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON AN ISLAND 3 3 1½ 1½   11(weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 1.80 56% 0.80 1.60 W
CHANGE THE HOUR 7 4 2½ 3½   22(russell ra)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 13% 6.80 1.10 P
HUMBLE JOE 1 5 5 6   33(white f)ALENCAR WALBER 121 8.00 12.50  
RECKLESS JONES 6 1 43 43   5410¾ (miller d)AYALA J 121 8.00 26.50  
MAC'S CAT 5 7 7 54   6511¾ (russell randall)WALES GARY 121 6.00 8.30  
JUANSEN 4 2 3½ 2½   4615¼ (miller d)WALKER M 121 4.00 9% 10.10 7.30  
GRUIT 2 6 6 7   79 717 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 15.00 94.70  
 
PID-2   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
:221 :453 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANTILLY MOON (PER) 1 8 1nk 1   12 1(bowersock maria)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 5.10  
KAGERO 6 7 7 75   22 2(fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00 26% 2.90 2.20 P
LT. LYDIA 5 3 31 3   336 (ruberto louis )AYALA J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 19.30 S
MUNNIS PRETTY 7 5 6 53   54(cooney s)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 5.70  
WOW LADY 3 9 10 8   959 (amaya joan)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00 11.90  
CASTLE BORN 4 10 9 96   75 610¼ (duffy sean)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.40  
10  SHEER ALICE (GB) 10 2 2nk 2   4712 (walsh d)WALKER M 124 8.00 20% 4.00 9.10  
CEREAL I D 9 1 4 43   6813½ (miller d)STANLEY O 124 12.00 45.60  
MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE 2 4 5 64   8915½ (morris ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 21.40  
EXTESSA 8 6 8 10   1011 1019¾ (antus lawrence)WALES GARY 121 15.00 ######  
 
PID-3   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
:222 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY MY BROTHER 3 5 1½ 1½   111 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 4.20  
FORGOTTEN PEACE 1 3 3 3½   221 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.90 P
HALF BIRTHDAY 2 4 53 53   33(kintz ma)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 2.70  
VILLAGE QUEEN 4 1 4 4   44(potts g)WALKER M 122 10.00 8% 11.30 9.70  
DARK DAHLIA 5 2 2½ 2½   54 510 (dickey keith)SPIETH S 124 12.00 5.90  
SCR  POSH PLAYDAY               (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
SCR  TAP THE TITTLES               (trombetta michael )MARTINEZ W 119 4.00    
 
PID-4   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:22 :443 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEONARD'S LEGACY 8 1 1 1   12 1(russell ra)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 2.10  
LISA MARIE 4 2 5 7   42(carr-rozantz cath)STANLEY O 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00 P
GOLDEN SODA 3 7 75 44   32 3(dickey keith)SPIETH S 122 3.50 66% 0.50 2.90 S
JOSH'S HONOR 7 3 2 2   22 44 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 121 4.50 3.70  
LARZ 9 5 64 6   65(amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 6.70  
MOON HUNTER 6 8 8 8   76(sells rachel)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00 30.50  
10  SHOSHA 10 4 3 3   57(johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00 9% 10.70 34.10  
ARGYLL 1 6 43 5   8810¾ (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 12.00 49.70  
BACKDOORPARTY 5 9 9 911¼   911¼ 915½ (martin wil)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 5.90  
GOLDEN OAK 2 10 1010½ 1012¾   1021¼ 1024¼ (schneider kim)AYALA J 122 20.00 57.80  
 
PID-5   10/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
:231 :471 1:114 1:364   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCE AND STRONG 4 3 33 31 2½ 11(davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 26% 2.80 1.30 W
MORNING MARCH 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 22(gordon-watson a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 9.60  
SACHMO 5 7 6 6 43 44 3(salvaggio mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 20% 4.10 10.70 S
SANTO 6 2 56 4 32 34(mcclellan )GALLARDO A 122 3.50 3.30  
T REX 7 6 710 7 64 5511½ (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 3.00 4.00  
ZAMBONI WARRIOR 3 5 45 5 53 6613¼ (kulp l)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 11.70  
REBEL RULER 2 4 2½ 21 7 731½ 759½ (kulp l)AYALA J 122 20.00 19% 4.20 8.80  
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN               (rogers ron)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/26/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:25 :491 1:13 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEMAQUID PETE 6 1 1 11 11 112 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 1.80 46% 1.20 0.90 W
FLYING SCOTSMAN 2 7 44 43 31 322 (morris ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 19% 4.40 5.30 P
COMEDIC TIMING 1 4 75 6 42 42 33 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 2.30  
GREY INVASION 4 5 2 21 21 24(lecesse michael)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 7% 12.90 4.10  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 7 6 54 7 7 55(maddox a)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00 68.10  
AMICUS BRIEF 5 2 3 33 53 64 610¾ (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 122 15.00 49.50  
WORBOTHOR 3 3 6 5 6 7721 (roman malv)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 79.90  
SCR  COUNTY COURT               (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 6.00    
 
PID-7   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
:22 :443 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SINNER IS YOU 1 5 5 5   21 1(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 33% 2.10 1.10 W
WROTE IN STONE 4 2 11 1   11 2(fennessy john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 22% 3.50 2.80 P
JARETH 2 3 32 4   31 3(brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 5.00 14% 6.30 5.90 S
BLUEBERRY 3 6 6 6   54(hetrick kr)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 9.10  
UNSOCIABLE 5 4 42 3   45(kelly blake)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 10.80  
CALL ME LATER 6 1 21 2   65 610½ (grace john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5.60  
SCR  LORD OF LEGENDS               (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
SCR  MILITARY DRILL               (brooks ger)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  OUTHUSTLE               (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 4.00    
 
PID-8   10/26/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
:241 :483 1:131 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP EMPIRE 6 11 9 10 8 512 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 33% 2.00 2.40 W
COLONEL POPPY 4 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 (kintz matthew)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 17% 4.90 2.20 P
E MINOR 3 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 3(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 119 4.00 7.40  
10  SILK WAR 9 8 8 8 6 64(graham edw)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 5% 19.00 11.00  
TEMPUS 8 10 11 9 9 115(dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 60.10  
11  SAKETUMI 10 4 64 6 3½ 464 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 12.00 25.90  
12  DIABLO DADDY 11 9 10 126 11 83 7(zook w)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00 ######  
13  HASHTAG NO WONDER 12 12 12 115 10 108(morris ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 11.30  
ROUND OF APPLAUSE 5 7 5 5 5 79(rojas e)WALES GARY 122 8.00 43.10  
YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 1 3 3 4 4 31 10(rice kevin)WALKER M 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
GREG'S HONOR 2 6 7 7 7 93 11(brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 6.00 23% 3.30 5.90  
METATRON'S MUSE 7 5 4 3 126 1218½ 1227¾ (morey will)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 22.60  
SCR  BOLD LICORICE               (deiter lynn)WALES GARY 122 20.00    
SCR  IN EFFECT               (morris r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.