Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(4/6/10/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(4/6/10/5)-(2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/10/5)-(4/6/10/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/6/10/5)-(4/6/10/1/5)-(4/6/10/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/10/5)-(2/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/10/5)-(2/5)-(3/10/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/10/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/10/4)-(4/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/4)-(3/10/7/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/10/4)-(3/10/7/4/8)-(3/10/7/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/10/4)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/10/4)-(4/5/2)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/2/4)-(1/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/7/3)-(6/2/4/10/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(6/2/4/10/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/2/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/10/1)-(6/2/4/10/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/10/1)-(6/2/4/10/1)-(6/2/4/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUMBLE JOE Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 (white robert)ALENCAR WALBER 121 8.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of ROYALLY SWEET by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
2  GRUIT Oct19 Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 15.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
3  ON AN ISLAND Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  JUANSEN Oct09 Sep19 Sep04     (miller henry )WALKER M 121 4.00 9% 10.10    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of DIAMONDS FOR LEAH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  MAC'S CAT Oct09 Sep19       (russell randall)WALES GARY 121 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
6  RECKLESS JONES Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 Feb10 Jan25 (miller henry)AYALA J 121 8.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
7  CHANGE THE HOUR Oct09 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHANGE THE RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
PID-2   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Sep27 Jul27 Jun24 May27 May06 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Oct19 Oct08 Aug02 Dec01 Oct05 (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
3  WOW LADY Oct12 Sep27 Sep12     (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00    
4  CASTLE BORN Oct04 Sep20 Aug18 Aug11 Jul16 (duffy se)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  LT. LYDIA Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KAGERO Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  MUNNIS PRETTY Sep27 Sep06 Aug31 Aug02 Jul14 (cooney susan )MORALES PABLO 121 3.50    
8  EXTESSA Oct19 Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 May14 (antus lawrence)WALES GARY 121 15.00    
9  CEREAL I D Sep26 Sep06 Aug29 Aug15 Jul11 (miller d)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
10  SHEER ALICE (GB) Oct10 Jul31 Jun21 May29 May15 (walsh d)WALKER M 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
PID-3   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAP THE TITTLES Oct12 Sep09 Aug08 Jul16 Jun01 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 119 4.00    
2  FORGOTTEN PEACE Oct12 Jul05 Jun19 May22 Dec09 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 57% 0.80    
3  HALF BIRTHDAY Oct19 Oct12 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
4  RUSTY MY BROTHER Sep11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jun06 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 3.50    
5  VILLAGE QUEEN Oct12 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul26 (potts g)WALKER M 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  POSH PLAYDAY Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Jun26 Mar24 (wismer s)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
7  DARK DAHLIA Oct03 Sep19 Aug31 Aug10 Jul10 (dickey keith)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
 
PID-4   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGYLL Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 12.00    
2  GOLDEN OAK Sep28 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 20.00    
3  GOLDEN SODA Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 (dickey keith)SPIETH S 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
4  LISA MARIE Oct17 Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 Aug14 (carr-rozantz ca)STANLEY O 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BACKDOORPARTY Oct16 Sep21 Jul25 Jul05 Feb03 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
6  MOON HUNTER Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (sells rachel)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
7  JOSH'S HONOR Oct16 Oct05 Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 121 4.50 ★    
8  LEONARD'S LEGACY Oct09 Sep25 Aug30 Aug15 Jun14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
9  LARZ Oct16 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
10  SHOSHA Oct19 Sep13 Aug22 Jul16 Jun19 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
 
PID-5   10/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORNING MARCH Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul20 (gordon-watson)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
2  REBEL RULER Sep21 Aug31 Aug02 Jun15 May12 (kulp brandon)AYALA J 122 20.00 19% 4.20    
3  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Oct09 Sep15       (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 5.00    
4  FIERCE AND STRONG Oct17 Sep25 Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  SACHMO Oct05 Sep15 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (salvaggio mi)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  SANTO Oct05 Sep01 Aug09 Jul07 Jun15 (mcclella)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
7  T REX Oct07 Sep13 Jul13 Jun20 May29 (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 3.00    
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN Sep20 Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMEDIC TIMING Oct05 Sep22 Sep10 Aug04 Jul21 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
2  FLYING SCOTSMAN Sep08 Aug11 Jul16 Nov13 Oct29 (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  WORBOTHOR Oct17 Sep27 Sep18 Aug29 Aug22 (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
4  GREY INVASION Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 7% 12.90    
5  AMICUS BRIEF Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Jul26 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 15.00    
6  PEMAQUID PETE Oct16 Oct03 Sep05 Jul31 Jul10 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
7  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 (maddox a)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
SCR  COUNTY COURT Oct17 Sep28 Sep18 Aug28 Aug15 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00    
 
PID-7   10/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SINNER IS YOU Sep21 Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Jun20 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  MILITARY DRILL Oct19 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
3  JARETH Oct17 Oct03 Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  LORD OF LEGENDS Oct18 Oct02 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
SCR  OUTHUSTLE Oct18 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11   (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 4.00    
6  BLUEBERRY Oct18 Oct02 Aug23 Aug07 May03 (hetrick )GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
7  WROTE IN STONE Oct10 Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jun05 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
8  UNSOCIABLE Aug23 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Jan14 (kelly blake)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
9  CALL ME LATER Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Oct26 (grace john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   10/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GREG'S HONOR Oct09 Sep18 Sep02 Aug23 Aug08 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  E MINOR Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 119 4.00    
4  COLONEL POPPY Oct18 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
5  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Aug28 Aug07 (rojas e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
6  STARSHIP EMPIRE Sep28 Sep18 Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  BOLD LICORICE Oct11 Aug31 Aug11 Jul15 Jun10 (deiter lyn)WALES GARY 122 20.00    
8  METATRON'S MUSE Sep06 Aug05 Jul13 May02 Mar25 (morey wi)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
9  TEMPUS Oct18 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
10  SILK WAR Aug23 Aug04 Jul15 May29 Oct14 (graham e)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
11  SAKETUMI Aug23 Aug04 Jul19 Jun09 May06 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
12  DIABLO DADDY Sep09 Aug26 Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 (zook w)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
13  HASHTAG NO WONDER Aug04 Jul08 Jun20 Jun04 May04 (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
SCR  IN EFFECT Oct10 Jul21 Jul08 Oct21 Oct16 (morris r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.