The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.80 -4.00
FL-2   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 11.80
FL-3   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.60 -6.00
FL-4   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.40 -6.00
FL-5   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
FL-6   Win (7/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $5.00 -8.00
FL-7   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $41.40 -6.00
FL-8   Win (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $23.00 $23.00 15.00

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:23 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 5 5 43 4   43 1¼ (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 5.00 3.90  
LUCKY MUCHO MAN 6 2 31 21   22 2¼ (vasquez ramon)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 2.15  
CAPE COD GEM 1 1 11 11   12 3(miller-saul beth)COA J 122 3.00 72% 0.40 3.00 S
HOLEY MATRIMONY 2 3 21 3   32 4(gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 122 2.50 1.90  
MOON HUNTER 4 6 56 510½   59 5(sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 8.00 19.80  
COUPLES THERAPY 3 4 6 612½   610 6(breed j)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  PERSISTENT DANGER               (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 6.00    
 
FL-2   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
:244 :504 1:162 1:433   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E Z TOLL 3 1 1 11 12 14 12 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 121 5.00 42% 1.40 7.90 W
M. A. S. SCRUVES 7 3 2 21 22 24 22 (marino joseph )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.50 1.70  
SWEET DESANTIS 5 6 6 6 5 533 (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.70 S
WELCOMETOMYWORLD 2 7 711½ 7 68 443 (chamberlin)DAVIS A 121 4.00 13% 6.70 4.40  
T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE 6 4 3 42 33 355 (falk jacquelin)HARKIE K 124 6.00 10.70  
CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY 1 2 4 32 4 611½ 612½ (monserrate marisa)ROHENA JR 121 8.00 4.50  
SUEBEE 4 5 5 5 713 723½ 736 (breed debra )DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 35.75  
 
FL-3   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:242 :49 1:132 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH BAHE 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 2½ 1¼ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 5.30  
CIVIL SERVICE 3 2 33 34 33 1½ 2¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 57% 0.70 0.70 P
ASAP RESTORATION 1 5 58 5 5 35 3(ronen assa)DAVIS A 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.75 S
INTERSTATE 5 4 43 44 48 58 412¼ (lopez arcadio)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 10.00 41.75  
ACH DU LIEBER 2 6 69 67 611½ 610½ 512¾ (breed jr)DAVILA A 122 6.00 15.20  
BAR FOURTEEN 4 3 11 1½ 2½ 4612¾ (sells rachel)COA J 122 3.00 16% 5.30 4.10  
SCR  LUCKY MANNY               (acquilano)NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
:231 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERIDROMOS 6 1 7 4   31¼ (lugovich l)PEREZ E 124 6.00 3.70  
MILAGROSO 2 6 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 5.00 15.20  
THOMAS S P 5 5 5 2nk   2nk 3(grabowski john)HARKIE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00 27.25 S
CROAGH PATRICK 8 2 8 8   84(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00 27.75  
BANKINGONACHANCE 3 4 3.2 6   55(ferraro anthon)COA J 121 2.50 33% 2.00 1.80  
THE LAST SHEEK 7 7 6 7   76(progno s)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00 67.75  
FIVE DESTINATIONS 4 3 4 5   67(acquilano jame)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.00 3.80  
THE CATILLAC KID 1 8 1nk 31   48(barrow paul)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 42% 1.40 2.35  
 
FL-5   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
:23 :464 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FRAN 4 3 12 11   14 1(shaffer richa)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 1.80 60% 0.70 0.50 W
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS 5 2 22 21   24 2(ferraro anth)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 10% 8.80 6.10 P
CLIFDEN PUNCH 7 4 713 712½   713½ 3(ashley jul)DAVIS A 121 15.00 24.25  
TRIVIA 6 1 3 31   35 45 (breed debra )DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 6% 16.30 7.90  
IN TRAFFIC 1 7 69 6   612½ 55 (rivera m)HARKIE K 121 6.00 8.60  
THE NEW MIAMI 2 6 5 56   410 6(vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 10.00 48.25  
BANKERS DAUGHTER 3 5 4 45   510½ 713¼ (d'alessandro ra)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 5.50  
 
FL-6   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:40
:232 :472 :594     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BROWN SUGAR 9 4 1nk 1½   13 1(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 1.50  
IXODES 2 1 2nk 3½   23 2(d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 8.00  
MIAMI TWOFER 6 2 4 2½   3310¾ (grusmark k)DAVIS A 122 3.00 23% 3.30 4.70 S
EQUINAMOUS 8 7 6 5   4417¼ (miller-saul beth)COA J 122 4.00 10% 8.70 2.90  
SHEZENTICING 7 3 5 43   5519¼ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.50 45% 1.20 5.70  
STONE POWER 5 9 8 8   614½ 621¼ (dixon k)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 15.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
DR G AND ALI 1 5 31 6   715½ 726 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 12.00 25.50  
WORLD CRUISE 3 8 7 7   816½ 826¾ (lecesse michael)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00 26.00  
WIDOW 4 6 9 914¼   920½ 929 (iorio jr)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 33.50  
 
FL-7   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOWERING GAZE 7 3 31 2nk   2nk 11 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 19.70  
SMALL PEBBLES 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 21 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 3.50 22% 3.50 0.95 P
REMOANE 5 6 5 32   33(lopez arca)DAVIS A 122 2.50 4.50  
MIND OF GOLD 1 4 63 7   54(oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 18% 4.60 6.30  
LA CAFETERA 4 5 78 6   65(loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 10.00 36.00  
MISS CIRCULAR GAL 2 2 2nk 4   4610½ (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 118 15.00 66.25  
WEDONTBELIEVEHER 3 7 42 5   7713¾ (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 29% 2.40 2.20  
SCR  FREE SHOT               (d'alessandro ral)COA J 121 6.00    
 
FL-8   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 4:38
:231 :471 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENJI BROWN 3 1 11 1   16 1(babcock ka)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.50 W
STEWIE 1 9 7 7   37 2(englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 3.00 32% 2.10 2.35 P
PROFITABILITY 9 2 42 44   26 3(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 4.30  
HOW U DOIN 7 3 6 6   64(progno s)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00 11.20  
NIPPY FITZ 5 8 8 5   45(dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 15.00 11.20  
SEAMS LIKE DESTINY 6 7 21 3   76(smith troy)HARKIE K 122 6.00 3.20  
GO GRAD 2 6 32 2   5711½ (d'alessandro ralp)ROHENA JR 122 12.00 15% 5.80 30.00  
PEACEFULPERSUASION 8 4 5 8   815¾ 816¼ (dixon linda )DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 17.50  
RIGATONI ALA VODKA 4 5 9 917¾   931¾ 932 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 29% 2.40 5.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.