Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/3/5)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/5)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/5)-(4/7/2)-(1/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE COD GEM Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Oct04 Aug15 (miller-saul be)COA J 122 3.00 72% 0.40    
2  HOLEY MATRIMONY Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Mar19 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 2.50 ★    
3  COUPLES THERAPY Sep20 Jul05 Jun14 May24 May08 (breed ronald)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOON HUNTER Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
5  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Oct04 Sep21 Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
SCR  PERSISTENT DANGER Oct10 May24 May09 Apr25 Feb23 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 6.00    
7  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Sep27 Sep11 Sep01 Aug23 Jul26 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
 
FL-2   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 121 8.00    
2  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Sep19 Sep04 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (chamberl)DAVIS A 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
3  E Z TOLL Oct03 Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 May24 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
4  SUEBEE Oct03 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 Jul17 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
5  SWEET DESANTIS Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
7  M. A. S. SCRUVES Oct03 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (marino josep)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.50    
 
FL-3   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY MANNY Sep26 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
2  ASAP RESTORATION Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 (ronen as)DAVIS A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACH DU LIEBER Sep24 Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jul18 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 6.00    
4  CIVIL SERVICE Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  BAR FOURTEEN Sep28 Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun17 (sells rachel)COA J 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  INTERSTATE Oct10 Sep25 Sep12 Aug28 Aug16 (lopez arcadi)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 10.00    
7  COACH BAHE Oct04 Aug29 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
 
FL-4   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CATILLAC KID Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jun05 May15 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  MILAGROSO Oct04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 Jul01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 5.00    
3  BANKINGONACHANCE Aug03 Jun11       (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  FIVE DESTINATIONS Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (acquilano ja)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.00 ★    
5  THOMAS S P May14 Apr20       (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ERIDROMOS Sep25 Sep06 Aug04 Jul09 Jun04 (lugovich l)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
7  THE LAST SHEEK Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 Jun28   (progno s)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00    
8  CROAGH PATRICK Sep18 Aug21       (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 15.00    
 
FL-5   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TRAFFIC Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 (rivera david)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
2  THE NEW MIAMI Oct04 Sep18 Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 10.00    
3  BANKERS DAUGHTER Sep20 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jun26 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
4  FAST FRAN Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 1.80 60% 0.70    
5  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Sep26 Sep18 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 10% 8.80    
6  TRIVIA Oct04 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 6% 16.30    
7  CLIFDEN PUNCH Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul19 (ashley j)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
 
FL-6   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR G AND ALI Sep27         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of OVERDRIVE by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  IXODES Sep25 Sep11 Aug15 Aug01   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SMARTLEE AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
3  WORLD CRUISE         (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of SEE THE WORLD by GIO PONTI)
4  WIDOW         (iorio jr)ROHENA JR 122 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
5  STONE POWER Sep11         (dixon linda )BARBOSA CARLOS 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of SHUFFLE THE DECK by HIGH YIELD)
6  MIAMI TWOFER Sep27 Aug28       (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  SHEZENTICING Sep11 Aug15 Aug01     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by ENTICED out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
8  EQUINAMOUS Sep27 Aug28 Jun12     (miller-saul be)COA J 122 4.00 10% 8.70    
  (by CONNECT out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
9  SWEET BROWN SUGAR         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
 
FL-7   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOWERING GAZE Sep26 Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 Jul09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  FREE SHOT Sep19 Aug23 Jul24 Jul11 Mar25 (d'alessandro r)COA J 121 6.00    
2  MIND OF GOLD Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 118 15.00    
4  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Aug23 Jul05 Jun27 Apr13 Jan18 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  LA CAFETERA Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 10.00    
6  REMOANE Oct04 Sep26 Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 122 2.50    
7  SMALL PEBBLES Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 Jun21 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
FL-8   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEWIE Sep06         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of UNIQUELY MINE by MINESHAFT)
2  GO GRAD Sep25         (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 15% 5.80    
  (by CONGRATS out of FLASHY NOTE by CATIENUS)
3  BENJI BROWN         (babcock )DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MISS RUBYCUBES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
4  RIGATONI ALA VODKA         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SHE'S STONES SIS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  NIPPY FITZ Sep04         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of FITZ JUST RIGHT by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
6  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY         (smith troy)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
7  HOW U DOIN         (progno s)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AKRIS QUEEN by ARCH)
8  PEACEFULPERSUASION         (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of LAKE SQUARED by FRIENDS LAKE)
9  PROFITABILITY         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of VICKI T by STREET SENSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.