Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.00  
MVR-3   Win (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $62.20  
MVR-4   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-5   Win (7/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
MVR-6   Win (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
MVR-7   Win (1/6/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $10.20  
MVR-8   Win (1/3/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOST ADORABLE 2 4 12 11   13 11 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
GEMSHINE 1 5 35 34   23 21 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 6.00 28% 2.60 1.90 P
BOLD NICKY 5 2 22 21   35 310¾ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 3.60  
MI CANCION 3 3 4 49   410 418 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 12.70  
MOTOWN HARBOR 4 1 5 512   516 525¼ (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 126 15.00 15.00  
SCR  POLLY PRISSY PANTS               (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 1.80    
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE               (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-2   11/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE WAY FARRIOR 6 2 32 3   1½ 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 6.00 3.50  
POKER PARTNER 5 1 1nk 1½   2½ 2 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.50 12% 7.20 2.10 P
LUCKY COUGAR 3 4 44 4   4 3 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 53% 0.90 2.80 S
EL BAMBINO 1 6 55 5   5 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 11% 8.00 2.50  
UNTROUBLED 2 3 2nk 2½   33 5 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 120 2.00 7.10  
ROYALLY FLUSHED 4 5 611 610½   6 611½ (short w)BRACHO A 122 8.00 39.90  
 
MVR-3   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:014     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMINATOR 6 2 53 43   31 1 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 30.10  
SMARTASSET 4 1 31 2   2½ 2 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 4.20  
EXTRA CRAFTY 3 7 76 7   43 3 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 15.00 26.70  
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 1 4 1½ 1   1½ 4 (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 126 2.50 40% 1.50 1.50  
DOMINUS O'S ME 7 3 43 5   64 5 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 30% 2.30 2.20  
WINDY VALLEY 2 5 2½ 32   5 6 (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 5.40  
J. P INDY 5 6 6 6   7 7 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MONEY 4 3 55 45   2 12 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 38% 1.70 2.10 W
TWICE AS SMART 2 4 1½ 12   1 22 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 5.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 3 5 44 55   3 35 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 126 3.50 36% 1.80 2.50 S
HROTHGAR 5 1 68 612   511½ 413½ (morzan j)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 16.80  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 2 33 22   4 515¼ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 5.40  
BROADWAY JONES 1 6 2½ 3   612½ 622½ (hurley l)HALDAR J 126 3.00 4.40  
SCR  PAT DADDY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
 
MVR-5   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT 8 4 1½ 11   12 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.20 1.70 W
RIKIO 7 3 4 21   22 2 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 32% 2.10 7.20 P
MAYITO 1 7 6 7   34 34 (buttigie)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 8% 11.90 1.80 S
STRIKE A BEAT 5 6 8 64   4 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.60  
UPTOWN GUY 2 1 2½ 5   5 5 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 6.80  
STRASBOURG 4 5 7 8   78 610¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 16% 5.30 17.10  
HINK'S PALADIN 3 2 3½ 3   6 712½ (johnston rebecca)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 60.20  
FRANK N DUCKY 6 8 5 42   815 822¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 33.90  
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TROUBLED WATERS 2 5 42 5   2nk 1 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 19% 4.20 3.80 W
ANCHORWOMAN 8 1 3 2nk   1nk 2 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00 38% 1.60 0.50 P
I'M LEGIT 3 8 812¼ 8   66 3 (melancon paul)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 19.30  
MAYBE FRANKY 5 4 5 4   43 45 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 31.90  
LADY FORTUNE 1 6 7 6   54 5 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 23.30  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 6 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 21% 3.90 6.20  
FACTISIMFLASHY 4 3 2nk 33   78 710½ (antonuik jerr)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
MISS ELLIE 7 7 6 7   823 836 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 26.70  
 
MVR-7   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 3 5 2½ 32   2nk 1¾ (ramos fr)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 4.10  
ORVILLE B 8 1 3 2½   1nk 2¾ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.00 7% 13.60 4.50 P
WAR ON THE RIVER 5 4 1½ 1½   3½ 3 (flores christi)HALDAR J 122 3.00 18% 4.70 2.60 S
AGNELLO CITY 6 3 54 55   4 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 9.00  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 4 8 8 6   5 57 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
ORLEANS STORM 1 9 9 8   6 6 (tumblin andr)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 5.60  
MUCH TIMES TWO 7 2 43 43   7 7 (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 124 15.00 30.60  
10  PLAYING BALL 9 6 7 7   8 813¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 14.30  
CHECK THE FACTS 2 7 64 9   910½ 914¼ (kerr n)MOJICA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
SCR  EAGLE NEST               (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
MVR-8   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:013     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 3 6 2½ 1nk   12 1 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 26% 2.90 3.90 W
SOMETHING ON TAP 9 3 52 2nk   22 2 (murillo-rodrigu)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 40.20  
12  MARQUITOS M 12 2 9 4   3 312¼ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 124 15.00 13.50  
WHY KENNY WHY 4 12 1111¼ 1011½   67 412¾ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 40.30  
HARTSTEIN 1 7 1½ 31   4 513 (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 40% 1.50 1.30  
10  NO MAS CERVEZA 10 10 1010¾ 1113   9 614½ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 11% 8.40 4.40  
MY HOMBRE 2 9 31 64   7 715¾ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 10.10  
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 7 5 8 8   5 816¼ (maddox rachael)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 12.50  
RAISE YOU ONE 5 8 7 9   88 919¼ (doering mark)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 ######  
MY TICKET 8 11 1211½ 1215   1113½ 1026 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 18.90  
11  FORMYBOYS 11 1 6 5   1011½ 1126½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
R CLIFFHANGER 6 4 42 7   1214 1232¼ (melancon paul)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 66.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.