Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4-3 $7.20 $3.20 80%
MVR-4   EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $31.40 $19.40 162%
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-3-4 $25.80 $22.80 760%
MVR-5   TRI (7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-7-1 $24.15 $12.15 101%
MVR-6   WIN (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    DD (7/9/4/1)-(8/6/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-2 $35.00 $3.00 9%
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(7/9/4/1)-(8/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2/5-9-2 $35.70 $11.70 49%
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.80 $1.80 23%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOST ADORABLE 2 4 12 11   13 11 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
3  GEMSHINE 1 5 35 34   23 21 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 6.00 28% 2.60 1.90 P
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
7  BOLD NICKY 5 2 22 21   35 310¾ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 3.60  
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
5  MI CANCION 3 3 46½ 49   410 418 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 12.70  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
6  MOTOWN HARBOR 4 1 58½ 512   516 525¼ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 15.00 15.00  
  (by MOBIL out of SEAMAN HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  POLLY PRISSY PANTS               (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 1.80    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE               (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
MVR-2   11/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ONE WAY FARRIOR 6 2 32 31½   1½ 11¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 6.00 3.50  
5  POKER PARTNER 5 1 1nk 1½   2½ 21¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.50 12% 7.20 2.10 P
3  LUCKY COUGAR 3 4 44 44½   43½ 34¾ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 53% 0.90 2.80 S
1  EL BAMBINO 1 6 55 57½   55½ 45½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 11% 8.00 2.50  
2  UNTROUBLED 2 3 2nk 2½   33 56¾ (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 120 2.00 7.10  
4  ROYALLY FLUSHED 4 5 611 610½   69½ 611½ (short travis )BRACHO A 122 8.00 39.90  
 
MVR-3   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:014     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STORMINATOR 6 2 53 43   31 13½ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 30.10  
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
4  SMARTASSET 4 1 31 21½   2½ 23½ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 4.20  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
3  EXTRA CRAFTY 3 7 76 76½   43 33¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 15.00 26.70  
  (by PALACE out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
1  HOLLYS SUPER STAR 1 4 1½ 11½   1½ 44½ (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 126 2.50 40% 1.50 1.50  
  (by GRITTANI out of SPANISH CANDY by SPANIARD)
8  DOMINUS O'S ME 7 3 43 53½   64 57¼ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 30% 2.30 2.20  
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
2  WINDY VALLEY 2 5 2½ 32   53½ 67¾ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 5.40  
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
5  J. P INDY 5 6 63½ 66½   76½ 79½ (cline c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
  (by GREEK SUN out of GUMBOOTS by STORM BOOT)
 
MVR-4   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  T MONEY 4 3 55 45   21½ 12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 38% 1.70 2.10 W
3  TWICE AS SMART 2 4 1½ 12   11½ 22 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 5.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
4  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 3 5 44 55   34½ 35 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 126 3.50 36% 1.80 2.50 S
6  HROTHGAR 5 1 68 612   511½ 413½ (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 16.80  
7  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 2 33 22   46½ 515¼ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 5.40  
1  BROADWAY JONES 1 6 2½ 33½   612½ 622½ (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 3.00 4.40  
SCR  PAT DADDY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
 
MVR-5   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  INSIDE STUNT 8 4 1½ 11   12 13¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.20 1.70 W
7  RIKIO 7 3 41½ 21   22 23¼ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 32% 2.10 7.20 P
1  MAYITO 1 7 62¾ 74½   34 34 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 8% 11.90 1.80 S
5  STRIKE A BEAT 5 6 84¾ 64   44½ 44¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.60  
2  UPTOWN GUY 2 1 2½ 53½   56½ 59¾ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 6.80  
4  STRASBOURG 4 5 72¾ 86½   78 610¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 16% 5.30 17.10  
3  HINK'S PALADIN 3 2 3½ 31½   66½ 712½ (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 60.20  
6  FRANK N DUCKY 6 8 51¾ 42   815 822¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 33.90  
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS 2 5 42 54¼   2nk 12½ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 19% 4.20 3.80 W
8  ANCHORWOMAN 8 1 31½ 2nk   1nk 22½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00 38% 1.60 0.50 P
3  I'M LEGIT 3 8 812¼ 88¼   66 32¾ (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 19.30  
5  MAYBE FRANKY 5 4 52¼ 43¼   43 45 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 31.90  
1  LADY FORTUNE 1 6 75¼ 64¼   54 56¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 23.30  
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 67¼ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 21% 3.90 6.20  
4  FACTISIMFLASHY 4 3 2nk 33   78 710½ (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
7  MISS ELLIE 7 7 63¾ 75¼   823 836 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 26.70  
 
MVR-7   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 3 5 2½ 32   2nk 1¾ (ramos )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 4.10  
9  ORVILLE B 8 1 32½ 2½   1nk 2¾ (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.00 7% 13.60 4.50 P
6  WAR ON THE RIVER 5 4 1½ 1½   3½ 35¼ (flores chris)HALDAR J 122 3.00 18% 4.70 2.60 S
7  AGNELLO CITY 6 3 54 55   43½ 45½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 9.00  
5  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 4 8 84¾ 66½   54½ 57 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
2  ORLEANS STORM 1 9 96¾ 86¾   65½ 67¼ (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 5.60  
8  MUCH TIMES TWO 7 2 43 43   77½ 79¾ (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 124 15.00 30.60  
10  PLAYING BALL 9 6 74¼ 76½   89½ 813¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 14.30  
3  CHECK THE FACTS 2 7 64 99¾   910½ 914¼ (kerr n)MOJICA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
SCR  EAGLE NEST               (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
MVR-8   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:013     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 3 6 2½ 1nk   12 18¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 26% 2.90 3.90 W
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
9  SOMETHING ON TAP 9 3 52 2nk   22 28¾ (murillo-rodri)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 40.20  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
12  MARQUITOS M 12 2 95¾ 42½   32½ 312¼ (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 15.00 13.50  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
4  WHY KENNY WHY 4 12 1111¼ 1011½   67 412¾ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 40.30  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
1  HARTSTEIN 1 7 1½ 31   43½ 513 (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 40% 1.50 1.30  
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
10  NO MAS CERVEZA 10 10 1010¾ 1113   98½ 614½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 11% 8.40 4.40  
  (by VAQUERO out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
2  MY HOMBRE 2 9 31 64   77½ 715¾ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 ★ 10.10  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
7  RUNAWAY RUSSELL 7 5 85¾ 86½   56½ 816¼ (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 12.50  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  RAISE YOU ONE 5 8 75½ 98½   88 919¼ (doering ma)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 ######  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
8  MY TICKET 8 11 1211½ 1215   1113½ 1026 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 18.90  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
11  FORMYBOYS 11 1 63½ 53½   1011½ 1126½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
6  R CLIFFHANGER 6 4 42 74½   1214 1232¼ (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 66.50  
  (by BIRDRUN out of STORMY MAY by BAD STORM COMIN')
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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