Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $22.60  
MVR-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
MVR-3   Win (2/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.00  
MVR-4   Win (5/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
MVR-5   Win (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.40  
MVR-6   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $10.20  
MVR-7   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
MVR-8   Win (5/3/10/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $18.00  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERS OF DENIRO 7 2 3 4   4¾ 11 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 4.00 10.30  
REIGNING DREAM 4 4 4 32   3.2 21 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 13.70  
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 33 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 122 1.80 23% 3.30 0.60 S
SHAKE THE FROST 1 5 5 5   5 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.80  
VERNON'S BEST 5 7 7 66   6 5 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 122 8.00 20.50  
C V DYNAMIC 2 6 6 77   7 6 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 22% 3.60 8.30  
TAHLEQUAH JOE 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 7 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 122 15.00 16.00  
 
MVR-2   11/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORORITY SISTER 3 2 1½ 1 110 17 110¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.80 58% 0.70 0.30 W
STATE OF GRACE 2 5 6 57 312 27 210¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00 P
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 5 3 4 33 210 311½ 316½ (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 2.50 3.30  
SAVESOMEFORME 1 6 5 67 413½ 413 417½ (bates l)BRACHO A 124 6.00 10% 8.60 7.60  
WAR MOON 4 1 31 4 514 515 523¾ (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 57.60  
SPUN PRETTY 6 4 2½ 2 629 6100 6100 (calderon ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.00 9.70  
 
MVR-3   11/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:221 :452       1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKING ME CRAZY 1 7 44 43   22 1¾ (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 5.50  
WOODLAND WALK 2 3 11 1   12 2¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 1.60 66% 0.50 0.40 P
MALIBU CLASSIC 8 5 5 54   55 37 (trevi)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.60 S
UNCLE EARL 3 2 21 2   34 4 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 15.50  
VENETIAN DREAM 6 6 6 6   7 5 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
ROCK ON KITTEN 5 4 7 76   6 6 (johnson l)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 37.40  
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 4 1 3 3   45 711¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 8% 12.00 8.80  
LORD OF LEGENDS 7 8 810½ 811   811 815¾ (buhrow d)DIAZ I 124 20.00 61.00  
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO               (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA PISTOL 5 6 6 54   5 1 (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 122 3.00 33% 2.10 2.50 W
SEEKING FREEDOM 6 1 33 32   3½ 2 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 11.70  
LUCKY VICTOR 1 3 1 1   1nk 3 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 10.40  
LIVING THE DREAM 3 4 44 4   2nk 4 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 2.40  
OLLIE'S FOLLY 4 7 2 2   4¾ 5 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00 19% 4.20 4.10  
ONE STEP ASIDE 2 5 54 7   6 615¾ (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 11.20  
KOZWHAT 7 2 7 69   713¼ 739 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 14% 6.30 3.70  
SCR  WEEKEND RETREAT               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
MVR-5   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVOLI 6 3 21 2nk   2nk 1 (west w)BRACHO A 122 2.00 2.70  
QUARANTINO 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.00 P
LAST COOKIE 3 7 6 6   3 37 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 26% 2.80 3.10 S
HITSVILLE 8 4 43 32   46 4 (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 12.80  
MSHINDI 1 6 53 5   57 512¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 19.90  
MAS ORO 7 2 3 4   68 612¾ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 42.70  
NAPA DUDE 2 8 76 7   711 717¼ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 76.90  
CREATIVE BEAT 5 5 8 813¼   816 826 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
 
MVR-6   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Glacial Princess Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWISTED JUSTICE 1 2 1nk 1nk   13 1 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 2.50 4.10  
DANZANITEAWAY 6 5 6 53   44 2 (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 118 5.00 8% 11.40 3.40 P
FEELING EASY 4 4 42 2nk   23 310¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 3.20 S
TIERNEY 3 3 2nk 3½   33 410¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 1.80 61% 0.70 1.40  
MAYBETHEONE 5 1 31 42   5 516¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 6.40  
LUCKY STUFF 2 6 54 6100   6100 6100 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 10.00 38.20  
 
MVR-7   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO DA BOSS 7 1 3 31   11 1¼ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 23% 3.40 3.90 W
DIAL DIRECT 3 6 5 4   31 2¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.80 39% 1.60 0.20 DQ↓3
VILLIAN 4 3 6 5   5 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 10.00 22.40  
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 1 7 7 7   6 4 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 10.00 21.40  
GAPPER 6 4 4 6   7 5 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50 28.80  
ROLL ON BIG O 5 2 2½ 2nk   4 6 (rone mike)FERNANDEZ R 120 8.00 53.10  
LUST FOR LIFE 2 5 1½ 1nk   21 78 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 6.00 15% 5.80 15.90  
 
MVR-8   11/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ruff/Kirchberg Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:41   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKLAHOMA JOE 1 1 11 12 1 1 11 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 116 10.00 8.00  
CASUAL ATTIRE 7 4 6 6 5 2 21 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00 5.30  
RELISH THE RIDE 3 11 11 11 1110 6 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.00 5% 18.20 4.30 S
12  CONTROLLER 12 9 8 7 7 5 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00 7.00  
RED HEAD KID 9 5 32 4 47 46 5 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00 36.60  
BIG TRUCK 5 3 94 9 8 77 69 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50 64% 0.60 2.10  
ROMANTIC COWBOY 8 6 21 22 2 35 713¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 12.40  
THAT'S THE WAY 4 2 10 10 9 8 814 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 70.80  
PRESSLEY RIDGE 2 12 1211 1210¼ 1212 1113¾ 918 (pappada a)GONZALEZ A 116 20.00 69.30  
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 6 10 5 32 37 9 1018¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 68.20  
11  FIRST SONG 11 8 4 53 6 1013½ 1124 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
10  DR. ZARNETT 10 7 7 8 1010 1213¾ 1231¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.