Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $13.20 $1.20 10%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $17.60 $5.60 47%
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $22.60 $4.60 26%
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-6 $19.40 $1.40 8%
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1/6-1-1/6 $17.80 $4.30 32%
MVR-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/6/5)-(5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-1/6-5 $30.10 $21.10 234%
MVR-5   WIN (1/12/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $50.20 $40.20 402%
    EXA (1/12/9/7/4)-(1/12/9/7/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-12 $126.20 $86.20 216%
    DD (5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 10 $2.00 $20.00  5-4 $159.60 $139.60 698%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00  1/6-5-4 $284.90 $269.90 1799%
    PK5 (6/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 270 $1.00 $270  1/6-1-1/6-5-4 $7124 $6854 2539%
MVR-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $56.00 $44.00 367%
    DD (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-4 $520.20 $490.20 1634%
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00  5-4-4 $300.50 $285.50 1903%
MVR-7   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $11.00 $7.00 175%
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $52.00 $40.00 333%
    PK3 (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00  4-4-1 $730.55 $715.55 4770%
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    EXA (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/11/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-6 $67.60 $35.60 111%
    TRI (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/11/7)-(5/6/9/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-6-5 $43.65 $19.65 82%
    DD (6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  1-9 $95.80 $79.80 499%
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-1-9 $229.55 $217.55 1813%
    PK4 (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 120 $0.50 $60.00  4-4-1-9 $8614 $8554 14257%
    PK6 (1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 720 $0.20 $144  1/6-5-4-4-1-9 $4274 $4130 2868%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASCENDANCE   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 0.60 W
  (by TAMARKUZ out of YALISHA by RUN PRODUCTION)
MANSION PARTY   (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 10.10  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
REVENGE TOUR   (short travis )BRACHO A 122 5.00 9% 9.50 10.60 S
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CUSSIN N FUSSIN   (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 18% 4.60 5.50  
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
ENDOW   (thornbury je)HALDAR J 122 8.00 12.30  
  (by FED BIZ out of RUSTICANA by PIONEERING)
FOX CREEK   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00 48.10  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
GOLDEN BUCK   (simms )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 4.00  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GHOST GALAXY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DIXIE MAN   (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
 
MVR-2   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S MISSION   (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 2.50 35% 1.90 2.20 W
MR. CELLULAR   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 2.30  
MR LAOBAN   (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 4.50 2.00  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST   (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 21.90  
BELL CURVE   (bates l)BRACHO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
ALTAIR   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.00 9.00  
SECRETARY OF WAR   (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 27% 2.70 7.00  
 
MVR-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGS MORNING PICK   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 42% 1.40 3.50 W
OAKEN   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 5.00 34% 1.90 3.60 W
PRIVATE DRIVE   (guidry ter)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5.50  
OL' NED   (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 1.30  
SURROUNDER   (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
PLATE IT UP   (tumblin and)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 52.00  
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN   (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 10.00  
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-4   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPINJUSTICE   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 33% 2.10 1.70 W
VAVITE   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13.30  
CREATIVE CADENCE   (morales m)YARANGA Y 122 12.00 8.70  
DULCE VICTORIA   (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 4.00 0.70  
POLITICAL ASTRAY   (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 22% 3.60 7.90  
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
SCR  KRISTIN   (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
SCR  ROSE KNOWS   (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C V JERSEY BEE   (melanco)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10 W
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
12  CIRO THE BOSS   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 14% 6.30 0.50 P
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
10  STORMED OUT   (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 16.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
EL SORDO   (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 45% 1.20 2.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
MAILS HERE   (brafford mich)BRACHO A 124 5.00 12% 7.30 7.90  
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
ROUGE TU RICHES   (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 50.50  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
MOR CRAFTY   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00 98.90  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY   (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 76.30  
  (by OXBOW out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
PAYMASTER GENERAL   (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 89.00  
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
11  SQUEAKY CLEAN   (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 126 20.00 ######  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
JAYDEN'S PRINCE   (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  MATTAWAN   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MVR-6   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 3:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERLO'S CAUSE   (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.90 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELLES ORB by ORB)
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER   (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20 3.50 P
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
NOT TODAY   (buttigi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 12.90  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of MISS DEFY by WAKI WARRIOR)
SURF HAPPY   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 20% 3.90 2.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BIG R. NAUFFAL   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 8.00 2.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of LOOKSGOODFROMHERE by FREUD)
LUNA PRIMAVERA   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 18.40  
  (by MASTER SINGER out of PREVIOUS ESCORT by SOUTHERN ESCORT)
KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN   (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 8.20  
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of ROMACACA by RUNNING STAG)
 
MVR-7   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTSOFWANDER   (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
MORETHANREADYEDDIE   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.50 3.50  
ERNIE'S MARTINI   (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00 7.20 S
HIPPODROME   (ginter raym)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 71% 0.40 0.90  
CATEGORY TEN   (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 9.50  
HOUSED   (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 19.50  
POT COMMITTED   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 29.60  
SCR  HURRY ON OUT   (tooley jenn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT   (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 2.50    
 
MVR-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORFANO   (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 6.00 6% 16.20 5.40 W
I STRONG   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 15% 5.70 3.60 P
WILDCAT PRIDE   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 53% 0.90 1.70 S
CONSTITUTION COAL   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 20.10  
HOTROD BOBBY   (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 11.50  
SHOWTIME BOY   (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 15.10  
MAN'S CHOICE   (fernandez edw)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
HARSH TRUTH   (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 60.20  
11  YIPPEE KI YAY   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 3.90  
WHISKEY HELPS   (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 39.60  
SCR  FAST CLIP   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.