Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $13.20 $1.20 10%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $17.60 $5.60 47%
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $22.60 $4.60 26%
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-6 $19.40 $1.40 8%
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1/6-1-1/6 $17.80 $4.30 32%
MVR-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/6/5)-(5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-1/6-5 $30.10 $21.10 234%
MVR-5   WIN (1/12/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $50.20 $40.20 402%
    EXA (1/12/9/7/4)-(1/12/9/7/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-12 $126.20 $86.20 216%
    DD (5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 10 $2.00 $20.00  5-4 $159.60 $139.60 698%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00  1/6-5-4 $284.90 $269.90 1799%
    PK5 (6/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 270 $1.00 $270  1/6-1-1/6-5-4 $7124 $6854 2539%
MVR-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $56.00 $44.00 367%
    DD (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-4 $520.20 $490.20 1634%
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00  5-4-4 $300.50 $285.50 1903%
MVR-7   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $11.00 $7.00 175%
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $52.00 $40.00 333%
    PK3 (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00  4-4-1 $730.55 $715.55 4770%
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    EXA (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/11/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-6 $67.60 $35.60 111%
    TRI (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/11/7)-(5/6/9/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-6-5 $43.65 $19.65 82%
    DD (6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  1-9 $95.80 $79.80 499%
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-1-9 $229.55 $217.55 1813%
    PK4 (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 120 $0.50 $60.00  4-4-1-9 $8614 $8554 14257%
    PK6 (1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 720 $0.20 $144  1/6-5-4-4-1-9 $4274 $4130 2868%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:154 1:291   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ASCENDANCE 5 4 31½ 21 2½ 1½ 13¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 0.60 W
  (by TAMARKUZ out of YALISHA by RUN PRODUCTION)
5  MANSION PARTY 4 1 11½ 11 1½ 2½ 23¼ (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 10.10  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  REVENGE TOUR 1 3 65½ 54½ 42 34½ 310¾ (short travis )BRACHO A 122 5.00 9% 9.50 10.60 S
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  CUSSIN N FUSSIN 2 2 21½ 33 31½ 46 417¾ (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 18% 4.60 5.50  
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
8  ENDOW 7 7 43½ 44½ 53 510 518 (thornbury je)HALDAR J 122 8.00 12.30  
  (by FED BIZ out of RUSTICANA by PIONEERING)
4  FOX CREEK 3 5 54 64¾ 68 617 632¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00 48.10  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
7  GOLDEN BUCK 6 6 76 76¾ 711 722 736¼ (simms )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 4.00  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GHOST GALAXY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DIXIE MAN               (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
 
MVR-2   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:132 1:272   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO'S MISSION 1 1 12½ 13 14½ 17 17¾ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 2.50 35% 1.90 2.20 W
7  MR. CELLULAR 7 5 33½ 23 24½ 27 27¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 2.30  
5  MR LAOBAN 5 4 54½ 44 37 39 311¾ (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 4.50 2.00  
2  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 2 3 22½ 33½ 47½ 411 412 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 21.90  
4  BELL CURVE 4 7 79 713½ 713½ 511½ 514½ (bates l)BRACHO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
6  ALTAIR 6 2 44 55½ 58½ 612½ 616¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.00 9.00  
3  SECRETARY OF WAR 3 6 67 610½ 611½ 716½ 721¾ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 27% 2.70 7.00  
 
MVR-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK 1 6 75¼ 65   31½ 1hd (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 42% 1.40 3.50 W
6  OAKEN 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 5.00 34% 1.90 3.60 W
8  PRIVATE DRIVE 7 1 3.2 3½   2nk 3hd (guidry ter)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5.50  
7  OL' NED 6 7 53¼ 42   42½ 44¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 1.30  
5  SURROUNDER 4 5 42¾ 53½   65 58¼ (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
2  PLATE IT UP 2 4 63¾ 77   75½ 68½ (tumblin and)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 52.00  
4  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 3 3 1nk 2nk   54½ 710½ (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 10.00  
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY               (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-4   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWEEPINJUSTICE 3 5 57¼ 56¼   2nk 11¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 33% 2.10 1.70 W
3  VAVITE 2 3 42¼ 42¼   1nk 21¾ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13.30  
2  CREATIVE CADENCE 1 4 1nk 1nk   5¾ 36 (morales m)YARANGA Y 122 12.00 8.70  
7  DULCE VICTORIA 5 2 2nk 2nk   4¾ 46¾ (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 4.00 0.70  
6  POLITICAL ASTRAY 4 1 3.2 3.2   3½ 57½ (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 22% 3.60 7.90  
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
SCR  KRISTIN               (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
SCR  ROSE KNOWS               (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:001     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  C V JERSEY BEE 3 6 21 1nk   13 11¼ (melanco)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10 W
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
12  CIRO THE BOSS 11 2 43 32   33½ 21¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 14% 6.30 0.50 P
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
10  STORMED OUT 9 5 11 2nk   23 37¼ (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 16.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
1  EL SORDO 1 9 75 68   48½ 47¾ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 45% 1.20 2.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  MAILS HERE 8 7 85¼ 46   59 59 (brafford mich)BRACHO A 124 5.00 12% 7.30 7.90  
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
2  ROUGE TU RICHES 2 8 95¾ 79   610½ 610½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 50.50  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
5  MOR CRAFTY 4 11 1113¾ 1015   919 718¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00 98.90  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 5 4 65 810½   716½ 818½ (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 76.30  
  (by OXBOW out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
8  PAYMASTER GENERAL 7 3 32 57   818½ 927¾ (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 89.00  
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
11  SQUEAKY CLEAN 10 1 53½ 911   1026 1056¼ (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 126 20.00 ######  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
7  JAYDEN'S PRINCE 6 10 1012¾ 1125   1136 1167 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  MATTAWAN               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MVR-6   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KERLO'S CAUSE 4 6 43½ 32   2nk 1¼ (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.90 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELLES ORB by ORB)
3  BEAUTIFUL SUMMER 3 5 32 21½   1nk 2¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20 3.50 P
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
6  NOT TODAY 6 3 2nk 11½   3½ 34½ (buttigi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 12.90  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of MISS DEFY by WAKI WARRIOR)
2  SURF HAPPY 2 7 53¾ 52½   43½ 47¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 20% 3.90 2.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  BIG R. NAUFFAL 1 1 1nk 42½   55½ 513½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 8.00 2.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of LOOKSGOODFROMHERE by FREUD)
5  LUNA PRIMAVERA 5 4 75¼ 710½   78 613¾ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 18.40  
  (by MASTER SINGER out of PREVIOUS ESCORT by SOUTHERN ESCORT)
7  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN 7 2 64¼ 64½   67½ 715¾ (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 8.20  
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of ROMACACA by RUNNING STAG)
 
MVR-7   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:132 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTSOFWANDER 1 6 43½ 44 41 2nk 1¼ (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
2  MORETHANREADYEDDIE 2 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 2¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.50 3.50  
3  ERNIE'S MARTINI 3 4 32½ 33½ 31 31½ 35 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00 ★ 7.20 S
6  HIPPODROME 4 5 21 21 2½ 43½ 48¾ (ginter raym)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 71% 0.40 0.90  
9  CATEGORY TEN 7 7 65½ 65½ 51½ 55 59¾ (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 9.50  
7  HOUSED 5 2 54½ 55½ 66½ 615 628½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 19.50  
8  POT COMMITTED 6 3 76 710½ 712½ 720 734½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 29.60  
SCR  HURRY ON OUT               (tooley jenn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT               (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 2.50    
 
MVR-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ORFANO 9 7 63¾ 4¼   11 12¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 6.00 6% 16.20 5.40 W
6  I STRONG 6 8 76¼ 5¾   21 22¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 15% 5.70 3.60 P
5  WILDCAT PRIDE 5 3 2½ 1nk   32½ 33½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 53% 0.90 1.70 S
2  CONSTITUTION COAL 2 6 51¾ 73¼   53½ 45¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 20.10  
4  HOTROD BOBBY 4 4 41½ 62¾   63½ 55½ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 11.50  
3  SHOWTIME BOY 3 5 1½ 3.2   43 66¼ (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 15.10  
7  MAN'S CHOICE 7 10 811¼ 88¼   87½ 76½ (fernandez edw)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
8  HARSH TRUTH 8 2 912¼ 109   99 810½ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 60.20  
11  YIPPEE KI YAY 10 1 3½ 2nk   75½ 911¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 ★ 3.90  
1  WHISKEY HELPS 1 9 1012¼ 98¾   1010 1011¾ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 39.60  
SCR  FAST CLIP               (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.