Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-5   Win (1/12/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-8   Win (5/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIXIE MAN Oct23 Oct03 Sep05     (trevino step)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
REVENGE TOUR Oct31 Oct05 Sep23 Aug26 Aug18 (short w)BRACHO A 122 5.00 9% 9.50    
CUSSIN N FUSSIN Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
FOX CREEK Nov07 Jun22       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
MANSION PARTY Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 Sep11 Aug26 (short thomas)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
ASCENDANCE Nov03 Jul27       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
GOLDEN BUCK Sep22         (simms jr)AVILES YAN 122 3.00    
ENDOW Sep28         (thornbury jeff)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
 
MVR-2   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S MISSION Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 Oct09 Sep21 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
NATURE OFTHE BEAST Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
SECRETARY OF WAR Oct25 Oct05 Sep06 Dec03 Oct07 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
BELL CURVE Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 Jul07 (bates l)BRACHO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MR LAOBAN Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 4.50    
ALTAIR Nov08 Oct25 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
MR. CELLULAR Nov09 Mar22 Feb16 Jan27 Jan08 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGS MORNING PICK Jul11 Jun13 May22 May08 Mar22 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
PLATE IT UP Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 Sep07 (tumblin andre)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Oct30 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov06 Jul14 Jun14 Nov22 Nov07 (tumblin a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
SURROUNDER Nov06 Oct09 Sep13 Sep04 Aug07 (johnson l)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
OAKEN Oct30 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
OL' NED Oct04 Sep06 Jul08 Jun21 Jun07 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 4.00    
PRIVATE DRIVE Nov20 Oct28 Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 (guidry terra)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KRISTIN Oct30 Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
CREATIVE CADENCE Nov05 Oct18 Sep15 Sep02 Jun30 (morales m)YARANGA Y 122 12.00    
VAVITE Nov01 Oct23 Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ROSE KNOWS Oct23 Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
SWEEPINJUSTICE Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 Jun14 May02 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
POLITICAL ASTRAY Nov13 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
DULCE VICTORIA Nov13 Oct19 Oct05 Aug22 Aug01 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 4.00    
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Aug24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL SORDO Oct25 Oct11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
ROUGE TU RICHES Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug28 Aug09 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
SCR  MATTAWAN         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
C V JERSEY BEE Sep29 Jul23       (melancon )BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOR CRAFTY Aug31 Aug09 Jul24     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00    
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 (tumblin an)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00    
JAYDEN'S PRINCE         (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAYMASTER GENERAL Sep29 Aug09 Jul22 Jul05 Jun01 (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
MAILS HERE Oct25 Oct06       (brafford michel)BRACHO A 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
10  STORMED OUT Oct25 Oct06 Sep09 Jul22   (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
11  SQUEAKY CLEAN Oct06 May18 Dec12 Nov10 Oct07 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 126 20.00    
12  CIRO THE BOSS Oct25 Oct06 Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
MVR-6   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG R. NAUFFAL Oct21         (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
SURF HAPPY         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Oct16         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
KERLO'S CAUSE         (short thomas)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
LUNA PRIMAVERA         (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50    
NOT TODAY Oct19         (buttigieg)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Jul20         (jackson )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
 
MVR-7   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTSOFWANDER Oct30 Oct13 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MORETHANREADYEDDIE Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 May14 Mar11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.50    
ERNIE'S MARTINI Oct10 Sep11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun22 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00    
SCR  HURRY ON OUT Oct13 Sep12 Aug22 Jul23 Jun15 (tooley jennif)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT Oct23 Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19 (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 124 2.50    
HIPPODROME Nov08 Oct25 Oct15 Oct02 Jun24 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 71% 0.40    
HOUSED Sep28 Sep07 Aug27 Feb02 Dec03 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00    
POT COMMITTED Oct30 Oct06 Sep06 Aug07 Jul10 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
CATEGORY TEN Nov14 Oct25 Oct02 Aug31 Aug01 (meraz an)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY HELPS Nov16 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug01 (salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 15.00    
CONSTITUTION COAL Nov16 Oct22 Sep29 Sep21 Jul06 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 15.00    
SHOWTIME BOY Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug18 Aug09 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
HOTROD BOBBY Mar02 Feb16 Jan31 Dec30 Dec22 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00    
WILDCAT PRIDE Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Mar02 Dec30 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
I STRONG Oct25 Oct12 Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
MAN'S CHOICE Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 Jul06 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HARSH TRUTH Oct11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00    
ORFANO Oct25 Sep29 Aug31 Jul24 Dec19 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 6.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  FAST CLIP Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
11  YIPPEE KI YAY Jun15 Feb16 Jan31 Jan04   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.