Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/6/5)-(5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/12/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/9/7/4)-(1/12/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/12/9/7/4)-(1/12/9/7/4)-(1/12/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/12/9/7/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/6/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/11/7)-(5/6/9/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIXIE MAN Oct23 Oct03 Sep05     (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
2  REVENGE TOUR Oct31 Oct05 Sep23 Aug26 Aug18 (short travis )BRACHO A 122 5.00 9% 9.50    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  CUSSIN N FUSSIN Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
4  FOX CREEK Nov07 Jun22       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
5  MANSION PARTY Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 Sep11 Aug26 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  ASCENDANCE Nov03 Jul27       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of YALISHA by RUN PRODUCTION)
7  GOLDEN BUCK Sep22         (simms jr)AVILES YAN 122 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GHOST GALAXY by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  ENDOW Sep28         (thornbury je)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of RUSTICANA by PIONEERING)
 
MVR-2   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO'S MISSION Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 Oct09 Sep21 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
3  SECRETARY OF WAR Oct25 Oct05 Sep06 Dec03 Oct07 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  BELL CURVE Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 Jul07 (bates l)BRACHO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR LAOBAN Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 4.50    
6  ALTAIR Nov08 Oct25 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
7  MR. CELLULAR Nov09 Mar22 Feb16 Jan27 Jan08 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK Jul11 Jun13 May22 May08 Mar22 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  PLATE IT UP Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 Sep07 (tumblin and)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Oct30 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
4  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov06 Jul14 Jun14 Nov22 Nov07 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
5  SURROUNDER Nov06 Oct09 Sep13 Sep04 Aug07 (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  OAKEN Oct30 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
7  OL' NED Oct04 Sep06 Jul08 Jun21 Jun07 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 4.00    
8  PRIVATE DRIVE Nov20 Oct28 Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 (guidry ter)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KRISTIN Oct30 Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
2  CREATIVE CADENCE Nov05 Oct18 Sep15 Sep02 Jun30 (morales m)YARANGA Y 122 12.00    
3  VAVITE Nov01 Oct23 Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ROSE KNOWS Oct23 Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
5  SWEEPINJUSTICE Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 Jun14 May02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
6  POLITICAL ASTRAY Nov13 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
7  DULCE VICTORIA Nov13 Oct19 Oct05 Aug22 Aug01 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 4.00    
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Aug24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL SORDO Oct25 Oct11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  ROUGE TU RICHES Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug28 Aug09 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  MATTAWAN         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  C V JERSEY BEE Sep29 Jul23       (melanco)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
5  MOR CRAFTY Aug31 Aug09 Jul24     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00    
  (by OXBOW out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
7  JAYDEN'S PRINCE         (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  PAYMASTER GENERAL Sep29 Aug09 Jul22 Jul05 Jun01 (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
9  MAILS HERE Oct25 Oct06       (brafford mich)BRACHO A 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
10  STORMED OUT Oct25 Oct06 Sep09 Jul22   (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
11  SQUEAKY CLEAN Oct06 May18 Dec12 Nov10 Oct07 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 126 20.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
12  CIRO THE BOSS Oct25 Oct06 Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
 
MVR-6   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG R. NAUFFAL Oct21         (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of LOOKSGOODFROMHERE by FREUD)
2  SURF HAPPY         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Oct16         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
4  KERLO'S CAUSE         (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELLES ORB by ORB)
5  LUNA PRIMAVERA         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50    
  (by MASTER SINGER out of PREVIOUS ESCORT by SOUTHERN ESCORT)
6  NOT TODAY Oct19         (buttigi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of MISS DEFY by WAKI WARRIOR)
7  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Jul20         (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of ROMACACA by RUNNING STAG)
 
MVR-7   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTSOFWANDER Oct30 Oct13 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 May14 Mar11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.50    
3  ERNIE'S MARTINI Oct10 Sep11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun22 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  HURRY ON OUT Oct13 Sep12 Aug22 Jul23 Jun15 (tooley jenn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT Oct23 Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19 (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 2.50    
6  HIPPODROME Nov08 Oct25 Oct15 Oct02 Jun24 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 71% 0.40    
7  HOUSED Sep28 Sep07 Aug27 Feb02 Dec03 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00    
8  POT COMMITTED Oct30 Oct06 Sep06 Aug07 Jul10 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
9  CATEGORY TEN Nov14 Oct25 Oct02 Aug31 Aug01 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY HELPS Nov16 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug01 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 15.00    
2  CONSTITUTION COAL Nov16 Oct22 Sep29 Sep21 Jul06 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00    
3  SHOWTIME BOY Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug18 Aug09 (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
4  HOTROD BOBBY Mar02 Feb16 Jan31 Dec30 Dec22 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00    
5  WILDCAT PRIDE Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Mar02 Dec30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
6  I STRONG Oct25 Oct12 Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
7  MAN'S CHOICE Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 Jul06 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HARSH TRUTH Oct11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00    
9  ORFANO Oct25 Sep29 Aug31 Jul24 Dec19 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 6.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  FAST CLIP Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
11  YIPPEE KI YAY Jun15 Feb16 Jan31 Jan04   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.