Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    DD (3/2)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-4 $16.00 $4.00 33%
MVR-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $26.60 $14.60 122%
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-6-4 $11.00 $8.00 267%
MVR-8   DD (6/4/3)-(8/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-8 $19.60 $1.60 9%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:014     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOLLYS SUPER STAR 3 1 12 11½   13 12¾ (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 126 1.60 70% 0.40 0.40 W
4  CABARET FLEUR 4 2 33½ 32½   23 22¾ (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 8.00 15.30  
7  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 7 3 65 44   35½ 33½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 125 15.00 41.20  
1  SUPER SCAMP 1 7 76 77   59½ 47½ (cline c)GONZALEZ A 125 10.00 31.20  
5  SHE'S A SOLDIER 5 5 54½ 56   610½ 57¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 4.00 7.40  
2  BOLD NICKY 2 4 22 21½   46½ 69½ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
6  EXTRA CRAFTY 6 6 44½ 66½   714½ 721¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 3.00 ★ 3.20  
 
MVR-2   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TALE OF THE LYON 4 3 32 3.2   11½ 12½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 16% 5.20 3.70 W
1  JETTIN PEGASUS 1 6 54 64¼   43½ 22½ (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 2.50  
2  SUSHI Q 2 4 1½ 1nk   21½ 33 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 3.90  
6  CHECK OUT LINE 6 1 44 42¾   33½ 44¾ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 14.40  
5  CAT'S RHYTHM 5 2 65½ 53¾   54 56 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 43% 1.40 2.20  
3  APPEALING SENORITA 3 5 2½ 2nk   65 69¾ (gon)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 3.50 9% 10.20 5.30  
 
MVR-3   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WOODLAND WALK 2 4 21 1½   13 16¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.20 W
2  ENZOEXPRESS 1 5 11 2½   23 26¼ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 45.50  
8  SAVVY LAYLA 7 8 83½ 34½   38 311 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 10% 9.50 5.10 S
4  PARKER 3 7 53¼ 46½   48½ 411¼ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 20.00  
6  OVERBEARING 5 2 43 58   511½ 514½ (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 38.90  
9  GILLIGAN 8 3 63¼ 810   716 617¾ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 13% 6.80 10.80  
5  CHIC N WILBUR 4 1 33 710   615½ 718¾ (pappada a)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 47.40  
7  D'MONEY HONEY 6 6 73½ 68½   819 826¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 20.20  
SCR  CHAMPION BY DESIGN               (brooks e)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SARAH JANE 2 2 31 32   3½ 1nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 3.10  
5  DANCIN' ROSIE 5 1 11 2½   1nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.00 44% 1.20 0.40 P
4  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 4 6 21 1½   2nk 32¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 6% 14.70 9.60 S
1  CATABOUT 1 5 65 65½   54 44¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 16.40  
3  NOT A WILD BRAT 3 4 41½ 53½   43½ 54½ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00 28% 2.60 7.30  
6  J J'S FANCY 6 3 52 43   67 615 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 30.50  
SCR  DIVA POWER               (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.40    
 
MVR-5   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ONE MORE RING 8 1 66¾ 63½   21½ 11¼ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 20% 4.00 1.90 W
7  QUANTUM THEORY 5 4 41¼ 2½   11½ 21¼ (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 7.30  
6  RIKIO 4 3 51¾ 31½   32 33½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 40% 1.50 1.30 S
9  FIVE STAR PHIL 6 8 89¾ 75½   43½ 44¼ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 21.90  
5  BOSS BEAR 3 7 78¾ 89½   79 59¼ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 9% 9.70 24.50  
1  HOUSEBUILDER 1 6 21 53   68½ 612¾ (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 9% 10.70 5.30  
10  FRANK N DUCKY 7 2 11 1½   57½ 712¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 72.70  
4  UPTOWN GUY 2 5 31 42   811 816 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 12.10  
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE               (brooks g)FERNANDEZ R 125 6.00    
SCR  REINSURE               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
SCR  ROCKET DOCKET               (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE RED 1 3 11 11½   14 14¼ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 32% 2.10 0.60 W
7  HARSH TRUTH 7 4 68 56½   34 24¼ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 7.10  
4  WHISKEY HELPS 4 7 711½ 79½   67¾ 36¼ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 4.50 13.30  
6  GOOD MUSIC 6 1 31½ 31½   24 46¾ (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.90  
5  HAPPY TAKEOVER 5 2 55½ 46   55¾ 57½ (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 10.00 52.10  
3  KING PATRIOT 3 5 21 21½   44¼ 67½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 12% 7.40 7.60  
2  NOSEY POWER 2 6 45 67½   78¼ 79¼ (spiess shane )BRACHO A 124 10.00 32.40  
 
MVR-7   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:154 1:293   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WINDY VALLEY 3 2 11½ 11½ 13½ 14 19 (londono odin )BRACHO A 126 2.50 13% 6.90 3.00 W
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
6  SMARTASSET 6 3 42½ 32½ 23½ 24 29 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 38% 1.70 1.50 P
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
4  DOMINUS O'S ME 4 1 32½ 42½ 34 34 310¼ (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 125 2.00 28% 2.50 2.00 S
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
5  J. P INDY 5 4 64½ 54 48 47 413¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 125 6.00 4.70  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  SHE'S A BIG GIRL 2 6 54 64¼ 59 512 521¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 125 12.00 28.00  
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of GONDOLE by AFLEET ALEX)
1  MI CANCION 1 5 21½ 21½ 610½ 618 636½ (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 125 12.00 28.90  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
 
MVR-8   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:224 :471       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KACHOW 6 1 12 11   14 15½ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 57% 0.80 2.00 W
  (by FAST ANNA out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
2  KATERYNA 2 3 32½ 21   24 25½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.50 1.70  
  (by BUCCHERO out of CLASSY CITY LADY by CARSON CITY)
1  NOT TODAY 1 4 22 31   35 38 (buttigi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 9% 10.10 4.80 S
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of MISS DEFY by WAKI WARRIOR)
6  ANOINTED OF GOD 5 5 54 56½   48 48¾ (douaihy mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 2.40  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FOURNINETEEN by FLATTER)
5  LUNA PRIMAVERA 4 2 43 45   510 515 (ata)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 15.00 33.00  
  (by MASTER SINGER out of PREVIOUS ESCORT by SOUTHERN ESCORT)
4  FREEDOM SAKE 3 6 68 611½   617 621 (morzan e)YARANGA Y 122 15.00 7% 13.50 24.10  
  (by BUCCHERO out of NAHEELAH by MR. LIVINGSTON)
SCR  GHOST PLAZA               (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  NO BODY LOVES ME               (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MUFFIN TOP by BRAHMS)
SCR  NOW I'M HERE               (brooks e)RIVERA R 122 5.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BALLET DANCER by PLEASANT DANCER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.