Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:143 1:273   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEND ME ON 1 4 31 2½ 31½ 12 18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 69% 0.40 0.30 W
2  SERENDIPITOUS 2 3 11 1½ 11½ 22 28 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 126 2.50 8% 11.50 3.20 P
5  DEER CREEK ROAD 5 1 42½ 51¼ 21½ 33 310½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 14.50  
7  KARAMEL CORN 7 7 88¼ 88¼ 76 410 419¾ (juarez lorenz)BRACHO A 124 4.50 ★ 9.00  
8  PLATE IT UP 8 2 53½ 75¼ 65½ 510½ 520¼ (tumblin and)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 62.30  
4  JOES A ROCKIN 4 5 21 31 53½ 611½ 623¼ (hernandez )COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 44.40  
3  HEIDI'S SINATRA 3 8 75¼ 64¼ 87 713½ 724¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 72.50  
6  MA MOO POWER 6 6 63¾ 41 43 814 830 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 47.90  
 
MVR-2   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:262 :512 1:163 1:293   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO 1 2 21½ 21 2½ 1nk 1nk (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 1.60 57% 0.70 1.10 W
4  MISSION GIRL 4 4 11½ 11 1½ 2nk 2nk (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 14% 6.20 2.00 P
5  SHE'S CRAFTY 5 1 44 32½ 31½ 32 32¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 12.00 8.20  
6  HIGH FIRE 6 3 33½ 42½ 41½ 44 46¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 8% 12.30 4.00  
2  ABIGAIL LEE 2 5 65½ 66 54 59 513¼ (waltermire b)HALDAR J 124 10.00 41.30  
3  STAR RULES 3 6 54 54 65 614 622½ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 3.00 9.20  
 
MVR-3   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MANNFORD 6 3 2½ 1nk   14 15¼ (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 68% 0.50 0.60 W
5  OHIO PLAYER 5 7 54¾ 2nk   24 25¼ (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 1.70  
3  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 3 5 66¾ 75¾   58½ 36 (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 59.00  
1  HONOR THE D 1 6 78¼ 55   48½ 46¾ (bates l)BRACHO A 124 6.00 15.40  
7  ACCURATE 7 4 3½ 31   37 58½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 21.80  
4  BABA LOOEY 4 2 4¾ 65¼   69 69¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 ★ 7.40  
2  FOREIGN 2 1 1½ 43   715 719½ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 71.40  
 
MVR-4   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:132 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWELTER 4 4 34 25 2½ 14 19¾ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 4.20  
3  GRAND GIZMO 3 7 47 46 31 24 29¾ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 27% 2.70 5.10 P
1  STREET MAX 1 8 59½ 58 74½ 37 311 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 4.50 8.50  
9  KILLER BEE 8 5 920 819½ 812½ 510½ 413 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 23% 3.30 10.50  
2  INSACIABLE PRINCE 2 9 713 79½ 54 410 518¼ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.60 3.10  
8  MR LAOBAN 7 2 610 68 64½ 711 622 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 2.60  
7  ESTILO FAVORITO 6 3 14 15 1½ 611 723¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
10  MINDSHIP Q 9 6 24 35½ 42 815 830½ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 45.00  
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 5 1 815 919¾ 924½ 923 942¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 55.70  
SCR  YARDMAN               (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  EL MARRO 8 2 5½ 1½   12 11¼ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00 7% 13.00 1.00 W
3  MISTER MOBIL 3 6 73½ 51½   22 21¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 4.60  
4  MUCHO PRIMO 4 4 2nk 41   33 35¾ (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.00 S
1  ATTACK ANGLE 1 7 62½ 63½   65 45¾ (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 8.30  
7  SPIN DOCTOR 7 8 88½ 75   75½ 56¼ (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 16% 5.20 5.70  
5  THE MAN CAN 5 1 3.2 2½   43 66½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 20.40  
2  BISCUITS AND GRITS 2 5 1nk 31   53½ 77 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.50 55% 0.80 4.20  
6  JACK BE FAST 6 3 4¼ 86   812½ 819 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 10.00 31.20  
 
MVR-6   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KERANOS 8 7 98¼ 86¼   43½ 1¾ (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 7% 12.40 2.80 W
7  AWESOME ENOUGH 5 3 41¾ 3.2   1nk 2¾ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 6.50  
6  ON HIS TOES 4 5 3.2 2nk   2nk 31 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 8% 11.00 5.20 S
5  CONSIDER ME 3 4 2nk 1nk   3½ 44 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 37% 1.70 2.20  
9  SILVER MATT 7 9 63¾ 52¼   53¾ 55 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 8.00 7% 13.30 7.00  
1  SEEING RED 1 8 52¼ 65¼   74¾ 66½ (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 123 10.00 9.70  
8  PAPA CHARLES 6 10 1011¼ 1010¼   85¼ 77 (castillo j)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 14% 5.90 11.50  
11  ARMOR PIERCING 9 2 85¼ 75¾   95¼ 87¾ (diehl candace)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 37.20  
4  ESTILO CLASICO 2 6 1nk 4¼   64¼ 911¼ (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 123 15.00 45.70  
12  GOTIGER SPECIAL 10 1 74¼ 98¼   108¼ 1012¼ (fau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 74.80  
SCR  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND               (ruberto louis )GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED LYON               (erdel j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-7   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ENCHANTED MELODY 6 4 64½ 53½   32 1nk (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 6.20  
4  CONSTITUTIONALIST 4 5 1nk 11   11½ 2nk (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 41% 1.40 1.50 P
7  FLASH OF CHEROKEE 7 1 42½ 41½   21½ 31¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 10% 8.80 5.00 S
3  KEENE ON JENNY 3 8 87½ 87¼   64 46¾ (torres concep)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 39.40  
8  ITALIAN TWIN 8 2 76 75¼   74½ 57¼ (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 12% 7.60 8.10  
5  BEAUTY IN MOTION 5 3 32 31½   53½ 610¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 12.20  
2  DIAL FOR LOVE 2 6 2nk 21   43½ 711 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.90 3.50  
1  SURPRISED GEM 1 7 53½ 65   86½ 816¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 9.70  
 
MVR-8   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:134 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HENRY MAC 7 4 64¾ 42½ 4¾ 11½ 13½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.50 0.90  
2  OAKS HONEY 2 7 54½ 52¾ 5¾ 21½ 23½ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 9.60  
3  RAVEN MOON 3 6 33 31 3.2 31½ 35½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 14% 6.00 4.50 S
1  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 1 2 43½ 62¾ 61¼ 43½ 45½ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 125 3.00 20% 4.00 3.10  
4  VISUAL MISSION 4 5 78¾ 76¾ 73¼ 56½ 512 (rivera nestor)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 33.40  
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 3 13 11 1nk 67½ 614¼ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 45.70  
6  MR LOOOCH 6 1 23 21 2nk 78 715¾ (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 24% 3.10 6.80  
 
MVR-9   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AZTEC 8 2 31½ 31   1nk 11¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.00 11% 8.00 2.00 W
6  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 6 1 41¾ 41½   3.2 21¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 61% 0.60 2.10 P
1  GOING IN STYLE 1 5 1nk 11   2nk 33¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 4.50 4.90  
3  AGNELLO'S DREAM 3 3 2nk 21   44¼ 47 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 6.00 4.00  
5  ORO DE MORO MORO 5 8 78¾ 77½   56¼ 58½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 10.00  
2  BEACH HOLIDAY 2 6 89¾ 811½   87 69¼ (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 47.80  
7  NEPOTISM 7 7 64¾ 65½   66¼ 79¾ (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 5% 17.80 13.10  
4  CREDIT RIVER 4 4 53¼ 53½   76¾ 811¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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