Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(1/4/6)-(6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/2)-(2/3/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(2/3/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/3/9/7)-(2/7/8/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/7)-(2/3/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/7)-(2/3/9/7)-(2/3/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/9/7)-(2/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/7)-(2/7/8/4)-(5/8/6/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/4)-(5/8/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/4)-(5/8/6/10/9)-(4/8/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/8/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/10/9)-(5/8/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/10/9)-(5/8/6/10/9)-(5/8/6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/6/10/9)-(4/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/10/9)-(4/8/7/2)-(6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/2)-(4/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/2)-(4/8/7/2)-(4/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/2)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/2)-(6/1/3)-(6/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEND ME ON Oct09 Sep12 Aug16 Jul11 Jun02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 69% 0.40    
2  SERENDIPITOUS Nov21 Nov08 Oct28 Sep28 Sep19 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 126 2.50 8% 11.50    
3  HEIDI'S SINATRA Oct30 Sep30 Sep08 Aug11 Jul15 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
4  JOES A ROCKIN Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 Jun07 May08 (hernandez )COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
5  DEER CREEK ROAD Nov08 Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
6  MA MOO POWER Oct30 Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KARAMEL CORN Nov08 Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 Aug15 (juarez lorenz)BRACHO A 124 4.50 ★    
8  PLATE IT UP Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 (tumblin and)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO Jul22 Jun23 Jun07 May11 Apr05 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 1.60 57% 0.70    
2  ABIGAIL LEE Nov08 Oct06 Sep16 Jul19 Jun15 (waltermire b)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
3  STAR RULES Nov16 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
4  MISSION GIRL Nov14 Oct02 Sep12 Aug21 Jul17 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
5  SHE'S CRAFTY Sep26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul03 Mar14 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 12.00    
6  HIGH FIRE Nov02 Oct06 Sep13 Aug17 Jul25 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 8% 12.30    
 
MVR-3   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE D Nov08 Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Jun21 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
2  FOREIGN Oct11 Sep18 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Nov08 Aug30 Aug01 Jun14 May11 (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
4  BABA LOOEY Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 ★    
5  OHIO PLAYER Nov06 Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50    
6  MANNFORD Nov20 Oct30 Sep25 Aug28 Jun20 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 68% 0.50    
7  ACCURATE Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Sep20 Aug14 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET MAX Nov09 Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 Aug29 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 4.50    
2  INSACIABLE PRINCE Oct30 Oct09 Sep06 Aug24 Aug08 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  GRAND GIZMO Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 Aug22 Aug01 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
4  SWELTER Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 Sep09 Apr26 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
SCR  YARDMAN Oct25 Oct12 Oct02 Sep20 Aug21 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 3.50    
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
7  ESTILO FAVORITO Nov09 Oct29 Oct09 Sep13 Aug16 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR LAOBAN Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 Aug28 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
9  KILLER BEE Nov15 Oct25 Sep21 Jun23 May27 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
10  MINDSHIP Q Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Oct09 Sep21 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACK ANGLE Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 Oct03 Sep11 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50    
2  BISCUITS AND GRITS Nov14 Sep18 Nov09 Sep21 Sep01 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  MISTER MOBIL Sep25 Aug21 Jul31 Jun15 May22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00    
4  MUCHO PRIMO Nov06 Oct30 May16 Mar02 Feb15 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE MAN CAN Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
6  JACK BE FAST Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 Sep04 Aug22 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
7  SPIN DOCTOR Nov21 Oct11 Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
8  EL MARRO Nov20 Oct30 Oct13 May20 Apr26 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00 7% 13.00    
 
MVR-6   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEING RED Nov16 Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 123 10.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED LYON Nov16 Nov02 Oct09 Sep21 Aug21 (erdel j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
SCR  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Nov15 Oct24 Oct09 Sep27 Sep12 (ruberto louis )GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
4  ESTILO CLASICO Nov16 Nov09 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 123 15.00    
5  CONSIDER ME Nov16 Nov02 Oct22 Sep21 May29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  ON HIS TOES Nov16 Nov02 Oct16 Oct05 Aug31 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
7  AWESOME ENOUGH Nov09 Nov01 Sep21 Aug31 Aug12 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
8  PAPA CHARLES Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug13 (castillo j)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 14% 5.90    
9  SILVER MATT Nov16 Nov02 Jul11 Jun11 May24 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
10  KERANOS Nov15 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 7% 12.40    
11  ARMOR PIERCING Nov16 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul10 (diehl candace)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
12  GOTIGER SPECIAL Nov15 Nov02 Oct05 Jun13 Dec13 (fau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRISED GEM Oct30 Aug23 Aug14 May10 Apr09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
2  DIAL FOR LOVE Nov11 Oct21 Oct09 Sep11 Aug23 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.90    
3  KEENE ON JENNY Oct31 Sep27 Sep08 Apr19 Mar18 (torres concep)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
4  CONSTITUTIONALIST Nov14 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  BEAUTY IN MOTION Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 Sep22   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
6  ENCHANTED MELODY Nov14 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
7  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Nov14 Oct09 Sep19 Aug08 Jul26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
8  ITALIAN TWIN Nov14 Oct11 Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
MVR-8   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Nov15 Sep20 Aug29 Jul13 Jun24 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  OAKS HONEY Nov14 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Aug12 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
3  RAVEN MOON Nov14 Oct28 Sep18 Aug24 Aug16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  VISUAL MISSION Nov07 Oct09 Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 (rivera nestor)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD Nov07 Oct28 Oct09 Sep07 Aug15 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
6  MR LOOOCH Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep13 Aug12 (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  HENRY MAC Nov14 Oct04 Sep12 Aug16 Jul22 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
 
MVR-9   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING IN STYLE Nov21 Nov01 Oct24 Oct06 Sep26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 4.50    
2  BEACH HOLIDAY Nov21 Oct18 Oct02 Sep10 Aug30 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
3  AGNELLO'S DREAM Nov20 Nov01 Oct02 Aug16 Jul10 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
4  CREDIT RIVER Jul25 Jul10 May10 Apr15 Mar22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ORO DE MORO MORO Mar10 Feb24 Jan06 Dec11 Nov24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
6  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Aug18 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Feb11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 61% 0.60    
7  NEPOTISM Nov22 Oct13 Sep25 Aug27 Jul16 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 5% 17.80    
8  AZTEC Nov08 Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.