The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
MVR-2   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
MVR-3   Win (5/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $4.40 -8.00
MVR-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
MVR-5   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
MVR-6   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-7   Win (2/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $6.60 -8.00
MVR-8   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY PAWS 4 1 4 2nk   11 12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
WILDERZAR 2 6 66 5   32 22 (wilson jr)BRACHO A 125 6.00 23% 3.40 4.80 P
TWELVE MINUS ONE 1 5 3 4   53(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 10.00 3.10  
FATHER OF LIES 6 2 2½ 3.2   21 4(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 10% 9.30 6.50  
MOBOT 5 3 5 6   656 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 12.00 15.60  
LOUIS 3 4 1½ 1nk   46(cline c)ROSARIO L 126 4.00 2.80  
SCR  AKITO               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00    
SCR  ALLIGATOR ARMS               (farrior an)FERNANDEZ R 125 3.50    
 
MVR-2   12/05/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:27 :512 1:164 1:30   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 3 5 31 2nk 2nk 11(sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 37% 1.70 1.30 W
MY TWO JAKES 5 1 11 1nk 1nk 22(gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 123 2.00 12% 7.40 2.40 P
EMERALD EYES 7 6 21 3½ 31 33 33 (salcedo ra)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00 23% 3.40 3.40 S
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 6 4 5 5 43 45 4(romero a)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 3.70  
HAUGHTY PRAISE 2 3 4 44 54 58 5(tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 57.00  
LATE DATE 4 7 7 611¼ 614 613 612¼ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 37.50  
WELLOILEDCAT 1 2 6 712¾ 716 715 715¼ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 27.60  
 
MVR-3   12/05/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:132 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED LIMITS 2 4 4 37 2 1nk 1(galloway kha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 4.50 1.20  
DUEL FUEL 6 8 5 5 5 3.2 2(romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 41.70  
PERFETTO 3 3 26 27 3 2nk 34 (poole c)BRACHO A 126 5.00 26% 2.90 2.20 S
GILES 5 1 712½ 715¾ 710¼ 54(cline c)HALDAR J 126 3.50 28% 2.60 5.70  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 5 36 4 4 65(calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 21.40  
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 9 6 611 611¾ 6 76(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 20% 3.90 6.20  
TEXTPECTATION 1 9 814 916¾ 913¾ 87(morzan javier)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
YOUVESAIDITALL 7 7 914¼ 816¾ 812¼ 9810¾ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 126 10.00 25.50  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 8 2 16 17 1 4913¾ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00 53.60  
 
MVR-4   12/05/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:131 1:393   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS LAUGHING 3 2 4 3 3 14 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 W
CANDY ISLAND 7 3 1nk 2½ 1nk 24 2(galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 6.10  
DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 5 54 56 43 437 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 29% 2.40 9.20 S
LIBERTY BELLE 2 4 2nk 1½ 2nk 34 4(londono j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 8% 12.10 4.50  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 1 6 76 6 6 55 5(bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.50 1.70  
HAPPY BEE 6 1 32 4 55 611 619 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 35.80  
BOURBON BUNS 5 7 65 710½ 77 711½ 723 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 32.50  
 
MVR-5   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY CHERYL 3 2 3 41   1nk 11 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 39% 1.50 3.20 W
TATTERED HEART 2 6 4 2nk   3.2 21 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 125 5.00 4.90  
POLISHED GEM 1 4 11 1nk   2nk 3(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 19% 4.20 5.40 S
CURIOSITY KILLS 5 7 5 5   44(bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 6.00 13% 6.60 5.40  
LOIS 6 5 7 6   65(spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 2.70  
O K BABY 4 3 6 74   56(londono j)BRACHO A 124 12.00 8.90  
SCENIC VIEW 7 1 21 3½   77(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 6.00  
SCR  DREAM MUSIC               (urieta johann)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00    
SCR  SWEEPINJUSTICE               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
 
MVR-6   12/05/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:123 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S ROCK 6 5 37 37 3 13 1(vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 2.50 55% 0.80 0.80 W
STAR HAWK 5 2 410½ 49 4 23 2(erdel john)DIAZ I 124 4.50 12% 7.50 4.30 P
GOOD ON YA 2 1 26 26 21 33(londono j)BRACHO A 124 5.00 4.90  
BREEZY MONEY 4 3 16 16 11 4412½ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 11% 8.10 2.70  
DISCLOSURE 1 6 613½ 511 5 511½ 513¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 20.60  
ARMY SCOUT 3 4 512½ 613 621½ 636½ 653¼ (olivo da)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 41.50  
SCR  CARILLO               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50    
 
MVR-7   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VELIKIY 9 1 4 11   12 1(buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 2.30  
CATCHAFALLNSTAR 1 8 810¾ 810½   62(gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 8% 11.50 4.90 P
MY DANCING QUEEN 3 4 2nk 21   22 3(urieta johan)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
MY D'VALENTINE 7 2 5 6   548 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 31.10  
WICKED WONDER 8 3 6 4   45(fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6% 15.80 26.20  
SILVER CANDICE 2 7 1nk 3   34 6(robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.50 56% 0.80 1.60  
MO RISSA 4 6 7 53   7711¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 13.20  
TIPARILLO 5 9 912¾ 915½   913¾ 818¼ (londono j)BRACHO A 124 20.00 90.20  
HOT SUMMER DREAM 6 5 31 7   811¾ 918¾ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 6.00 6.70  
SCR  SUFFICE               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50    
 
MVR-8   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CUERVO FELIS 7 4 4 11   13 14 (oviedo jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 1.60 52% 0.90 1.10 W
FINISTERE 8 7 6 42   23 24 (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 8.00  
SHORTLY 2 3 2nk 3   338 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 125 2.50 4.10 S
DARK BARON 4 1 1nk 21   4413¾ (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 125 12.00 37.20  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 5 7 67   510½ 514 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00 29.40  
GREAT REVELATION 3 2 3½ 55   610½ 615¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 5.00 22% 3.50 4.60  
WILEY T 6 8 810¼ 816   716½ 719 (ruvalcab)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
RANSAM PAYNTER 1 6 5 711   817½ 825½ (vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 12.00 4.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.