Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $20.20 $8.20 68%
MVR-2   TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-5-7 $6.75 $3.75 125%
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $33.80 $15.80 88%
MVR-6   EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-5 $15.40 $3.40 28%
    DD (4/1/6)-(7/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-7 $29.40 $11.40 63%
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/1/6)-(7/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3-4-7 $16.60 $3.10 23%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FROSTY PAWS 4 1 41½ 2nk   11 12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
2  WILDERZAR 2 6 66 54¼   32 22 (wilson david )BRACHO A 125 6.00 23% 3.40 4.80 P
1  TWELVE MINUS ONE 1 5 31½ 42¼   54½ 34¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 10.00 3.10  
8  FATHER OF LIES 6 2 2½ 3.2   21 45¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 10% 9.30 6.50  
7  MOBOT 5 3 53½ 66¼   66½ 56 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 12.00 15.60  
3  LOUIS 3 4 1½ 1nk   43½ 66½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 4.00 2.80  
SCR  AKITO               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00    
SCR  ALLIGATOR ARMS               (farrior )FERNANDEZ R 125 3.50    
 
MVR-2   12/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:27 :512 1:164 1:30   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 3 5 31 2nk 2nk 11½ 11¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 37% 1.70 1.30 W
5  MY TWO JAKES 5 1 11 1nk 1nk 21½ 21¾ (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 123 2.00 12% 7.40 2.40 P
7  EMERALD EYES 7 6 21 3½ 31 33 33 (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00 23% 3.40 3.40 S
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 6 4 54½ 54¼ 43 45 46¼ (romero jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 3.70  
2  HAUGHTY PRAISE 2 3 43½ 44 54 58 58¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 57.00  
4  LATE DATE 4 7 79½ 611¼ 614 613 612¼ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 37.50  
1  WELLOILEDCAT 1 2 67½ 712¾ 716 715 715¼ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 27.60  
 
MVR-3   12/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:132 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DISTORTED LIMITS 2 4 46½ 37 24½ 1nk 13¼ (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 4.50 1.20  
6  DUEL FUEL 6 8 58½ 59¾ 56¼ 3.2 23¼ (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 41.70  
3  PERFETTO 3 3 26 27 34½ 2nk 34 (poole c)BRACHO A 126 5.00 26% 2.90 2.20 S
5  GILES 5 1 712½ 715¾ 710¼ 52¼ 44¾ (cline robert)HALDAR J 126 3.50 28% 2.60 5.70  
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 5 36 47¼ 44¾ 62¾ 57¾ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 21.40  
9  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 9 6 611 611¾ 69¼ 74¾ 68¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 20% 3.90 6.20  
1  TEXTPECTATION 1 9 814 916¾ 913¾ 85¼ 79¾ (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
7  YOUVESAIDITALL 7 7 914¼ 816¾ 812¼ 95½ 810¾ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 10.00 25.50  
8  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 8 2 16 17 14½ 42¼ 913¾ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00 53.60  
 
MVR-4   12/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:131 1:393   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALWAYS LAUGHING 3 2 42½ 33½ 31½ 14 16¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 W
7  CANDY ISLAND 7 3 1nk 2½ 1nk 24 26¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 6.10  
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 5 54 56 43 44½ 37 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 29% 2.40 9.20 S
2  LIBERTY BELLE 2 4 2nk 1½ 2nk 34 47¼ (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 3.00 8% 12.10 4.50  
1  CHIQUITA MOSCA 1 6 76 66½ 65½ 55 58¾ (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.50 1.70  
6  HAPPY BEE 6 1 32 45½ 55 611 619 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 35.80  
5  BOURBON BUNS 5 7 65 710½ 77 711½ 723 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 32.50  
 
MVR-5   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOVE MY CHERYL 3 2 31½ 41   1nk 11 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 39% 1.50 3.20 W
3  TATTERED HEART 2 6 41½ 2nk   3.2 21 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 125 5.00 4.90  
1  POLISHED GEM 1 4 11 1nk   2nk 32¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 19% 4.20 5.40 S
6  CURIOSITY KILLS 5 7 52½ 51½   43¼ 43¾ (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 6.00 13% 6.60 5.40  
7  LOIS 6 5 76½ 63½   65¾ 53¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 2.70  
5  O K BABY 4 3 65½ 74   55¼ 65½ (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 12.00 8.90  
9  SCENIC VIEW 7 1 21 3½   76¾ 78½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 6.00  
SCR  DREAM MUSIC               (urieta joha)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00    
SCR  SWEEPINJUSTICE               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
 
MVR-6   12/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:123 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JOHN'S ROCK 6 5 37 37 31½ 13 17¾ (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 2.50 55% 0.80 0.80 W
5  STAR HAWK 5 2 410½ 49 41½ 23 27¾ (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 4.50 12% 7.50 4.30 P
2  GOOD ON YA 2 1 26 26 21 33½ 38¾ (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 5.00 4.90  
4  BREEZY MONEY 4 3 16 16 11 46½ 412½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 11% 8.10 2.70  
1  DISCLOSURE 1 6 613½ 511 59½ 511½ 513¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 20.60  
3  ARMY SCOUT 3 4 512½ 613 621½ 636½ 653¼ (olivo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 41.50  
SCR  CARILLO               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50    
 
MVR-7   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VELIKIY 9 1 41¼ 11   12 12¾ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 2.30  
1  CATCHAFALLNSTAR 1 8 810¾ 810½   64¾ 22¾ (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 8% 11.50 4.90 P
3  MY DANCING QUEEN 3 4 2nk 21   22 37¾ (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
7  MY D'VALENTINE 7 2 51¾ 63½   54½ 48 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 31.10  
9  WICKED WONDER 8 3 62¾ 42½   44½ 59½ (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6% 15.80 26.20  
2  SILVER CANDICE 2 7 1nk 32½   34 69½ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.50 56% 0.80 1.60  
4  MO RISSA 4 6 72¾ 53   74¾ 711¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 13.20  
5  TIPARILLO 5 9 912¾ 915½   913¾ 818¼ (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 20.00 90.20  
6  HOT SUMMER DREAM 6 5 31 74½   811¾ 918¾ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 6.00 6.70  
SCR  SUFFICE               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50    
 
MVR-8   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EL CUERVO FELIS 7 4 41½ 11   13 14 (oviedo jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 1.60 52% 0.90 1.10 W
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ATOOF by INVASOR (ARG))
8  FINISTERE 8 7 62¾ 42   23 24 (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 8.00  
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
2  SHORTLY 2 3 2nk 31½   34½ 38 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 125 2.50 ★ 4.10 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  DARK BARON 4 1 1nk 21   48½ 413¾ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 125 12.00 37.20  
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 5 73¼ 67   510½ 514 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00 29.40  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
3  GREAT REVELATION 3 2 3½ 55   610½ 615¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 5.00 22% 3.50 4.60  
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
6  WILEY T 6 8 810¼ 816   716½ 719 (ruvalc)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
  (by TEXAS RED out of HOME ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
1  RANSAM PAYNTER 1 6 52½ 711   817½ 825½ (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 12.00 4.90  
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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