Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (5/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-6   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (2/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-8   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWELVE MINUS ONE Oct30 Oct13 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 10.00    
WILDERZAR Nov16 Nov09 Oct30 Sep28 Sep14 (wilson jr)BRACHO A 125 6.00 23% 3.40    
LOUIS Nov14 Oct12 Aug10 Jul22   (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 4.00    
SCR  AKITO Nov15         (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00    
SCR  ALLIGATOR ARMS May04 Apr16 Mar31     (farrior an)FERNANDEZ R 125 3.50    
FROSTY PAWS Nov09 Nov26       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.50 38% 1.60    
MOBOT Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 Aug22 Aug07 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 12.00    
FATHER OF LIES Nov06 May14 Apr21 Mar10   (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 10% 9.30    
 
MVR-2   12/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELLOILEDCAT Nov06 Oct02 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
HAUGHTY PRAISE Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 Aug30 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00    
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Nov06 Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
LATE DATE Nov06 Oct03 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
MY TWO JAKES Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 123 2.00 12% 7.40    
GHOSTLY REVIVAL Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep11 (romero a)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00    
EMERALD EYES Nov06 Oct23 Sep28 Sep06 Aug16 (salcedo ra)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-3   12/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXTPECTATION Nov15 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Aug31 (morzan javier)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
DISTORTED LIMITS Nov15 Oct06 Sep18 Aug28 Jul18 (galloway kha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 4.50    
PERFETTO Oct23 Oct11 Jul10 Jun25 May08 (poole c)BRACHO A 126 5.00 26% 2.90    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Nov08 Oct25 Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00    
GILES Nov02 Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 (cline c)HALDAR J 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
DUEL FUEL Nov16 Oct31 Oct21 Sep27 Jun06 (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
YOUVESAIDITALL Nov01 Oct04 Sep11 Aug31 Aug14 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
UHAVETOBEKITTENME Nov22 Nov12 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00    
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Nov22 Oct24 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-4   12/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIQUITA MOSCA Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 Aug28 Jul08 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.50    
LIBERTY BELLE Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep06 Aug15 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 8% 12.10    
ALWAYS LAUGHING Nov09 Oct23 Oct01 Sep02 Jul09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 35% 1.80    
DUNVEGAN DOLL Nov09 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
BOURBON BUNS Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 May31 May02 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
HAPPY BEE Nov09 Oct05 Sep25 Aug14 Jul11 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
CANDY ISLAND Oct25 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Jul19 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLISHED GEM Nov13 Oct10 Sep19 May02 Apr10 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  SWEEPINJUSTICE Nov27 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 Jun14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
TATTERED HEART Nov13 Oct18 Sep26 Aug11 Jul18 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 125 5.00    
LOVE MY CHERYL Nov01 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Aug22 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 39% 1.50    
O K BABY Nov19 Oct24 Sep24 Aug28 Aug14 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
CURIOSITY KILLS Nov07 Aug20 Aug08 Jul11 Jun13 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
LOIS Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 Sep10 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50    
SCR  DREAM MUSIC Oct02 Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 Oct04 (urieta johann)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00    
SCENIC VIEW Nov28 Oct29 Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   12/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCLOSURE Nov14 Nov01 Oct25 Oct02 Aug31 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
GOOD ON YA Nov01 Oct02 Sep11 Aug17 Jul19 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
ARMY SCOUT Jul07 Jun11 May19 Apr27 Mar16 (olivo da)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
BREEZY MONEY Nov14 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 11% 8.10    
STAR HAWK Nov14 Oct12 Sep26 Aug28 Aug09 (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  CARILLO Nov02 Oct03 Sep08 Jul05 Jun06 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50    
JOHN'S ROCK Nov14 Oct03 Sep12 Aug16 Jul24 (vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
MVR-7   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHAFALLNSTAR Oct31 Sep19 May29 May09 Apr26 (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
SILVER CANDICE Nov19         (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.50 56% 0.80    
MY DANCING QUEEN Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 Aug10 Jul13 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MO RISSA Nov20 Oct31 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
TIPARILLO Aug08 Jul20 Dec11 Nov28 Nov06 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
HOT SUMMER DREAM Oct20 Sep24 Sep06 Jul28 Jul10 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
MY D'VALENTINE Nov07 Sep19 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
SCR  SUFFICE Nov13 Aug27 Aug02 Jul09 May08 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50    
WICKED WONDER Nov07 Apr25 Apr03 Feb04 Jan20 (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6% 15.80    
10  VELIKIY Sep03 Aug05 Jul08 Jun11 May07 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
 
MVR-8   12/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANSAM PAYNTER Jul21 Jul10 Jun18 May21 May06 (vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 12.00    
SHORTLY Nov14 Oct13 Sep25 Aug20 Jul09 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 125 2.50    
GREAT REVELATION Jul14 Jun29       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 125 5.00 22% 3.50    
DARK BARON Nov14 Sep24 Sep01 Sep03 Aug22 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 125 12.00    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK Nov14 Oct30 Oct13 Sep25 Sep06 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00    
WILEY T Mar02 Dec28       (ruvalcab)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
EL CUERVO FELIS Nov02 Oct16       (oviedo jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 1.60 52% 0.90    
FINISTERE Nov14 Oct30 Oct05     (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.