The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
FL-2   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
FL-3   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
FL-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
FL-5   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 1.90
FL-6   Win (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $65.00 -6.00
FL-7   Win (7/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -5.90
FL-8   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   11/01/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
:25 :494 1:15 1:433   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M. A. S. SCRUVES 3 1 11 11 1 11(marino e)ROHENA JR 121 2.50 31% 2.20 1.80 W
T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE 4 2 32 32 2 22(falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00 11.10  
SWEET DESANTIS 5 3 21 21 3 33(ferraro anthon)COA J 121 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70 S
WELCOMETOMYWORLD 2 5 511 515 513½ 411½ 4(chamberlin)DAVIS A 121 5.00 2.70  
CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY 1 4 47 412 411½ 511½ 510¼ (monserrate ma)CAMILO D 121 10.00 5.40  
SCR  YOGI               (barrera s)DAVILA A 124 1.80    
 
FL-2   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
:23 :472 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES ELI 5 1 31 2nk   1nk 1½ (englehart)NAVARRO J 121 2.00 59% 0.70 0.40 W
GO GET THE BAG 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 19% 4.20 3.50 P
SHARP PLAY BOY 3 5 517 513   53¾ (breed rona)DAVIS A 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00 S
MILAGROSO 2 4 2½ 3   35 4(englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 4.00 5.50  
THOMAS S P 4 2 45 45   457 (grabowski john)HARKIE K 124 5.00 17.80  
SCR  CHOPPA               (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
FL-3   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:222 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARALO 4 1 12 12   14 14 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 W
TRA LAD 2 3 32 22   24 24 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 54% 0.80 0.35 P
WRITER'S REGRET 3 2 22 33   33(d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 7.20  
NUMBER ONE DILLON 1 4 46 4   48 413¼ (huertas n)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 17.90  
SCR  ALPHA CHI RHO               (magee kieron)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00    
SCR  LITTLE MADDY BROWN               (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
 
FL-4   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 2:42
:233 :483 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITI KITTY 2 1 12 12   11(barrow paul)DE EMANUEL 120 2.00 28% 2.60 2.10 W
STONE POWER 3 3 22 22   22(dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 3.95  
IMPERMANENCE 5 5 4 33   33 35 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00 6% 16.80 5.20 S
ALTERED FATE 1 6 610 68   4410¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.85  
BUONA SALUTE 6 2 56 57   512½ 515¾ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 5.90  
ENSUING GRACE 4 4 35 46   613 620¼ (sparling )NAVARRO J 120 10.00 22.50  
 
FL-5   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
:231 :462 :60     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN 4 6 6 47   31½ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.50 29% 2.50 2.95 W
BUSTINROXY 2 1 1½ 1½   12½ (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 2.00 20% 3.90 2.30 P
STAR SPEAKER 3 4 4 3   45 3(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5.40  
DEVILLY 1 3 31 2½   242 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 7.20  
TUMBLES 6 5 5 5   58 53 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00 3.35  
STORMY'S IN STYLE 5 2 2½ 617½   620 619 (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 18% 4.50 5.20  
 
FL-6   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:231 :464 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MISTRESS 6 1 54 4   35 1¼ (cotrone de)DAVIS A 122 20.00 31.50  
BAD CONNECTION 4 2 1 14   14 2¼ (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 119 4.00 3.65  
ALL ABOUT BELLA 8 3 32 24   24 32 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 8.60 S
WINE TRAIL 2 8 89 78   49 4(progno michae)CAMILO D 122 3.50 10% 9.10 10.00  
CENTRAL CAPITAL 5 6 76 6   611 5(rivera m)ROHENA M 122 15.00 4.60  
MIDMON 1 5 43 5   59 6(clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00 8.60  
MAGNIFICENT MAGS 7 7 65 8   711¼ 79 (sparling e)ROHENA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
MISSION CAT 3 4 2 3   812¼ 819¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.50 60% 0.70 1.80  
 
FL-7   11/01/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:241 :482 1:143 1:42   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD MAGIC 7 4 32 4 1½ 14 1(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 27% 2.60 0.05 W
OLLIE CAN DANCE 9 9 810½ 7 4 32(buckley jo)DAVIS A 121 3.50 11% 8.10 9.40 P
HINENI 2 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 24 38 (lecesse michael)COA J 121 12.00 15.80  
CROAGH PATRICK 1 3 67 810½ 6 510½ 411¾ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 62.75  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 6 6 78 6 5 410½ 516½ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 118 6.00 19.00  
MOBOT 4 8 911½ 914½ 8 715½ 619¾ (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 121 15.00 43.00  
TIZA BROWN 3 1 2½ 2½ 3 612½ 722¾ (bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 ######  
THREE CUPS FULL 5 7 54 5 910 920½ 829¾ (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 118 6.00 26% 2.90 41.25  
STRATEGYFORYOU 8 5 4 3 7 819½ 932 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 10% 8.70 28.75  
 
FL-8   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
:233 :472 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER SLIDE 6 3 11 11   13 1½ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00 18% 4.60 2.40 W
SWEET SUGAR BABY 4 1 21 21   23 2½ (breed a)COA J 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.20 P
SUBTLE GIANT 5 2 42 33   34 3¾ (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 4.80  
JACKIE B GOOD 1 4 31 4   44 4(clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.50 36% 1.80 1.85  
YES YOUR HONOR 3 6 67 5   57 5(clarke dyl)DAVIS A 122 15.00 11.80  
TRACI'S GIRL 2 5 55 6   615 616¾ (sparling e)ROHENA JR 122 20.00 54.75  
SCR  MOTLEY SUE               (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.00    
SCR  ONE FLASHY GIRL               (cotrone d)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.