The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.40 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (7/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $7.80 -8.00
MVR-3   Win (9/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
MVR-4   Win (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -5.80
MVR-5   Win (6/10/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -1.20
MVR-6   Win (10/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $94.60 -8.00
MVR-7   Win (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
MVR-8   Win (8/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/12/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:143 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWELTER 4 4 41 4 4 1nk 15 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 1.80 0.70  
HOUSED 2 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 25 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 8.70  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 1 1½ 1nk 32 4310¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.00 21% 3.70 3.00 S
GIZMO'S MISSION 3 5 31 3 1nk 33 414¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 125 2.00 30% 2.30 4.90  
SEEING RED 5 2 6 6 5 5515¼ (pappada julie )ROSARIO L 123 8.00 18.80  
THE EQUINEST 7 6 5 5 6 611½ 623 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 15.00 68.30  
PAPA CHARLES 6 7 7 7 712¼ 717½ 729¾ (castillo jab)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 20% 4.10 15.30  
 
MVR-2   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:253 :49 1:142 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE LAKE 8 5 42 4 31 2nk 1¼ (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 3.00 2.90  
LUCKY JUNIOR 7 6 1½ 2nk 11 1nk 2¼ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 50% 1.00 5.90 P
GILES 2 2 5 6 5 43(cline c)HALDAR J 124 5.00 22% 3.40 4.90 S
YOUVESAIDITALL 1 7 89 8 7 54(castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 5 1 32 31 4 65(zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.10  
STRIKE A BEAT 4 3 2½ 1nk 21 36(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 4.50  
GEH SCHNELL 3 8 77 7 85 8710 (manning c)VELEZ J 124 6.00 20.40  
TRIVISTA 6 4 6 5 64 7810¼ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 18.90  
 
MVR-3   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:142 1:283   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA DUDE 6 3 8 8 5 11 12 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30 W
DESERT HIGHWAY 7 7 5 7 7 422 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 123 10.00 9.30  
MR. CELLULAR 3 4 32 21 2 21 33 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 21% 3.70 0.80 S
PRIVATE CONNIE 2 1 21 31 32 54(johnson l)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 9.70  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 8 5 6 5 4 65(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50 37% 1.70 9.90  
DOMI 5 8 7 6 6 76(mahan p)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 9.10  
FIRE KING 1 2 11 11 1 31 7(inirio ca)BRAVO MISAEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10 7.20  
KALINBA 4 6 4 42 8 8813 (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 30.80  
SCR  IRIE ISLAND MAN               (inirio carlos)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/12/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:144 1:433   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRO THE BOSS 3 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 13 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 1.60 11% 8.00 0.10 W
EL SORDO 6 7 4 4 3.2 23 2(romero a)HOUGHTON D 125 2.50 19% 4.20 7.70 P
WHY KENNY WHY 1 3 7 5 6 36 310 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 15.00 23.70  
SAMURAI WAY 7 8 5 6 4 46 413 (barton amanda )ROSARIO L 126 3.00 45% 1.20 17.10  
MOR CRAFTY 4 1 6 7 7 5514¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 125 20.00 ######  
ROUGE TU RICHES 2 2 1nk 1nk 5 79 619¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 15.00 5% 19.00 51.90  
MAILS HERE 5 5 3.2 3.2 2nk 68 721¾ (brafford michel)BRACHO A 125 6.00 9.50  
RAISE YOU ONE 8 6 8 8 812½ 817 833½ (doering mark)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 89.90  
 
MVR-5   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAZARUS PROJECT 6 8 8 5   31 1¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 34% 1.90 2.40 W
HE'S A SHOOTER 3 2 11 11   1nk 2¼ (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 3.80  
SOUTHERN WILL 5 6 6 6   43¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00 S
MORE THAN GOOD 8 4 43 4   2nk 41 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 10.00 18% 4.70 8.80  
10  WILE E PEYOTE 9 5 3 31   55(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 19% 4.30 1.90  
EXALTED JOY 2 9 9 913   765 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 13.30  
UNCLE KEVIN 7 3 21 21   67(reust megan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 7.30  
HROTHGAR 4 1 5 89   911¼ 810¾ (morzan e)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 53.90  
WHISKEY SUNRISE 1 7 7 76   8912 (vickers r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00 63.50  
SCR  I'M EVER READY               (haehn r)REYES FRANK 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL 4 5 2½ 2nk   1½ 1nk (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 46.30  
OAKEN 6 8 9 8   42nk (calderon iva)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 4.00 7% 13.60 11.70 P
WEEKEND BUZZ 1 6 1½ 1nk   2½ 3(trevino stephe)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 74.10 S
10  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 10 1 4¾ 3½   31 4(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 64% 0.60 0.50  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 2 9 7 6   53 5(romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 39.70  
NAMBITI 7 7 6 55   65 66 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.60  
THAT'S THE WAY 3 10 1013¾ 10   87(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 21.60  
OHIO EAGLE 5 4 8 7   75 8(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 5.00 6% 15.40 7.00  
OHIO MUNNY 9 2 3½ 42   9914 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 126 3.50 3.90  
RED HOT POWER 8 3 5 9   1013½ 1024¼ (gonza)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 80.20  
 
MVR-7   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANEL SPIRIT 4 3 1½ 1   14 1(cline c)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 34% 2.00 1.20 W
BODIL 2 6 41 32   24 2(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 31% 2.30 1.40 P
SPICE ICE 6 8 8 8   53(calderon ivan)HALDAR J 124 4.00 7.50  
KAT TRAX 5 2 7 7   649 (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 6.00 11% 7.70 9.50  
GOODNESS SAKES 3 5 6 6   47 511¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
KISS VALENTINA 8 4 3½ 2   37 617¼ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 49.40  
SWEET OUTLOOK 1 7 2½ 42   7719½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 50.90  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 7 1 5 53   813¾ 823¼ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 20.50  
 
MVR-8   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGA QUEEN 8 1 1nk 1½   1½ 1¼ (clark robert )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 8% 11.00 0.40 W
FOR THE BISCUIT 7 2 5 3½   2½ 2¼ (salas felipe)BRACHO A 125 4.00 53% 0.90 4.00 P
MITESSE 4 5 6 6   53(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30 S
JOLIE RULER 3 3 3 2½   31 44 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 26.10  
PRINCESS HALIME 1 4 2nk 5   42 5(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 13.30  
MISS OVER THERE 6 6 4 4¾   64 6(manning richard )GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 74.60  
SKY 5 8 7 7   77(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 31.80  
DIVINE MARTHA 2 7 8 8   86 87 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 13% 6.70 7.80  
SCR  ORBIT MARS               (clouston )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.