Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(7/2/5/1)-(9/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/1)-(9/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/1)-(9/4/1/7)-(7/6/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/7)-(9/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/7)-(9/4/1/7)-(9/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/1/7)-(7/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1/7)-(7/6/3/2)-(6/10/9/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(6/10/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(6/10/9/5)-(10/6/5/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/10/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/5)-(6/10/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/5)-(6/10/9/5)-(6/10/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/9/5)-(10/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/10/9/5)-(10/6/5/7)-(4/2/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (10/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/7)-(10/6/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/7)-(10/6/5/7/1)-(10/6/5/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/5/7)-(4/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/7)-(4/2/5/3)-(8/2/9/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/3)-(8/2/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/4)-(8/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/4)-(8/2/9/4)-(8/2/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Nov15 Oct04 Jul31 Jul10 May16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  HOUSED Nov27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug27 Feb02 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
3  GIZMO'S MISSION Nov27 Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 Oct09 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  SWELTER Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 Sep09 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 1.80    
5  SEEING RED Dec04 Nov16 Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 123 8.00    
6  PAPA CHARLES Dec04 Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 (castillo j)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 20% 4.10    
7  THE EQUINEST Nov15 Oct31 Oct04 Sep07 Aug31 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUVESAIDITALL Dec05 Nov01 Oct04 Sep11 Aug31 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  GILES Dec05 Nov02 Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 5.00 22% 3.40    
3  GEH SCHNELL Nov21 Oct13 Sep26 Sep11 Jul27 (manning c)VELEZ J 124 6.00    
4  STRIKE A BEAT Nov22 Nov08 May20 May01 Mar27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
5  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Nov21 Oct24 Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIVISTA Nov21 Oct31 Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
7  LUCKY JUNIOR Nov29 Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 Aug09 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  PRIVATE LAKE Nov13 Oct17 Sep12 Jul03 Jun18 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE KING Nov07 Oct25 Oct15 Oct09 Sep15 (inirio )BRAVO MISAEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  IRIE ISLAND MAN Dec03 Nov07 Oct17 Oct09 Sep25 (inirio carlo)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
3  PRIVATE CONNIE Nov06 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10 Jul03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
4  MR. CELLULAR Nov27 Nov09 Mar22 Feb16 Jan27 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  KALINBA Dec04 Nov05 Oct15 Oct03 Sep20 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
6  DOMI Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep21 Aug30 (mahan joseph )TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
7  NAPA DUDE Nov30 Nov09 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DESERT HIGHWAY Nov08 Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 123 10.00    
9  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Nov27 Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-4   12/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY KENNY WHY Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
2  ROUGE TU RICHES Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug28 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
3  CIRO THE BOSS Nov27 Oct25 Oct06 Aug25 Aug13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 1.60 11% 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
4  MOR CRAFTY Nov27 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 125 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
5  MAILS HERE Nov27 Oct25 Oct06     (brafford mich)BRACHO A 125 6.00    
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
6  EL SORDO Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Aug28 Aug09 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  SAMURAI WAY Oct25 Oct06 Sep09 Aug09 Jul22 (barton amand)ROSARIO L 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
8  RAISE YOU ONE Nov22 Oct05 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 (doering ma)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
 
MVR-5   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY SUNRISE Nov19 Nov06 Oct24 Oct08 Sep20 (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
2  EXALTED JOY Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 Sep18 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
3  HE'S A SHOOTER Nov29 Oct26 Jul14 Jun15 Dec09 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00    
4  HROTHGAR Nov22 Nov05 Oct09 Oct03 Sep25 (morzan e)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
5  SOUTHERN WILL Oct29 Sep27 Sep03 Aug04 Jun23 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAZARUS PROJECT Nov06 Oct21 Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  I'M EVER READY Oct03         (haehn r)REYES FRANK 126 15.00    
8  UNCLE KEVIN Jun24 May31 Jan26 Dec28 Dec12 (reust megan)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
9  MORE THAN GOOD Nov21 Nov02 Oct18 Sep14 Aug16 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 10.00 18% 4.70    
10  WILE E PEYOTE Oct31 Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 Aug15 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-6   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND BUZZ Nov21 Oct11 Sep18 Aug28 Jul18 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 ★    
2  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Nov20 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
3  THAT'S THE WAY Nov30 Nov06 Oct09 Jun07 May23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
4  TIGER TRAIL Nov20 Oct28 Oct13 Sep04 Aug22 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
5  OHIO EAGLE Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 5.00 6% 15.40    
6  OAKEN Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 (calderon i)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 4.00 7% 13.60    
7  NAMBITI Nov21 Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 Aug24 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  RED HOT POWER Nov21 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (gon)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
9  OHIO MUNNY Nov21 Oct30 Oct09 Aug19 Jul11 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
10  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Nov21 Oct28 Oct11 Sep11 Jul10 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
 
MVR-7   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET OUTLOOK Nov28 Nov13 Oct31 Oct04 Oct12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
2  BODIL Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 Aug19 Jul11 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 31% 2.30    
3  GOODNESS SAKES Nov16 Oct25 Sep22 Aug18 Aug06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHANEL SPIRIT Oct25 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Mar23 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  KAT TRAX Nov09 Oct21 Aug31 Aug01 Jul19 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 6.00 11% 7.70    
6  SPICE ICE Nov28 Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Aug14 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
7  KERRI'S MIRACLE Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jun27 May25 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
8  KISS VALENTINA Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
 
MVR-8   12/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS HALIME Nov09 Sep20 Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
2  DIVINE MARTHA Nov13 Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 May30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 13% 6.70    
3  JOLIE RULER Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
4  MITESSE Oct24 Sep14 Jul20 Jul03 May30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ORBIT MARS Nov27 Oct25 Oct04 Sep12 Sep05 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
6  SKY Nov13 Nov06 Oct23 Sep20 Sep06 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00    
7  MISS OVER THERE Jul17 Jun21 Jun01 May06 Apr11 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
8  FOR THE BISCUIT Nov28 Nov13 Nov01 Oct07 Sep19 (salas felipe)BRACHO A 125 4.00 53% 0.90    
9  YOGA QUEEN Oct25 Sep22 Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.