Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-5 $33.40 $15.40 86%
FL-6   DD (6/1/5)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $49.20 $25.20 105%
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/1/5)-(1/4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-5-4 $22.75 $4.75 26%
FL-8   EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-8 $14.80 $2.80 23%
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-8-5 $24.37 $21.37 712%
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOWING SNOWMAN 7 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 11 (muller j)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 15.70  
4  DEVIOUS MO 4 5 32 31½   31½ 21 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 4.70  
6  SAMAY (PER) 6 1 66¾ 65¼   53 31 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 13.60  
3  BUSTIN PIETRE 3 4 43 42   42 41¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 18% 4.70 2.05  
5  CONFORMIST 5 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 51½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 47% 1.10 2.05  
1  QUAD PARTY 1 6 56½ 55   64 66¾ (murphy timothy)COA J 124 10.00 11.90  
2  DIGITAL FUTURE 2 7 78¾ 710¼   710 711½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00 6% 15.00 4.30  
 
FL-2   11/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:142 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HINENI 4 6 25 24 1½ 14 1½ (lecesse michae)COA J 121 8.00 2.50  
  (by TIZNOW out of JOELS LAST LAUGH by FORESTRY)
1A  LIFETIME GUARANTEE 5 7 715 718½ 74½ 66½ 2½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 50% 1.00 2.35 P
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VELMA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  GOLD TEMPLAR 6 5 610 610½ 63½ 45½ 31 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00 8% 11.70 6.50 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
4  OLLIE CAN DANCE 2 3 57 56½ 31½ 24 42 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60  
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
5  CROAGH PATRICK 3 2 35½ 35 42½ 35 56½ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 16.60  
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
8  THE LAST SHEEK 7 4 46½ 45½ 2½ 56 69½ (progno )NAVARRO J 121 15.00 39.25  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SATIN SHEEKS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  STRATEGYFORYOU 1 1 15 14 52½ 718½ 728¼ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00 24.75  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BIG ELM               (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE               (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
 
FL-3   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBYS MISSION 1 5 31½ 2½   2½ 1½ (shaffer richa)DAVILA A 121 10.00 22.50  
2  WHO ASKED YOU 2 2 1½ 1½   1½ 2½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 19.80  
3  MS. SOLVEIG 3 6 73¾ 41½   32½ 3½ (antonacci )DE EMANUEL 124 1.80 21% 3.80 0.65 S
7  MA MI JO DREAMS 7 1 41½ 52½   65½ 42¼ (buckley )DAVIS A 121 8.00 10.10  
4  HIGHWAY HARMONY 4 7 62¾ 73¼   75¾ 52½ (abr)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 40% 1.50 4.40  
5  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 5 4 52½ 62¾   55½ 62½ (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 8.00 13.40  
6  SPECIAL PAL 6 3 2½ 3½   44 72½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.40  
 
FL-4   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SIGHT UNSEEN 6 2 2nk 1½ 1½ 12½ 11¾ (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 2.00 43% 1.30 1.10 W
3  BIG BAD BUD 3 1 1nk 2½ 2½ 22½ 21¾ (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 124 8.00 10.80  
4  RINGGOOD 4 5 51¼ 51¾ 54½ 35 34¼ (bond brent)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 5.10  
7  R BOY CHEEKUM 7 3 41 41½ 33 46½ 48¼ (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00 29.25  
2  MASETA 2 4 3½ 3½ 43 57½ 59¼ (murphy timothy)COA J 124 2.50 9% 10.00 2.70  
5  THIS CAT CAN FLY 5 7 74¾ 78¼ 712½ 612½ 610 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 24% 3.10 6.30  
1  IN TRAFFIC 1 6 63¾ 64¼ 67½ 713½ 719 (rivera d)DAVIS A 121 10.00 15.10  
 
FL-5   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:143 1:422   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOLD FORCE 4 3 42¼ 31 15 112 111 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 9% 10.60 5.30 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of SCATTERED RAIN by SCAT DADDY)
7  KING KHALI 6 6 77¾ 79 59 514 211 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 6.00 2.80  
  (by AL KHALI out of MS. EMMA by CLARAMOUNT)
6  HOW U DOIN 5 5 54¾ 54 36 313 316 (progno michael)COA J 120 3.00 31% 2.30 4.30 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AKRIS QUEEN by ARCH)
2  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY 2 2 1nk 1½ 25 212 416½ (smi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 10.80  
  (by DESTIN out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
1  ELLA SPEED 1 1 32 42 46½ 414 523 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 117 4.00 27% 2.70 3.05  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEAREST ELLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  MORQ 7 7 64¾ 68 610 619 628½ (englehart chris)ROHENA M 120 8.00 4.50  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of QUALIFYING by QUALITY ROAD)
3  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 3 4 2nk 2½ 715 737 756 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 120 10.00 8.30  
  (by LEOFRIC out of DERWIN'S LADY by LANGFUHR)
SCR  DERBY CHILD               (goodwin )DAVIS A 120 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
 
FL-6   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HONORABLE AVENUE 4 2 1nk 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk (tasso mark)COA J 124 4.00 21% 3.70 1.50 W
1  RUNABOUT 1 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 2½ 2nk (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.55 P
2  UNCLE MILTIE 2 1 52¼ 66 43 31½ 32½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 9% 10.00 4.10 S
7  FLAT BILL 7 7 62¼ 53 53½ 42 42¾ (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 12.00 22.10  
5  EASY SHOT 5 6 41¼ 3½ 31½ 53 53 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
3  TRIVISTA 3 5 88¼ 812 711 78 67¾ (loaiza i)DAVIS A 124 10.00 16.30  
8  BLOOD MOON 8 3 31 41 65 67 78¼ (thompson marcu)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 38.50  
6  SNEADS 6 8 74¼ 711 817 830 830 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 3.50 11.20  
 
FL-7   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUR FIRST LADY 5 2 45½ 34   21 11½ (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 5.00 15.60  
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
8  KEEP IT SEXY 6 1 35½ 44½   42 21½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.00 19% 4.20 2.65 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of OELECTRA by GULCH)
6  HAPPY'S SMILE 4 4 2½ 2nk   11 33¾ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50 48% 1.10 0.55 S
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
1A  SASSY TALLAHASSEE 7 5 610 69½   66½ 45½ (sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00 6.30  
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
3  DALE AVENUE 1 7 59½ 58½   54½ 58¼ (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 12.00 9% 10.20 16.70  
  (by REDESDALE out of DEAN AVENUE by PURE PRIZE)
1  BABI DREAMS 3 6 714 715½   712½ 610 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 6.00 6.30  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
5  SCHERZER 2 3 1½ 1nk   31½ 711½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 18.70  
  (by FROST GIANT out of WUNDAHOWIGOTHERE by BIG BROWN)
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN               (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 121 15.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  WITT LASTING SPEED               (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 4.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
 
FL-8   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :462 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEACH BOY AL 6 5 42½ 3.2   11 11 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 35% 1.80 1.00 W
8  DEVIOUS BANKER 7 1 31½ 2nk   21 21 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.40 P
5  GREY INVASION 4 3 63½ 53¾   43½ 31 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00 12% 7.40 12.90 S
3  AVA K'S BOY 2 6 2½ 41¼   55 42¼ (catalano l)DAVILA R 122 8.00 4.10  
4  STONE GUITAR 3 2 1½ 1nk   31½ 53½ (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00 27.00  
1  CAN'T BEAT ME 1 7 74 66¾   66½ 63¾ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 12.70  
6  TACONY ROAD 5 4 53 79¾   711½ 712½ (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 3.60  
SCR  KIERKEGAARD               (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
 
FL-9   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALMENDRO 1 1 31½ 31½   2nk 11¼ (ubbink s)DAVIS A 122 3.50 2.55  
7  THE LAST ACE 6 2 11 11   1nk 21¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00 7.40  
6  DROSEL DIEM 5 4 21 21   31 32 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 120 15.00 17.40  
9  PRODUCTION CREDIT 8 3 42 44½   44 43 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 ★ 4.00  
4  NUTSIE 3 5 87½ 89¾   76¾ 53¼ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
5  N Y ANTHEM 4 6 65 55½   54¼ 63¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 68% 0.50 2.65  
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE 2 7 55 65½   64¾ 73¾ (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 12.00 27.50  
8  MACHO MIAH 7 9 77 79½   88¾ 86¼ (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 8% 11.90 13.00  
10  FIRST DEPUTY 9 8 98½ 910¾   99¾ 97 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 8.30  
SCR  HARRISON KNOWS               (morales)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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