The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $33.40 -6.00
FL-2   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.00 -6.00
FL-3   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $47.00 -6.00
FL-4   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
FL-5   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
FL-6   Win (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
FL-7   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $33.20 -6.00
FL-8   Win (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
FL-9   Win (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.10 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWING SNOWMAN 7 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 11 (muller j)ROHENA JR 122 8.00 15.70  
DEVIOUS MO 4 5 32 3   321 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 4.70  
SAMAY 6 1 6 6   53 31 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 13.60  
BUSTIN PIETRE 3 4 43 42   42 4(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 18% 4.70 2.05  
CONFORMIST 5 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 5(englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.50 47% 1.10 2.05  
QUAD PARTY 1 6 5 55   64 6(murphy p)COA J 124 10.00 11.90  
DIGITAL FUTURE 2 7 7 710¼   710 711½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00 6% 15.00 4.30  
 
FL-2   11/21/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:142 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HINENI 4 6 25 24 1½ 14 1½ (lecesse michael)COA J 121 8.00 2.50  
1A  LIFETIME GUARANTEE 5 7 715 718½ 7 62½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 50% 1.00 2.35 P
GOLD TEMPLAR 6 5 610 610½ 6 431 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00 8% 11.70 6.50 S
OLLIE CAN DANCE 2 3 57 5 3 24 42 (buckley jo)DAVIS A 121 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60  
CROAGH PATRICK 3 2 3 35 4 35 5(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 16.60  
THE LAST SHEEK 7 4 4 4 2½ 56 6(progno mi)NAVARRO J 121 15.00 39.25  
STRATEGYFORYOU 1 1 15 14 5 718½ 728¼ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00 24.75  
SCR  BIG ELM               (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00    
 
FL-3   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBYS MISSION 1 5 3 2½   2½ 1½ (shaffer richard)DAVILA A 121 10.00 22.50  
WHO ASKED YOU 2 2 1½ 1½   1½ 2½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 19.80  
MS. SOLVEIG 3 6 7 4   33½ (antonacci ph)DE EMANUEL 124 1.80 21% 3.80 0.65 S
MA MI JO DREAMS 7 1 4 5   64(buckley jo)DAVIS A 121 8.00 10.10  
HIGHWAY HARMONY 4 7 6 7   75(abreu)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 40% 1.50 4.40  
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 5 4 5 6   56(marino e)ROHENA JR 121 8.00 13.40  
SPECIAL PAL 6 3 2½ 3½   44 7(englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.40  
 
FL-4   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGHT UNSEEN 6 2 2nk 1½ 1½ 11(buckley b)PEREZ E 124 2.00 43% 1.30 1.10 W
BIG BAD BUD 3 1 1nk 2½ 2½ 22(maver eduardo)DAVILA A 124 8.00 10.80  
RINGGOOD 4 5 5 5 5 35 3(bond brent)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 5.10  
R BOY CHEEKUM 7 3 41 4 33 44(thompson g)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00 29.25  
MASETA 2 4 3½ 3½ 43 55(murphy p)COA J 124 2.50 9% 10.00 2.70  
THIS CAT CAN FLY 5 7 7 7 712½ 612½ 610 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 24% 3.10 6.30  
IN TRAFFIC 1 6 6 6 6 713½ 719 (rivera dav)DAVIS A 121 10.00 15.10  
 
FL-5   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:143 1:422   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD FORCE 4 3 4 31 15 112 111 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 9% 10.60 5.30 W
KING KHALI 6 6 7 79 59 514 211 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 6.00 2.80  
HOW U DOIN 5 5 5 54 36 313 316 (progno s)COA J 120 3.00 31% 2.30 4.30 S
SEAMS LIKE DESTINY 2 2 1nk 1½ 25 212 416½ (smith)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 10.80  
ELLA SPEED 1 1 32 42 4 414 523 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 117 4.00 27% 2.70 3.05  
MORQ 7 7 6 68 610 619 628½ (englehart chris)ROHENA M 120 8.00 4.50  
ONE WITHEVERYTHING 3 4 2nk 2½ 715 737 756 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 120 10.00 8.30  
SCR  DERBY CHILD               (goodwin ga)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
 
FL-6   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORABLE AVENUE 4 2 1nk 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk (tasso mark)COA J 124 4.00 21% 3.70 1.50 W
RUNABOUT 1 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 2½ 2nk (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.55 P
UNCLE MILTIE 2 1 5 66 43 33(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 9% 10.00 4.10 S
FLAT BILL 7 7 6 53 5 42 4(gutterson)NAVARRO J 124 12.00 22.10  
EASY SHOT 5 6 4 3½ 3 53 53 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
TRIVISTA 3 5 8 812 711 78 6(loaiza ilm)DAVIS A 124 10.00 16.30  
BLOOD MOON 8 3 31 41 65 67 7(thompson marcus )ALVARADO R 124 15.00 38.50  
SNEADS 6 8 7 711 817 830 830 (murphy timothy )DAVILA A 124 3.50 11.20  
 
FL-7   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR FIRST LADY 5 2 4 34   21 1(acquilano)NAVARRO J 121 5.00 15.60  
KEEP IT SEXY 6 1 3 4   42 2(englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.00 19% 4.20 2.65 P
HAPPY'S SMILE 4 4 2½ 2nk   11 3(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50 48% 1.10 0.55 S
1A  SASSY TALLAHASSEE 7 5 610 6   64(sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00 6.30  
DALE AVENUE 1 7 5 5   55(breed rona)DAVIS A 121 12.00 9% 10.20 16.70  
BABI DREAMS 3 6 714 715½   712½ 610 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 6.00 6.30  
SCHERZER 2 3 1½ 1nk   3711½ (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 18.70  
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN               (huertas nirka)BERRIOS C 121 15.00    
SCR  WITT LASTING SPEED               (progno s)ROHENA JR 124 4.00    
 
FL-8   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :462 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH BOY AL 6 5 4 3.2   11 11 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 35% 1.80 1.00 W
DEVIOUS BANKER 7 1 3 2nk   21 21 (pettine ja)DAVIS A 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.40 P
GREY INVASION 4 3 6 5   431 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 8.00 12% 7.40 12.90 S
AVA K'S BOY 2 6 2½ 4   55 4(catalano l)DAVILA R 122 8.00 4.10  
STONE GUITAR 3 2 1½ 1nk   35(bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00 27.00  
CAN'T BEAT ME 1 7 74 6   66(barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 12.70  
TACONY ROAD 5 4 53 7   711½ 712½ (murphy p)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 3.60  
SCR  KIERKEGAARD               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
 
FL-9   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMENDRO 1 1 3 3   2nk 1(ubbink ste)DAVIS A 122 3.50 2.55  
THE LAST ACE 6 2 11 11   1nk 2(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00 7.40  
DROSEL DIEM 5 4 21 21   31 32 (sabine t)ROHENA JR 120 15.00 17.40  
PRODUCTION CREDIT 8 3 42 4   44 43 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 4.00  
NUTSIE 3 5 8 8   75(loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
N Y ANTHEM 4 6 65 5   56(englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 3.00 68% 0.50 2.65  
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 2 7 55 6   67(gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 122 12.00 27.50  
MACHO MIAH 7 9 77 7   88(saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 8% 11.90 13.00  
10  FIRST DEPUTY 9 8 9 910¾   997 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 8.30  
SCR  HARRISON KNOWS               (morales s)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.