Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(4/3/6)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(6/5/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/1/5)-(1/4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(7/8/5)-(5/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-9   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/9/4)-(5/8/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUAD PARTY Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 10.00    
2  DIGITAL FUTURE Oct30 Aug30 Jul22 May19 Apr20 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00 6% 15.00    
3  BUSTIN PIETRE Oct30 Jul18 Jun27 May24 May08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
4  DEVIOUS MO Oct09 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00    
5  CONFORMIST Aug28 Jul12 Jul03 Jun14 May23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  SAMAY (PER) Oct30 Oct17 Oct09 Sep05 Aug28 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
7  BOWING SNOWMAN Nov06 Oct17 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 (muller j)ROHENA JR 122 8.00    
 
FL-2   11/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LIFETIME GUARANTEE         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 50% 1.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VELMA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  BIG ELM Oct30 Oct16 May21 Mar17 Jan28 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE Oct16 Sep18 Aug07 Oct09 Aug11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
3  STRATEGYFORYOU Nov01 Oct19 Sep25 Sep04 Jul30 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  OLLIE CAN DANCE Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
5  CROAGH PATRICK Nov01 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
6  HINENI Nov01 Oct02 Aug04 Jul19 Jun25 (lecesse michae)COA J 121 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of JOELS LAST LAUGH by FORESTRY)
7  GOLD TEMPLAR Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul16 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
8  THE LAST SHEEK Oct18 Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 Jun28 (progno )NAVARRO J 121 15.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SATIN SHEEKS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
FL-3   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBYS MISSION Oct24 Oct09 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 (shaffer richa)DAVILA A 121 10.00    
2  WHO ASKED YOU Nov07 Sep12 Aug15     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
3  MS. SOLVEIG Oct23 Sep12 Jul20 May28 Apr30 (antonacci )DE EMANUEL 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
4  HIGHWAY HARMONY Dec04 Nov04 Aug12     (abr)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Oct23 Sep20 Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 8.00    
6  SPECIAL PAL Nov07 Sep26 Sep12     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
7  MA MI JO DREAMS Nov07 Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
 
FL-4   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TRAFFIC Nov08 Oct31 Oct18 Oct09 Sep26 (rivera d)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
2  MASETA Nov06 Oct23 Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 2.50 9% 10.00    
3  BIG BAD BUD Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 Mar03 Feb08 (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
4  RINGGOOD Nov13 Oct25 Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 (bond brent)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00    
5  THIS CAT CAN FLY Nov08 Oct31 Sep11 Jul19 Jun19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  SIGHT UNSEEN Nov08 Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 Jul11 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
7  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct30 Jun14 Jun05 May17 May07 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
 
FL-5   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLA SPEED Nov06 Oct20 Aug15     (englehart )DE EMANUEL 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEAREST ELLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Oct18         (smi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
3  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 Aug18   (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of DERWIN'S LADY by LANGFUHR)
SCR  DERBY CHILD Oct30 Sep27       (goodwin )DAVIS A 120 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
5  BOLD FORCE Oct30 Oct09 Sep27 Aug11 Jun24 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 9% 10.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SCATTERED RAIN by SCAT DADDY)
6  HOW U DOIN Oct30 Oct18       (progno michael)COA J 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AKRIS QUEEN by ARCH)
7  KING KHALI Oct19         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
  (by AL KHALI out of MS. EMMA by CLARAMOUNT)
8  MORQ Oct19         (englehart chris)ROHENA M 120 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of QUALIFYING by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FL-6   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT Nov06 Oct25 Sep26 Aug02 Jul11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  UNCLE MILTIE Nov13 Oct30 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 9% 10.00    
3  TRIVISTA Oct31 Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 Aug28 (loaiza i)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
4  HONORABLE AVENUE Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 Jul19 (tasso mark)COA J 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  EASY SHOT Nov06 Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 Aug07 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  SNEADS Nov13 Oct25 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 3.50    
7  FLAT BILL Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 12.00    
8  BLOOD MOON Nov13 Oct30 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 (thompson marcu)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
 
FL-7   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABI DREAMS Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 6.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
1A  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Nov08 Oct25 Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 (sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  BANDULU QUEEN Jul29 Jul08 Jun15 Apr22 Mar18 (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 121 15.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  DALE AVENUE         (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
  (by REDESDALE out of DEAN AVENUE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  WITT LASTING SPEED Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 4.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
5  SCHERZER Nov08 Oct24 Oct06 Sep03 May12 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of WUNDAHOWIGOTHERE by BIG BROWN)
6  HAPPY'S SMILE Dec03         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
7  OUR FIRST LADY Oct25 Sep27 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 5.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
8  KEEP IT SEXY Oct26 Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jun03 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OELECTRA by GULCH)
 
FL-8   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T BEAT ME Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 Jul26 Jul03 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  KIERKEGAARD Oct09 Sep25 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
3  AVA K'S BOY Oct24 Oct09 Sep25 Aug28 Jun19 (catalano l)DAVILA R 122 8.00    
4  STONE GUITAR Oct30 Oct17 Oct03 Aug08 May02 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
5  GREY INVASION Oct26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
6  TACONY ROAD Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug07 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 121 6.00    
7  BEACH BOY AL Nov08 Sep20 Sep04 Aug14 Jun28 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
8  DEVIOUS BANKER Nov08 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
FL-9   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARRISON KNOWS Nov13 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
2  ALMENDRO Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul10 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 Aug22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
4  NUTSIE Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  N Y ANTHEM Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 Jun05 May15 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 68% 0.50    
6  DROSEL DIEM Nov06 Oct25 Oct09 Sep05 Aug22 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 120 15.00    
7  THE LAST ACE Oct17 Sep19 Aug01 Jun27 Jun05 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
8  MACHO MIAH Oct17 Jul18 May17 Nov15 Nov02 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 8% 11.90    
9  PRODUCTION CREDIT Nov07 Oct25 Oct09 Aug29 Aug16 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 ★    
10  FIRST DEPUTY Oct30 Oct11 Aug30 Jul14 Jul02 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.