The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 2.10
FL-2   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.40 -4.00
FL-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $8.00 -4.00
FL-4   Win (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 8.40
FL-5   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $30.00 -6.00
FL-6   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.20 -6.00
FL-7   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
FL-8   Win (5/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:231 :471 :60     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO MIAH 4 2 42 33   32 1nk (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.50 30% 2.40 2.05 W
BOWING SNOWMAN 1 3 11 1nk   11 2nk (muller thomas)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00 0.90  
SPECIAL STORY 2 4 21 2nk   21 31 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 120 3.00 29% 2.50 3.15 S
SMOKIN' ALONE 3 1 31 4   47 4(sabine t)ROHENA JR 120 6.00 6.50  
SCR  GHOST GIANT               (bartlett w)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
SCR  VICTORY BUILT               (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 122 4.50    
 
FL-2   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
:232 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 2 4 56 5   21(sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 2.50 2.70  
BUSTINROXY 5 1 1½ 11   12(ferraro anthon)COA J 121 5.00 17% 4.90 3.30 P
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN 3 5 2½ 3   43 3(ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 30% 2.30 1.45 S
JESSICA'S RACE 4 2 31 4   55 4(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 11.10  
DEVILLY 1 3 4 21   32 5(d'alessandro ra)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 3.30  
SCR  STORMY'S IN STYLE               (barrow paul)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
 
FL-3   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:241 :481 1:123 1:402   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 2nk 1½ 16 110 15 (caramori e)DAVIS A 124 4.00 3.00  
TIZ LUCKY 3 2 1nk 2½ 26 210 25 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 2.50 1.55 P
PARTY NEWS 6 6 6 67 412½ 411½ 3(maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 9.30  
POT OF GOLD 2 3 31 3 39 511½ 4(englehart jeremi)COA J 121 2.00 64% 0.60 2.05  
OLD POINT 5 4 5 5 512½ 311 5(loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00 11.60  
NEMO'S FORTUNE 4 5 4 4 618½ 627½ 635 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 6% 16.70 11.00  
 
FL-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
:23 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROCKMONINOFF 3 2 11 13   11(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 11% 8.30 7.20 W
SNEADS 8 1 3 4   32(murphy p)COA J 124 4.00 8% 12.20 2.20 P
SON OF DARKNESS 1 3 4 23   23(sells rachel)SONE Y 124 5.00 16% 5.10 2.20 S
BUSTIN THE RULES 7 7 79 611   54(gutierrez a)VENTURA JOSE 124 20.00 36.00  
FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR 2 6 21 33   4511¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 1.80 40% 1.50 2.15  
DEAN VERDILE 4 4 5 5   612 612¼ (marino joseph )BARBOSA CARLOS 117 8.00 10.30  
ISAIAH ISAIAH 5 8 814 816¼   716 712¾ (bartlett w)DAVIS A 124 12.00 43.75  
BIG BAD BUD 6 5 63 711¼   817 819 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 37.25  
 
FL-5   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
:23 :471 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUAD PARTY 3 6 43 33   2½ 1nk (murphy timothy)HARKIE K 122 12.00 14.00  
STONE GUITAR 4 1 12 1   1½ 2nk (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 14% 6.10 5.20 P
BLUES CITY 2 5 610 6   53(dominguez carl)BERRIOS C 122 12.00 57.50  
NIGHT ESCORT 1 4 22 2   34(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 11% 7.80 5.70  
SAMAY 5 3 55 5   45(loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 2.50 48% 1.10 0.25  
HARRISON KNOWS 6 2 32 44   68 613 (morales samuel)VENTURA JOSE 122 15.00 35.25  
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP               (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  WAR OF THRONES               (acquilano james)COA J 122 3.00    
 
FL-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:233 :473 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE MILTIE 3 1 34 33   21(ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 6.00 6.10  
THEJIGISUP 5 3 2nk 1nk   12(breed jr)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 7.10  
MISAWA 2 6 79 69   53 3(chamberlin)DAVIS A 122 12.00 10% 8.70 3.20 S
ANGELIC MISSION 1 4 5 57   64(ferraro michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.50 23% 3.30 1.65  
UNCLE VIC 4 7 47 44   45(dean vict)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 40% 1.50 2.60  
LEGENDARY BID 7 2 1nk 2nk   3612¼ (sabine michael)HARKIE K 122 20.00 25.75  
MARCH MADNEZ PARTY 6 5 68 715   715¼ 716½ (babcock edward)BERRIOS C 122 20.00 33.50  
SCR  CRUNCH B B B               (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  NORTH COAST               (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 3.00    
 
FL-7   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRA LAD 4 4 1½ 12   11(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 57% 0.80 1.30 W
THE INSTITUTE 1 5 67 44   22(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 2.00  
BREAKING STONES 3 7 7 7   43(barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 5.10  
TOMMY THE TORCH 2 6 5 54   54(murphy p)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.75  
HORN OF PLENTY 7 2 4 33   66 59 (jacobson dav)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 7% 14.00 5.00  
EXPENSIVE STYLE 6 3 3½ 22   34 611¾ (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 122 5.00 15.20  
THE LAST ACE 5 1 2½ 6   714 730½ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00 23.40  
 
FL-8   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
:23 :463 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P J'S RIDER 5 1 1 16   18 1(russell brittany)COA J 121 3.00 56% 0.80 0.80 W
10  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS 10 4 5 36   38 2(buckley j)NAVARRO J 121 12.00 42.00  
MOOLAH ROUGE 7 2 3 26   28 37 (lecesse michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 15.00 29.25  
GOODBYE KYLE 1 8 6 610¾   511¼ 4(jacobson david)DAVILA A 121 8.00 15.40  
TINA BURNER 2 7 76 5   411 5(sells rach)DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
KITTY TIN TIN 4 10 1012½ 1016¼   818¾ 610 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 4.80  
SWEET TOOTH SUE 8 9 9 813¼   918¾ 714½ (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 6.00 23.50  
MIDNIGHT MINDSET 6 5 2 4   615¼ 814¾ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 10% 8.70 7.00  
EMPRESS PALPATINE 3 6 8 712¼   718¼ 916 (henry n)BERRIOS C 124 15.00 52.75  
FIVEALARM FREAKOUT 9 3 4 914¼   1023¾ 1025¼ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 4.00 7% 13.40 5.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.