Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/4)-(2/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/1/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/1/3/8)-(7/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/7/2)-(5/6/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(5/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/2)-(5/6/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/2)-(5/6/9/4/2)-(5/6/9/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VICTORY BUILT Sep26 Aug23 Jul12 Jun20 May17 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  GHOST GIANT Aug30 Jul20 Jun17 May28 Apr27 (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
3  BOWING SNOWMAN Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 5.00    
4  SPECIAL STORY Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  SMOKIN' ALONE Sep05 Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 120 6.00    
6  MACHO MIAH Jul18 May17 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
FL-2   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORMY'S IN STYLE Aug23 Jul25 Jun12 May16 Apr16 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
2  DEVILLY Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00    
3  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Aug02 Jul18 (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 2.50    
4  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul25 Jun26 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  JESSICA'S RACE Sep06 Jun20 May24 Feb25 Jan26 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00    
6  BUSTINROXY Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 Jun05 May12 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
FL-3   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOP THE SPREAD Sep20 Aug04 Jul20 Jun10 Oct06 (caramori)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
2  POT OF GOLD Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 Apr16   (englehart jere)COA J 121 2.00 64% 0.60    
3  TIZ LUCKY Oct02 Sep06 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 2.50 ★    
4  NEMO'S FORTUNE Sep18 Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 Jun19 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 6% 16.70    
5  OLD POINT Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun18 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00    
6  PARTY NEWS Oct02 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul24 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF DARKNESS Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 Jul18 Jul03 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
2  FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR Jul11 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  BROCKMONINOFF Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Jul03 Oct11 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
4  DEAN VERDILE Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 (marino josep)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 8.00    
5  ISAIAH ISAIAH Sep05 Aug21 Nov15 Nov02 May16 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
6  BIG BAD BUD Mar03 Feb08 Dec30 Dec07 Nov15 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
7  BUSTIN THE RULES Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 Aug08 Jul05 (gutierrez luis)VENTURA JOSE 124 20.00    
8  SNEADS Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 Jul17 Jul03 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 4.00 8% 12.20    
 
FL-5   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
2  NIGHT ESCORT Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Jul11 Jun20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
3  BLUES CITY Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 Jul12 (dominguez ca)BERRIOS C 122 12.00    
4  QUAD PARTY Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
SCR  WAR OF THRONES Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 3.00    
6  STONE GUITAR Oct03 Aug08 May02 Nov14 Oct31 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
7  SAMAY (PER) Oct09 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Jul31 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
8  HARRISON KNOWS Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (morales samuel)VENTURA JOSE 122 15.00    
 
FL-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELIC MISSION Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 Jun28 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  NORTH COAST (IRE) Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul12 Jun26 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00    
3  MISAWA Sep20 Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 Dec08 (chamberl)DAVIS A 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
4  UNCLE MILTIE Oct03 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 6.00    
5  UNCLE VIC Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Jul05 (dean vi)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
6  THEJIGISUP Oct03 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 Jun17 (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
SCR  CRUNCH B B B Sep20 Aug29 Jul31 Jun12 May23 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 4.00    
8  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
9  LEGENDARY BID Jul05 Jun20 Nov23 Oct25 Sep27 (sabine micha)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE INSTITUTE Sep19 Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00    
2  TOMMY THE TORCH Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul12 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BREAKING STONES Sep04 Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 May17 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
4  TRA LAD Sep25 Aug29 Jul26 Jun27 May29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
5  THE LAST ACE Sep19 Aug01 Jun27 Jun05 Nov23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
6  EXPENSIVE STYLE Jun20 May22 May09 Mar24 Nov23 (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
7  HORN OF PLENTY Sep21 Sep01 Jul31 May21 May17 (jacobson d)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 7% 14.00    
 
FL-8   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBYE KYLE Oct03 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jun08 (jacobson davi)DAVILA A 121 8.00    
2  TINA BURNER Oct03 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 May30 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMPRESS PALPATINE Sep18 Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
4  KITTY TIN TIN Oct03 Aug23 Jul18 Jun13 Nov01 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 ★    
5  P J'S RIDER Oct07 Sep15 Sep08 Aug05 Jun02 (russell britta)COA J 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  MIDNIGHT MINDSET Sep06 Aug09 Jul11 Jun14 Nov09 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
7  MOOLAH ROUGE Sep18 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (lecesse mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 15.00    
8  SWEET TOOTH SUE Oct03 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
9  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jun20 May12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00 7% 13.40    
10  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 May28 (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.