Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-2   EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-2 $16.40 $12.40 310%
FL-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $12.00 $8.00 200%
    DD (5/2)-(1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5-2 $34.00 $26.00 325%
FL-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $15.00 $9.00 150%
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $19.60 $7.60 63%
    DD (1/2)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $110.00 $98.00 817%
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/2)-(6/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-2-5 $67.37 $61.37 1023%
FL-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $28.00 $16.00 133%
    DD (6/5/1)-(6/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-1 $88.50 $70.50 392%
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/5/1)-(6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-5-1 $88.12 $79.12 879%
FL-9   EXA (6/10/5/2)-(6/10/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $26.20 $2.20 9%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA KISSES 1 1 21 21 1nk 1 15 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50 3.45  
MISSING FORTUNE 6 3 32 31 2nk 2 25 (saul dana)COA J 124 2.50 67% 0.50 0.75 P
TIVOLI GARDENS 2 6 55 5 4 3 39 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 7% 14.30 4.00 S
HOLIDAY JAZZ 3 4 44 4 5 512 410½ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 7.10  
GUIDANCE 5 5 6 6 6 411½ 512¾ (loaiza i)DAVIS A 117 5.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SALOON GIRL 4 2 11 11 3½ 617 625 (dean vi)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 35.75  
 
FL-2   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITWAITDONTTELLME 4 3 43 32   1½ 1½ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.00 40% 1.50 0.80 W
OUR LITTLE TIGER 2 5 22 22   4 2½ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 14% 6.10 7.20 P
STIMULUS CHECK 5 4 54 5   52 32 (iorio jr)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 4.20  
INOUAINTALKINTOME 1 1 12 12   2½ 42 (huertas)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 5.40  
FLATTERY'S MUSIC 3 2 33 4   3½ 5 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 5.00 3.90  
SCR  SHESAWILDJOKER               (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
 
FL-3   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:151 1:43   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME CARMELITA 1 1 2nk 1½ 1 1½ 1¼ (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
QUIET HORIZON 4 6 6 6 32 2½ 2¼ (cabrera jose)HARKIE K 124 1.50 4.00  
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 2 5 4 42 42 31 3 (lecesse mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 4.00 66% 0.50 1.70 S
HOLMDEL PARK 6 2 1nk 2½ 2 49 410¾ (ferraro m )DE EMANUEL 124 1.80 1.25  
1A  IM GONNA WIN 5 4 5 54 67 510 510¾ (lecesse michae)COA J 124 4.00 1.70  
DO WHAT IT TAKES 3 3 3½ 31 55 610 612 (dean vi)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 20.20  
 
FL-4   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:144 1:411   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOPTHEREITIS 5 2 2 22 2nk 11 1½ (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.90 6.50 W
MS. SOLVEIG 6 4 3 34 33 3 2½ (antonacci phili)DAVIS KATIE 124 1.00 31% 2.30 0.05 P
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 2 1 1 12 1nk 21 3 (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 5.00 13.00  
FLURRY OF ROSES 1 3 59 66 45 4 4 (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 16% 5.10 34.50  
EMBRACEABLE GAL 4 6 610 56 5 512½ 517¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 22.40  
TINTAGEL 3 5 45 45 6 616½ 622 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00 51.50  
 
FL-5   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO CONSPIRATOR 1 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 3.00 20% 4.10 4.60 W
SHANTY SHACK 6 3 42 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¼ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.80 35% 1.90 0.90 P
DEVIOUS BANKER 4 1 2 3 4 33 3 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 6.00 5.00  
MASETA 2 5 3 5 31 4 4 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 8.00 16.50  
HONORABLE AVENUE 3 7 7 74 6 5 5 (tasso mark)COA J 122 4.00 14% 5.90 3.10  
BENCH WALK 7 6 6 63 7 710¼ 610¾ (huertas)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 27.00  
BEACHSIDE 5 4 53 4 5 610¼ 712¼ (schudlick mic)DAVILA A 122 10.00 38.25  
 
FL-6   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 1 6 6 5 42 14 1 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 6.00 6.00  
ROYAL SUSPECT 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 24 2 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30 3.55 P
HORSE BE WITH YOU 6 4 42 4 55 4 3 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00 25% 3.00 5.60 S
SHARED SUCCESS 5 3 31 3½ 1nk 37 4 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 3.50 15% 5.50 2.55  
LEO AND ROYAL 4 5 21 2½ 31 510 5 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 1.45  
CANDYROCK 3 2 53 6 611 624 631¼ (donegan l)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 33.75  
SCR  BROTHER JEREMIAH               (buckley )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
 
FL-7   10/23/2023 8910ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
1:16 1:464     3:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KODIAK BROWN 1 4 414 4 2nk 1nk 1 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 8.00 15.80  
OUR MAN MIKE 2 814½ 617½ 7 6 2nk 2 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 2.50 20% 3.90 2.90 P
KINGFISH 5 713½ 718 89 7 33 32 (grabowski john)COA J 119 6.00 9.00  
COUNT FROST 6 5 516½ 5 5 55 4 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.50 7% 13.80 3.30  
FLAT BILL 7 613½ 818¼ 67 4 4 5 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 115 15.00 34.00  
PARADE FIELD 4 35 310 35 3.2 6 68 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 4.00 52% 0.90 3.40  
THANK YOU 3 24 210 24 1nk 717¼ 736¾ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 115 12.00 5% 19.00 34.50  
FIRE'S FINALE 8 14 110 14 821¾ 8100 8100 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 119 5.00 2.40  
 
FL-8   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARSAICHI 8 1 12 1   15 16 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 3.00 33% 2.10 2.30 W
TEKILA 1 8 9 8   7 26 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 8.00 6.50  
LOCKBOX 7 2 22 2   25 3 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 119 12.00 6.50  
ISABEL LUVS GOLD 6 6 3 33   46 4 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 6.00 13% 6.80 6.20  
10  FANCY FELINE 9 5 6 44   36 57 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00 19% 4.30 5.00  
BOY IS SHE A LADY 2 9 7 6   6 6 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 119 10.00 10.00  
FULIGNI 3 3 43 54   57 78 (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 3.50 14% 6.00 5.50  
JACKSON AVENUE 5 4 8 9   810¼ 8 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 15.00 10.80  
TASTY WAVE 4 7 5 7   914¼ 917¼ (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00 41.50  
SCR  MISS STONES               (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00    
 
FL-9   10/23/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:151 1:424   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE CAP 5 5 58 612¼ 6 1nk 12 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.50 29% 2.40 1.75 W
SHE SPEAKS WELL 4 4 3 310 38 31 22 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 4.00 10% 8.70 6.50 P
REUNION TOUR 7 9 7 813¼ 710¾ 5 3 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 8.40  
10  UP FOR ADVENTURE 8 6 68 512 4 2nk 4 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00 20% 4.10 8.10  
TRITON'S CREED 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 45 511¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 9% 10.30 3.10  
LOOKIN GRAND 6 3 47 411 5 6 612¼ (fung chr)DAVIS A 124 6.00 11.10  
1A  MAGIC PRO 9 7 8 713¼ 810¾ 710¾ 716 (lopez arcadio)COA J 124 20.00 35.50  
COMBATING 3 8 919½ 923¼ 925¾ 919¼ 819½ (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 59.00  
LORENZEN 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 813¼ 919¾ (bireta don)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 6.00  
SCR  HARDLY WORKING               (lopez robert)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
SCR  RILEY BEE               (lopez arcadio)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.