Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-4   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-5   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-7   Win (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-8   Win (8/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-9   Win (6/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   10/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA KISSES Oct01 Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50    
TIVOLI GARDENS Oct03 Aug09 Jul12 Nov21 Nov07 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 7% 14.30    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jun27 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
SALOON GIRL Oct04 Sep18 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 (dean vict)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
GUIDANCE Oct04 Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
MISSING FORTUNE Oct02 Sep02 Aug11 Jul12 Jun21 (saul dana)COA J 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
FL-2   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INOUAINTALKINTOME Oct04 Sep20 Sep11 Aug28 Aug01 (huertas n)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
OUR LITTLE TIGER Sep06 Aug07 Jul11 Jun21 May17 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  SHESAWILDJOKER Sep01 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (bartlett w)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
FLATTERY'S MUSIC Oct09 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (sabine t)ROHENA JR 122 5.00    
WAITWAITDONTTELLME Oct04 Aug21 Jul04 Jun21 May23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
STIMULUS CHECK Oct04 Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 Nov16 (iorio jr)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00    
 
FL-3   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Oct10 Aug30 May17 Apr20 Mar31 (lecesse michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 4.00 66% 0.50    
1A  IM GONNA WIN Oct10 Aug30 Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 (lecesse michael)COA J 124 4.00    
CALL ME CARMELITA Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 (bartlett w)DAVIS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
DO WHAT IT TAKES Oct10 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 (dean vict)NAVARRO J 124 6.00    
QUIET HORIZON Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (cabrera joseph)HARKIE K 124 1.50    
HOLMDEL PARK Sep12 Aug15 Jul17 Jun21 May24 (ferraro an)DE EMANUEL 124 1.80    
 
FL-4   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLURRY OF ROSES Sep04 Aug14 Jul10 Jun20 Oct24 (buckley b)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Sep20 Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jun12 (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 5.00    
TINTAGEL Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Jun13 May31 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
EMBRACEABLE GAL Oct09 Sep26 Sep03 Aug04 Jul15 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
SHOOPTHEREITIS Oct05 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jun13 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
MS. SOLVEIG Sep12 Jul20 May28 Apr30 Mar12 (antonacci philip)DAVIS KATIE 124 1.00 31% 2.30    
 
FL-5   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO CONSPIRATOR Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
MASETA Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (murphy timothy)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
HONORABLE AVENUE Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 Jul19 Jul04 (tasso mark)COA J 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
DEVIOUS BANKER Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 (pettine ja)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
BEACHSIDE Oct09 Sep19 Aug28 Aug07 Jul05 (schudlick micha)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
SHANTY SHACK Oct09 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
BENCH WALK Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (huertas n)NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
 
FL-6   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FRONTIER Sep25 Sep04 Aug01 Jun09 May11 (d'alessandro r)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 6.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT Sep25 Aug29 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
CANDYROCK Sep11 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
SCR  BROTHER JEREMIAH Sep25 Sep04 Aug15 Jul24 Jun20 (buckley jo)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
LEO AND ROYAL Oct09 Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul10 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50    
SHARED SUCCESS Sep25 Aug27 Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 (acquilano james)COA J 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
HORSE BE WITH YOU Oct04 Sep18 Aug28 Apr05 Mar22 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
FL-7   10/23/2023 8910ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KODIAK BROWN Oct11 Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 8.00    
OUR MAN MIKE Oct04 Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 (ferraro michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
THANK YOU Oct10 Jul31 Jul03 May29 Nov23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARADE FIELD Oct11 Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
KINGFISH Oct04 Sep11 Aug23 Aug14 Jul17 (grabowski a)COA J 119 6.00    
COUNT FROST Oct06 Sep11 Aug31 Aug17 Jul21 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.50 7% 13.80    
FLAT BILL Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 115 15.00    
FIRE'S FINALE Oct04 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 119 5.00    
 
FL-8   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEKILA Sep19 Aug08 Jul24 Apr27 Feb05 (buckley b)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
BOY IS SHE A LADY Sep20 Aug22 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 (dixon linda )DE EMANUEL 119 10.00    
FULIGNI Aug02 Jun17 Apr29 Mar03 Feb17 (bond ja)HARKIE K 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
TASTY WAVE Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 (ashley julius)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
JACKSON AVENUE Oct04 Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 Jul16 (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
ISABEL LUVS GOLD Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 (ferraro michael)COA J 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
LOCKBOX Oct04 Jul12 Jul04 Jun21 May22 (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 119 12.00    
WARSAICHI Oct04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 May31 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MISS STONES Sep12 Aug08 Jul09 May21 Apr29 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00    
10  FANCY FELINE Oct04 Sep02 Jul09 May21 Apr23 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
FL-9   10/23/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAGIC PRO Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (lopez arcadio)COA J 124 20.00    
SCR  RILEY BEE Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (lopez arcadio)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
TRITON'S CREED Oct02 Sep13 Aug07 Jul10   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 9% 10.30    
LORENZEN Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 (bireta donna)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
COMBATING Oct10 Sep18 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 (d'alessandro ra)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
SHE SPEAKS WELL Oct10 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug16 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
OVER THE CAP Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug14 Jul24 (ferraro michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  HARDLY WORKING Oct10 Sep18 Sep06 Aug07 Jul18 (lopez roberto )HARKIE K 124 10.00    
LOOKIN GRAND Oct11 Sep27 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 (fung chris)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
REUNION TOUR Sep26 Aug29 Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
10  UP FOR ADVENTURE Oct10 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.