The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 0.00
FL-2   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.60 -6.00
FL-3   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
FL-4   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $12.00 -4.00
FL-5   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.60 -6.00
FL-6   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.90 $5.90 -0.10
FL-7   Win (10/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
FL-8   Win (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -4.30

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:25 :491 1:151 1:424   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZANDO 1 3 5 511 55 1nk 14 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00 50% 1.00 1.00 W
1A  REINER 4 1 32 3 21 2nk 24 (ferraro m )DAVIS A 122 3.00 1.00  
FIRST DEPUTY 3 4 4 47 43 33 310¾ (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 28% 2.50 0.80 S
2B  BLOOD MOON 5 2 2 25 32 45 418½ (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00 10.20  
MISTER LARRY 2 5 1 15 11 59 535½ (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 118 15.00 9.00  
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE               (lecesse michael)COA J 122 2.00    
SCR  JACOBA               (pettine m)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  KUMAR               (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
 
FL-2   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
:251 :501 1:16 1:441   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY KWIK 2 4 1 11 1 1½ 1½ (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 4.00 1.30  
CABLE READY 4 5 43 3 3 3½ 2½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 1.80 49% 1.00 1.30 P
HOW U DOIN 3 1 2 21 2 2½ 3(progno s)COA J 120 5.00 24% 3.20 6.80 S
BOLD FORCE 1 2 32 43 4 4413½ (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 2.50 4.70  
RORY'S ORCHARD 6 3 67 69 615 5517¾ (torelli stacy)ROHENA JR 120 8.00 24.25  
DERBY CHILD 5 6 5 58 5 610½ 620¾ (goodwin gabrie)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 38.75  
 
FL-3   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:25 :493 1:143 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURE FORTUNE 4 5 11 1½ 1 111 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00 24% 3.10 0.50 W
CAPITAL GAL 2 3 3 2½ 2 221 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 3.20  
ICE LOVE 5 4 6 611 610½ 43(ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00 7% 12.50 11.30 S
CROSS ISLAND 3 2 4 42 4 34(ferraro anthon)COA J 122 6.00 13.00  
STAY HOME MAMA 6 1 5 58 5 65(miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90 10.10  
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST 1 6 21 31 3 5616¼ (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 119 8.00 10.50  
 
FL-4   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
:261 :514 1:171 1:444   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL BIZZ 1 2 5 4 32 312 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 124 3.50 5.00  
SHE'S GOT GAME 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 122 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 122 6.00 3.45  
MIND OF GOLD 2 4 21 2½ 2nk 233 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.80 57% 0.70 1.05 S
ALICIA'S WAY 4 5 4 56 5 543 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 2.50 12% 7.60 2.15  
FUNNY PURSUIT 5 3 33 3 4 43 512 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00 25.50  
SCR  TRUE DESTINY               (progno s)COA J 119 5.00    
 
FL-5   10/30/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
:25 :502 1:16 1:422   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DANCIN 5 7 7 79 1 14 1(loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 4.00 4.30  
MAKE IT IN NY 1 1 6 54 43 45 2(englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.25 P
TRISAETUM 3 6 5 4 32 336 (acquilano)NAVARRO J 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.65 S
OLIVER WITHA TWIST 6 3 2½ 2 53 55 415¼ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00 15.10  
1A  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY 4 4 1½ 1 2 24 519½ (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00 6.90  
TAKE THE EDGE 2 2 3 6 76 710½ 619¾ (babcock edward)BERRIOS C 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
NAVY PIER 7 5 4 3 64 69 730 (chamberlin tin)HARKIE K 122 8.00 30.75  
SCR  MACHO REAL               (dixon lind)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
FL-6   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:224 :462 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEMPTION ROAD 4 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1nk (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.80 73% 0.40 1.95 W
UNION NAVY 2 3 5 53   2nk 2nk (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 15.90 P
2B  PENTANGELI 6 1 4 42   43(barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 1.80 1.95  
1A  MAX FOSTER 3 5 3 32   344 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 1.40  
BIG ELM 1 6 6 64   65(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50 1.90  
LICENSE TO CHILL 5 4 2nk 2½   5611¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
SCR  SUPPORT THE CAT               (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 10.00    
SCR  TATER AND TOT               (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 121 2.50    
 
FL-7   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:224 :464 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMAY 3 3 7 7   33 1¼ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 3.50 14% 6.00 5.10 W
STONE GUITAR 2 2 3 2   22¼ (bireta donna)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 9.30 P
PREPARE FOR GLORY 7 6 54 5   75 3¼ (lecesse michael)COA J 122 8.00 5% 18.40 10.30 S
BLUES CITY 6 8 8 8   84(dominguez carl)BERRIOS C 122 20.00 64.00  
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO 1 5 1nk 1   15(murphy timothy)HARKIE K 124 20.00 21.60  
NIGHT ESCORT 4 4 42 4   563 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 27.00  
10  DIGITAL FUTURE 8 7 66 66   67(handal ray)DAVIS A 122 2.50 47% 1.10 0.40  
LETTERCARRIERHENRY 5 1 2nk 3   4813¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 11.60  
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP               (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TUCKABUCKAWAY               (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 122 12.00    
 
FL-8   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
:223 :46 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN PIETRE 7 3 3 2   2½ 13 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 45% 1.20 0.85 W
RUN CASPER RUN 6 7 4 3   32 23 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.50 15.50  
COUSIN GREG 4 6 7 47   43 3(acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.10 8.30 S
CODYS EXPRESS 1 4 1 1   1½ 45 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 16.90  
UNCLE MILTIE 5 1 810¾ 8   757 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 8.00 14.20  
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 9 8 6 58   53 6(barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
R BOY CHEEKUM 8 2 5 6   67(thompson g)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 50.75  
DR. CERFOLIO 3 5 2 7   8816½ (acquilano james)COA J 124 10.00 53.00  
MAJOR SPIN 2 9 914¾ 917½   912¾ 920 (fung chris)DAVIS A 122 5.00 20% 3.90 3.55  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.