Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-2   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-3   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-4   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-5   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-7   Win (10/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-8   Win (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZANDO Oct11 Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
1A  REINER Oct11 Jul04 Jun20 Apr02 Mar18 (ferraro m )DAVIS A 122 3.00    
2B  BLOOD MOON Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul05 Jun11 (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
SCR  KUMAR Sep18 Aug29 Aug17 Aug02 Jun26 (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
MISTER LARRY Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 118 15.00    
FIRST DEPUTY Oct11 Aug30 Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Sep26 Oct13 Aug31 Aug07 Jun16 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 2.00    
SCR  JACOBA Oct11 Sep18 Sep04 Aug16 Aug02 (pettine m)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
 
FL-2   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD FORCE Oct09 Sep27 Aug11 Jun24   (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 2.50    
STRAWBERRY KWIK Sep20 Sep11 Aug12     (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 4.00    
HOW U DOIN Oct18         (progno s)COA J 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
CABLE READY Oct09 Sep25       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
DERBY CHILD Sep27         (goodwin gabrie)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RORY'S ORCHARD Oct09 Sep20       (torelli stacy)ROHENA JR 120 8.00    
 
FL-3   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 119 8.00    
CAPITAL GAL Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
CROSS ISLAND Sep19 Aug28 Jul04 Jun20 Apr28 (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 6.00    
ALLURE FORTUNE Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
ICE LOVE Oct03 Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
STAY HOME MAMA Oct04 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
FL-4   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE DESTINY Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jun28 (progno s)COA J 119 5.00    
ALL BIZZ Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
MIND OF GOLD Oct18 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.80 57% 0.70    
SHE'S GOT GAME Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 122 6.00    
ALICIA'S WAY Oct04 Sep19 Aug21 Aug09 Jan15 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 2.50 12% 7.60    
FUNNY PURSUIT Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
FL-5   10/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE THE EDGE Oct10 Sep13 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (babcock edward)BERRIOS C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
1A  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Oct17 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Jul31 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
MAKE IT IN NY Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Jul04 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
TRISAETUM Oct10 Sep13 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 (acquilano)NAVARRO J 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MACHO REAL Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
MO DANCIN Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
OLIVER WITHA TWIST Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00    
NAVY PIER Oct10 Sep19 Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 (chamberlin tin)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
 
FL-6   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAX FOSTER Oct02 Jan06 Dec11 Oct27 Sep29 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  TATER AND TOT Jan07 Dec17 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04 (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 121 2.50    
REDEMPTION ROAD Sep25 Jun19 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.80 73% 0.40    
2B  PENTANGELI Oct02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 1.80    
BIG ELM Oct16 May21 Mar17 Jan28   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50    
UNION NAVY Oct16 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LICENSE TO CHILL         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPPORT THE CAT Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 10.00    
 
FL-7   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TUCKABUCKAWAY Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Jul11 Jul03 (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 122 12.00    
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Oct03 Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 (murphy timothy)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
STONE GUITAR Oct17 Oct03 Aug08 May02 Nov14 (bireta donna)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SAMAY (PER) Oct17 Oct09 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
NIGHT ESCORT Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Jul11 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
LETTERCARRIERHENRY Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
BLUES CITY Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 (dominguez carl)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
PREPARE FOR GLORY Oct09 Sep20 Aug21 Aug07 Jul12 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 8.00 5% 18.40    
10  DIGITAL FUTURE Aug30 Jul22 May19 Apr20 Jan27 (handal ray)DAVIS A 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
FL-8   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODYS EXPRESS Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
MAJOR SPIN Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jun28 Jun14 (fung christoph)HARKIE K 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
DR. CERFOLIO Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 (acquilano james)COA J 124 10.00    
COUSIN GREG Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
UNCLE MILTIE Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 8.00    
RUN CASPER RUN Aug08 Jul26 Jun20 May24 Nov21 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.50    
BUSTIN PIETRE Jul18 Jun27 May24 May08 Mar24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
R BOY CHEEKUM Jun14 Jun05 May17 May07 Apr28 (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
KONG LOVES A FIGHT Oct11 Sep18 Aug14 Jul19 Jun12 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.