Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/4/5)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/5)-(3/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(10/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(10/5/9/4)-(7/2/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (10/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/4)-(10/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/4)-(10/5/9/4)-(10/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/9/4)-(7/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZANDO Oct11 Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
1A  REINER Oct11 Jul04 Jun20 Apr02 Mar18 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 3.00    
2B  BLOOD MOON Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul05 Jun11 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
SCR  KUMAR Sep18 Aug29 Aug17 Aug02 Jun26 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
3  MISTER LARRY Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 118 15.00    
4  FIRST DEPUTY Oct11 Aug30 Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Sep26 Oct13 Aug31 Aug07 Jun16 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 2.00    
SCR  JACOBA Oct11 Sep18 Sep04 Aug16 Aug02 (pettine m)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
 
FL-2   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD FORCE Oct09 Sep27 Aug11 Jun24   (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SCATTERED RAIN by SCAT DADDY)
2  STRAWBERRY KWIK Sep20 Sep11 Aug12     (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 4.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of BUTCH'S MANGO by GIANT GIZMO)
3  HOW U DOIN Oct18         (progno michael)COA J 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AKRIS QUEEN by ARCH)
4  CABLE READY Oct09 Sep25       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
5  DERBY CHILD Sep27         (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
6  RORY'S ORCHARD Oct09 Sep20       (torelli stacy)ROHENA JR 120 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HOLIDAY WISHES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
FL-3   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 119 8.00    
2  CAPITAL GAL Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
3  CROSS ISLAND Sep19 Aug28 Jul04 Jun20 Apr28 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
4  ALLURE FORTUNE Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  ICE LOVE Oct03 Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
6  STAY HOME MAMA Oct04 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
FL-4   10/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE DESTINY Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jun28 (progno michael)COA J 119 5.00    
2  ALL BIZZ Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
3  MIND OF GOLD Oct18 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.80 57% 0.70    
4  SHE'S GOT GAME Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 122 6.00    
5  ALICIA'S WAY Oct04 Sep19 Aug21 Aug09 Jan15 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 2.50 12% 7.60    
6  FUNNY PURSUIT Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
FL-5   10/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE THE EDGE Oct10 Sep13 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
1A  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Oct17 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Jul31 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00    
2  MAKE IT IN NY Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Jul04 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  TRISAETUM Oct10 Sep13 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MACHO REAL Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
5  MO DANCIN Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
6  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00    
7  NAVY PIER Oct10 Sep19 Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 (chamberlin t)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
 
FL-6   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAX FOSTER Oct02 Jan06 Dec11 Oct27 Sep29 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of A P ZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  TATER AND TOT Jan07 Dec17 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04 (englehart je)HARKIE K 121 2.50    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of CHIC STREET by STREET SENSE)
2  REDEMPTION ROAD Sep25 Jun19 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.80 73% 0.40    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of BEAUTIFUL RISK by SAARLAND)
2B  PENTANGELI Oct02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 1.80    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
3  BIG ELM Oct16 May21 Mar17 Jan28   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
4  UNION NAVY Oct16 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of NAVY NURSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
5  LICENSE TO CHILL         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of CONNIE THE QUEEN by MAZEL TRICK)
SCR  SUPPORT THE CAT Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 10.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
 
FL-7   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TUCKABUCKAWAY Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Jul11 Jul03 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 12.00    
3  HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Oct03 Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
4  STONE GUITAR Oct17 Oct03 Aug08 May02 Nov14 (bireta don)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAMAY (PER) Oct17 Oct09 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  NIGHT ESCORT Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Jul11 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
7  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
8  BLUES CITY Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 (dominguez ca)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
9  PREPARE FOR GLORY Oct09 Sep20 Aug21 Aug07 Jul12 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00 5% 18.40    
10  DIGITAL FUTURE Aug30 Jul22 May19 Apr20 Jan27 (handal r)DAVIS A 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
FL-8   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODYS EXPRESS Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
2  MAJOR SPIN Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jun28 Jun14 (fung christo)HARKIE K 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
3  DR. CERFOLIO Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 10.00    
4  COUSIN GREG Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
5  UNCLE MILTIE Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 8.00    
6  RUN CASPER RUN Aug08 Jul26 Jun20 May24 Nov21 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.50    
7  BUSTIN PIETRE Jul18 Jun27 May24 May08 Mar24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
8  R BOY CHEEKUM Jun14 Jun05 May17 May07 Apr28 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
9  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Oct11 Sep18 Aug14 Jul19 Jun12 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.