Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-4   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.30 $1.30 16%
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-2 $26.20 $2.20 9%
FL-7   WIN (5/4/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (5/4/10/8)-(5/4/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-10 $44.60 $20.60 86%
FL-8   DD (5/4/10/8)-(5/2/9/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-3 $36.60 $4.60 14%
FL-9   EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $17.80 $5.80 48%
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTER KITE 1 4 21½ 22   1nk 11¼ (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 8.00 6.00  
5  BUSTING CREDIT 4 1 11½ 12   2nk 21¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.65 P
6  CAPTAINOFMYHEART 5 5 43 32   31 32 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
3  SORPRESO 3 3 54 55½   43 44 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.00 2.80  
2  MATT DOYLE 2 6 66 66½   65½ 55¾ (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 2.50 43% 1.30 2.10  
7  NOAH'S DESTINY 6 2 32 45   55 66¾ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 23.20  
SCR  HANGOUT               (mastin kathleen)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
 
FL-2   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:151 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS 2 1 1nk 11 11 14 13¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 1.40 74% 0.30 0.75 W
1  PALS ALLY 1 4 41¼ 21 21 24 23¾ (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 12.00 43.25  
5  FREE SHOT 5 3 62¼ 54½ 36½ 36½ 35¾ (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 3.50 ★ 1.30 S
3  IOVA 3 2 2nk 31 47 411½ 413 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 122 5.00 26.25  
6  RENNINAS ROSE 6 7 73¾ 65½ 610 511½ 515 (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 10.00 14.60  
4  ROYAL JUBILEE 4 8 84¾ 76½ 711 614½ 616½ (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 119 6.00 ★ 16.40  
7  LADY MISTRESS 7 5 3.2 41½ 57 715 719¼ (cotrone)NAVARRO J 122 20.00 87.25  
8  MIDMON 8 6 52¼ 86¾ 812 816 820¼ (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
 
FL-3   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TAKE CHARGECHRISTY 3 3 42 43   31½ 1hd (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00 10.90  
2  TRUE EMPRESS 2 5 57 54   41½ 2hd (ferraro michae)COA J 124 1.60 32% 2.10 1.05 P
4  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 4 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 1.40 35% 1.80 2.10 S
1  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 42¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 4.50 2.25  
5  STEAL MY HEART 5 2 31½ 31   56½ 510¼ (falk jacquelin)ALPANDER B 120 12.00 31.25  
SCR  QUEENS DANCER               (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 4.50    
 
FL-4   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUGGLER 6 4 34 34   34 1nk (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 7% 14.10 3.65 W
2  HUTCH 2 2 55½ 45   24 2nk (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.25 P
1  ESCAPE MISSION 1 8 710½ 67   48 31½ (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 5.00 13.30  
5  RILEY BEE 5 6 810½ 77¼   59 43¾ (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 20.00 44.25  
3  LIEUTENANT SAM 3 1 11 13   14 54¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 2.00 59% 0.70 1.25  
8  SMART STORM 8 5 45 57   711¼ 611 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 20.00 63.50  
4  IRON HORIZON 4 3 21 23   69¼ 715½ (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50 8.40  
7  BUMBLE MONSTER 7 7 66½ 87¼   813¼ 817 (grusmark karl)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 7% 14.20 18.30  
 
FL-5   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:14 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 4 5 611¼ 57¼ 56¼ 32 11¼ (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 118 4.00 4.10  
2  CENTRAL LOVE 1 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 21¼ (oyola david)DAVILA A 119 6.00 16% 5.20 4.30 P
4  GINNSU WARRIOR 3 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 32¾ (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 2.00 36% 1.80 0.85 S
3  RAW COURAGE 2 6 34 36 34 42½ 43¾ (ashley j)DAVIS A 124 12.00 6.50  
6  SEATIGER 5 3 44¼ 46¼ 44¼ 54½ 56 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 6.00 21% 3.70 6.50  
7  STUD PUPPY 6 4 59¼ 67¾ 612¼ 612½ 616¼ (iorio jr)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00 24.50  
SCR  EMPIRE RIDE               (englehart )DE EMANUEL 119 2.50    
 
FL-6   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TUNNEL VISION 8 6 59 55   11 14 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 1.00 57% 0.70 0.55 W
6  THUNDERING MARCH 6 3 69 67   42½ 24 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 10.00 15.60  
7  M. C. DOUBLE R 7 1 79¼ 77½   53½ 35½ (huertas )DAVIS A 121 20.00 44.50  
4  B C GLORY DAYS 4 4 2½ 1½   21 48¼ (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 4.00 ★ 4.80 DH
5  THIRTY OYSTERS 5 2 44 33½   66½ 48¼ (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 12.00 5% 19.00 8.30 DH
1  GONNA BE DANCING 1 7 1½ 2½   31 68¼ (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 5.00 16% 5.20 6.50  
3  ONE FOR MY BROTHER 3 5 33½ 44   77½ 712½ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 13.50  
2  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE 2 8 813¼ 815½   815½ 819¼ (cook w)FRET STEVEN 121 20.00 34.75  
 
FL-7   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUBYS MISSION 3 8 56¼ 43   11 15 (shaffer richa)DAVILA A 121 3.50 47% 1.10 5.20 W
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of REDDY FOR RUBYS by PRECISE END)
10  GLORY BOUND CLARA 8 5 79¼ 76¼   75 25 (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 5.00 5% 17.80 3.60 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
1  BABI DREAMS 4 6 66¼ 64¼   43½ 35 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00 38.50  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
7  NORTHUMBERLAND 6 7 811¼ 810¼   64 45¼ (monserrate maris)ROHENA M 121 15.00 33.75  
  (by REDESDALE out of NEW DOO by BORREGO)
2  WITT LASTING SPEED 1 4 11 1nk   21 58½ (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 5.00 2.80  
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
6  SCHERZER 5 2 41¼ 32   54 610¼ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 16.50  
  (by FROST GIANT out of WUNDAHOWIGOTHERE by BIG BROWN)
4  CHIARA (URU) 2 3 21 2nk   31½ 710¾ (bond harold )HARKIE K 124 3.00 20% 3.90 1.35  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
8  VIVID EXPOSURE 7 1 31 53¼   88 816¼ (caramori eduardo)PEREZ E 121 10.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  NOBLE LADY               (grabowski joh)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WILDCAT KATE by KANTHAROS)
SCR  OUR FIRST LADY               (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  SASSY TALLAHASSEE               (sells rachel)COA J 124 20.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
FL-8   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:224 :463 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BETTY'S SMILE 3 4 31 32   21½ 1¾ (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 5% 17.80 2.40 W
9  SABREEN 9 9 52¼ 45   53½ 2¾ (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 4.00 8% 12.30 2.35 P
5  THROWING STONES 5 1 2nk 1nk   11½ 32½ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 53% 0.90 2.20 S
4  CAT GLASSES KATHY 4 5 85¼ 78¾   65½ 43½ (loaiza ilmar)DAVILA A 124 8.00 37.50  
6  LA LIMA 6 3 42 55½   76½ 54 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 8.00 10.90  
7  CENTRAL CAPITAL 7 8 910¼ 89¼   43 64 (rivera david)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 15.00 44.00  
2  HEARTBUSTINGIRL 2 2 1nk 2nk   32 76¼ (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 6.00 10% 9.30 7.80  
8  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING 8 6 74¼ 99¼   99½ 87¾ (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 18.80  
1  KAUFY FUTURES 1 7 62¼ 65¾   89½ 910¾ (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 42.00  
SCR  MISS PAB               (gutierrez luis)COA J 124 10.00    
 
FL-9   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWICE SMITTEN 1 5 31 3.2   21 11¼ (barrow paul)DAVILA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20 1.35 W
5  TREATHERLIKESTAR 5 3 21 2nk   11 21¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 40% 1.50 2.85 P
7  BASTET 6 6 63¾ 44¼   45 35½ (dixon linda )HARKIE K 124 8.00 14.60  
8  SMART BROAD 7 1 53½ 67¼   56½ 45½ (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 7% 13.80 2.85  
3  INVESTMENT GRADE 3 2 11 1nk   33 55¾ (morales)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 7.90  
4  STABILIZE 4 7 74¼ 78¼   78½ 68 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 21.10  
2  KATERI EMPIRE 2 4 42 54¼   66½ 710½ (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 6.00 14.10  
SCR  CHRISTMAS DINNER               (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  SWEET INVASION               (acquilano jame)COA J 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.