Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/5/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(4/2)-(3/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/6/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(4/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(4/6/2)-(8/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/4/5)-(8/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(5/4/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/4/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/10/8)-(5/4/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/10/8)-(5/4/10/8)-(5/4/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/10/8)-(5/2/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/10/8)-(5/2/9/3)-(5/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3)-(5/2/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/9/3)-(5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8)-(5/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTER KITE Oct11 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun28 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 8.00    
2  MATT DOYLE Sep27 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  SORPRESO Oct11 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.00    
SCR  HANGOUT Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 (mastin kathleen)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
5  BUSTING CREDIT Oct02 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Oct11 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul10 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOAH'S DESTINY Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jun12 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
 
FL-2   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALS ALLY Oct11 Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 Aug21 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 12.00    
2  KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS Oct11 Sep27 Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 1.40 74% 0.30    
3  IOVA Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 122 5.00    
4  ROYAL JUBILEE Oct11 Sep27 Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 119 6.00 ★    
5  FREE SHOT Sep19 Aug23 Jul24 Jul11 Mar25 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 3.50 ★    
6  RENNINAS ROSE Oct11 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul18 (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
7  LADY MISTRESS Oct16 Oct02 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 (cotrone)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
8  MIDMON Oct02 Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 Jul03 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 Jun15 May22 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 4.50    
SCR  QUEENS DANCER Oct03 Sep19 Aug31 Jul29 Jul12 (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 4.50    
2  TRUE EMPRESS Oct03 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
3  TAKE CHARGECHRISTY Sep13 Jun26 May30 Nov02 Aug01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
4  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Oct02 Aug14 Jul12 Jun14 Nov08 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 1.40 35% 1.80    
5  STEAL MY HEART Feb25 Jan28 Dec30 Dec15 Nov06 (falk jacquelin)ALPANDER B 120 12.00    
 
FL-4   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPE MISSION Sep27 Aug28 Aug09 Jul10 Jun12 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 5.00    
2  HUTCH Oct10 Sep18 Aug22 Aug09 Jul10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIEUTENANT SAM Aug28 Jul10 Jun21 May02 Apr24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  IRON HORIZON Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50    
5  RILEY BEE Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 20.00    
6  JUGGLER Aug02 Jun25 May29 May05 Apr22 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 7% 14.10    
7  BUMBLE MONSTER Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 (grusmark karl)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 7% 14.20    
8  SMART STORM Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul04 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
 
FL-5   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMPIRE RIDE Oct09 Sep12 Jul21 Jun24 May21 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 119 2.50    
2  CENTRAL LOVE Oct09 Sep25 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 (oyola david)DAVILA A 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  RAW COURAGE Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 May26 May20 (ashley j)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
4  GINNSU WARRIOR Oct09 Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Jul19 Jun28 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 118 4.00    
6  SEATIGER Sep25 Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 Jun20 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  STUD PUPPY Sep19 Jul08 Jun10 Apr30 Apr14 (iorio jr)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00    
 
FL-6   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONNA BE DANCING Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Sep26 Sep13 Jul19 Jun28 Nov16 (cook w)FRET STEVEN 121 20.00    
3  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
4  B C GLORY DAYS Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Aug22 Aug14 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 4.00 ★    
5  THIRTY OYSTERS Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  THUNDERING MARCH Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 10.00    
7  M. C. DOUBLE R Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 20.00    
8  TUNNEL VISION Sep27 Aug21 Jul24 Jul01 Jun04 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 1.00 57% 0.70    
 
FL-7   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABI DREAMS Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul17 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (sells rachel)COA J 124 20.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  WITT LASTING SPEED Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
SCR  NOBLE LADY Apr27 Feb15       (grabowski joh)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WILDCAT KATE by KANTHAROS)
4  CHIARA (URU) Jan05 Nov12 Sep03 Jul20 Jun17 (bond harold )HARKIE K 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
5  RUBYS MISSION Oct09 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (shaffer richa)DAVILA A 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of REDDY FOR RUBYS by PRECISE END)
6  SCHERZER Oct06 Sep03 May12     (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of WUNDAHOWIGOTHERE by BIG BROWN)
7  NORTHUMBERLAND Sep27         (monserrate maris)ROHENA M 121 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of NEW DOO by BORREGO)
8  VIVID EXPOSURE Sep28 Sep02 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 (caramori eduardo)PEREZ E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  OUR FIRST LADY Sep27 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
10  GLORY BOUND CLARA Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08   (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 5.00 5% 17.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
FL-8   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAUFY FUTURES Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul03 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 10.00    
SCR  MISS PAB Oct10 Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 (gutierrez luis)COA J 124 10.00    
2  HEARTBUSTINGIRL Jul10 Jun26 Nov14 Oct04 Aug17 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  BETTY'S SMILE Oct09 May30 May09 Mar05 Feb18 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 5% 17.80    
4  CAT GLASSES KATHY Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 (loaiza ilmar)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
5  THROWING STONES Sep26 Aug29 Jul31 Oct19 Sep14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  LA LIMA Oct10 Sep13 Oct09 Sep27 Sep11 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
7  CENTRAL CAPITAL Oct10 Sep26 Sep18 Jul19 Jul05 (rivera david)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 15.00    
8  SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Dec08 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 Oct05 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
9  SABREEN Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Jul24 Jul11 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 4.00 8% 12.30    
 
FL-9   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWICE SMITTEN Oct10 Sep26 Jun14 May18 Apr13 (barrow paul)DAVILA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  KATERI EMPIRE Oct10 Sep26 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
3  INVESTMENT GRADE Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 5.00    
4  STABILIZE Sep12 Aug23 Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
5  TREATHERLIKESTAR Oct10 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SWEET INVASION Oct09 Sep26 Sep06 Aug14 Jul31 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 6.00    
7  BASTET Oct02 Sep05 Aug02 Jul11 May28 (dixon linda )HARKIE K 124 8.00    
8  SMART BROAD Oct10 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  CHRISTMAS DINNER Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.