The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.20 -6.00
FL-2   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
FL-3   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $11.60 -6.00
FL-4   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
FL-5   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
FL-6   Win (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
FL-7   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.60 -4.00
FL-8   Win (2/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.60 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:233 :47 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELIC MISSION 5 1 1 1   16 1(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50 3.60  
NORTH COAST 3 2 3 2   36 2(ferraro anthon)COA J 122 2.00 60% 0.70 0.35 P
UNCLE VIC 1 5 4 4   48 3(dean vict)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 11% 8.50 10.80 S
STORMY NEW YORK 4 3 2 3   26 48 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00 54.25  
THEJIGISUP 6 4 65 6   511 5(breed jr)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 6.30  
LEGENDARY BID 2 6 5 5   612 614½ (sabine michael)HARKIE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN               (huertas ni)DAVIS A 119 6.00    
 
FL-2   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
:232 :474 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED'S REIGN 1 5 42 3   211 (breed jr)DAVILA A 124 1.60 38% 1.60 1.40 W
EMPRESS PALPATINE 5 2 1 1   121 (henry n)VENTURA JOSE 124 8.00 17.80  
MIDNIGHT EMPRESS 3 4 53 54   45 33 (buckley j)NAVARRO J 121 4.50 5% 17.30 3.05 S
TINA BURNER 2 3 2 2   34(sells rach)DAVIS A 124 6.00 8.70  
SWEET TOOTH SUE 6 1 32 44   58 59 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 12.10  
KITTY TIN TIN 4 6 6 68   616 612½ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 29% 2.40 2.00  
 
FL-3   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:224 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACONY ROAD 6 1 5 5   51(murphy p)ALVARADO R 121 4.00 4.80  
HOT ROD RUMBLE 1 3 1½ 11   14 2(jacobson dav)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 21% 3.80 1.50 P
MO TRUMP 5 2 3 3   24 3(ferraro m )DAVIS A 121 2.50 24% 3.20 6.20 S
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 3 6 4 4   34 4(d'alessandro ra)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00 7.70  
PAY ZONE 2 4 2½ 21   45(kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K 121 2.00 24% 3.10 1.85  
LUCKY MUCHO MAN 4 5 6 612½   614¾ 612¾ (vasquez ramon)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 16.70  
 
FL-4   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
:231 :464 :60     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASS APPEAL 6 1 21 1nk   1nk 1¼ (murphy timothy)HARKIE K 124 3.50 27% 2.80 1.10 W
PROFESSOR DAVE 2 2 11 2nk   2nk 2¼ (lecesse michael)COA J 124 3.00 18% 4.70 3.65 P
PAPA TOM B 1 5 33 35   35 32 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.50 31% 2.20 2.10 S
BUSTIN THE RULES 4 3 615 614¼   610½ 4(gutierrez a)VENTURA JOSE 124 6.00 15.20  
BIG BAD BUD 5 6 55 5   59 5(maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 25.50  
DEAN VERDILE 3 4 43 4   47 63 (marino jos)DAVIS A 124 6.00 7.00  
 
FL-5   10/31/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
:242 :491 1:142 1:404   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ LUCKY 6 2 13 1 14 115 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 2.50 16% 5.10 1.50 W
PREDICTED 2 1 23 2 24 225 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 55% 0.80 2.20 P
AMERICAN HALITE 7 6 7 7 4 33(bartlett w)DAVIS A 121 4.00 3.80  
PARTY NEWS 4 7 56 6 710½ 512½ 410¾ (maver eduardo)ALVARADO R 124 5.00 8.60  
MSHINDI 3 3 44 44 36 4512½ (dixon k)HARKIE K 121 12.00 12.20  
OLD POINT 5 5 6 55 5 614½ 616¼ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 6.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
CONNECT THE BROCKS 1 4 33 3 6 716½ 717½ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00 12.10  
 
FL-6   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:253 :50 1:15 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNO 6 2 1nk 1nk 1 112 114¼ (ferraro michael)COA J 122 2.50 31% 2.30 0.20 W
THIS CAT CAN FLY 1 5 6 512 413½ 416½ 214¼ (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 41% 1.40 6.10 P
TRIVISTA 2 4 5 612¼ 513½ 517½ 317 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 6.00 18.00  
BENCH WALK 4 6 4 35 3 315 417 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00 14.80  
THAT'S MY BUSINESS 5 3 2nk 2nk 2 212 518½ (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00 6% 16.00 7.80  
SYNONYM B C 3 1 3 4 614½ 623½ 624¼ (progno s)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 46.75  
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER               (breed jr)DAVILA A 122 4.00    
SCR  NO LIME               (lopez arcadio)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
:224 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOY IS SHE A LADY 5 4 5 4   32 1½ (dixon k)DAVILA R 121 5.00 0.80  
GEORGIE'S LADIES 1 5 3 22   2nk 2½ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 72% 0.40 1.65  
1A  WARTAPPED 2 3 12 12   1nk 3¾ (clarke dylan)COA J 119 2.50 1.65 S
MISTY GALE 6 1 4 5   45 4(falk jacquelin)HARKIE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
TASTY WAVE 7 2 22 3   55(ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00 14.30  
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 4 6 66 6   668 (sells rachel)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 5.20  
DARE TO BE GREAT 3 7 710 715¾   721¾ 721¾ (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 118 8.00 34.25  
SCR  AMORE FIRE               (acquilano james)DAVILA A 122 3.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE               (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
FL-8   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
:23 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INOUAINTALKINTOME 7 1 22 4   21 1¼ (huertas n)NAVARRO J 118 3.50 2.80  
ISLE STORM 9 2 12 1   11 2¼ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 28% 2.60 3.05 P
REMOANE 2 6 4 3   32 3(lopez arca)DAVIS A 122 3.00 29% 2.50 5.10 S
THE NEW MIAMI 4 7 5 5   54 4(vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 122 8.00 48.50  
CLIFDEN PUNCH 3 4 8 69   65 5(ashley julius)HARKIE K 118 20.00 8% 11.80 10.70  
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 6 8 9 913½   96(loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00 67.75  
LADY QUINN 5 5 32 2   44 7(ferraro anthon)COA J 121 4.00 12% 7.20 2.05  
IN TRAFFIC 1 9 6 7   79 812¼ (rivera david )CAMILO D 118 6.00 10.10  
LA CAFETERA 8 3 7 810½   8913¼ (loaiza ilmar)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 65.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.