The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
PEN-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.00 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (7/11/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
PEN-4   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
PEN-5   Win (10/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-6   Win (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-7   Win (7/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASIN' WHISKEY 4 1 1½ 1½   11 1¾ (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 2.50 25% 3.00 3.20 W
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 1 7 6 5   42 2¾ (stowers miche)INIRIO J 121 6.00 28.10  
CLEVER TIGER 3 2 4 65   631 (lawrence le)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 3.30  
BRIGHT PATH 2 4 7 43   54(mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 12% 7.10 3.90  
BIG SMILE 6 5 2½ 2½   21 5(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 2.30  
WORK FROM HOME 5 6 52 3½   31 65 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 12.50  
PLUOT 7 3 3 77   7714 (mcclellan e)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 24% 3.20 6.30  
SCR  FINAL OPPORTUNITY               (lawrence lee)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
 
PEN-2   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMOLOGICAL 2 3 31 41   1nk 1(ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 1.50  
SCOREBOARD LILY 6 5 5 54   42(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 3.70  
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 3 4 4 3½   2nk 3(crook-demasi kat)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 33% 2.10 3.00 S
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 4 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 46 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 5 6 6 65   65(salvaggio mark )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 22.10  
THUNDER BOSS 1 2 1nk 2nk   53 6(beattie cody)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 42% 1.40 3.50  
SCR  HAPPYKIYAY               (bryant donald)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
SCR  KEYSTONE WARRIOR               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
PEN-3   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONGTAIL 6 2 1nk 1   13 1(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 38% 1.70 3.70 W
COAST TO COAST 1 3 42 2   23 2(sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50 P
10  GREAT WORKOUT 8 5 5 58   48 37 (brion keri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 5.40 S
11  HE'S A SHOOTER 9 4 3½ 3   36 48 (sullivan elliot)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 36% 1.80 0.60  
MANAHAWKIN 7 9 810½ 812   710 5(graci a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 20.80  
BOYS OF QUEENS 2 6 67 69   6610¼ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 119 12.00 42.10  
BAVARIA 4 1 2nk 45   5711¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 10.00 22.60  
PECOS BILL 5 8 912½ 914   914 813 (bartoni p)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 74.20  
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 3 7 7 710½   813 913¼ (pessanha ne)VARGAS L 124 10.00 28.50  
SCR  SAND DUNE               (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 3.50    
SCR  SCREEN STAR               (arnold pamela)CORA D 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STASSI 2 3 3 2nk   1nk 1(arnold pamela)CORA D 119 2.50 41% 1.50 2.90 W
COULD BE A COUGAR 4 1 11 1nk   2nk 2(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
CHAPA 7 4 4 3   32 3(arnold pame)VARGAS L 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70 S
ARROGANTE 5 7 6 5   54 4(moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 10.00 11.90  
HIDDEN CACHE 3 2 21 44   45(lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 8.70  
FREYDIS 1 6 7 6   66(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 3.50 6.30  
MORGANS COVE 6 5 54 7   77(geist w)INIRIO J 119 10.00 13.00  
 
PEN-5   11/29/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:132 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL COMEDIAN 5 2 11 1½ 13 13 12 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 7% 13.30 2.10 W
10  HANALEI'S HOUDINI 7 1 5 52 3 23 22 (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 65% 0.50 1.20 P
ONCE A GIANT 3 5 6 6 5 43(davis jr)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 9.70  
CAERUS 6 3 21 2½ 23 34(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 6.10  
BUCK WILD 1 7 7 7 610½ 55(jacavone john )VILLEGAS JERRY 119 15.00 37.60  
SANTO 4 6 4 3 4 610 615 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
JACKIE A 2 4 3 42 711½ 715 721¾ (walters henry)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 8.20  
SCR  AHSAD               (kirby t)OCASIO M 120 8.00    
SCR  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK               (mosco robe)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
SCR  I AM THAT I AM               (williams abdu)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00    
SCR  NICK PAPAGIORGIO               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
 
PEN-6   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:14 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTANKEROUS CAT 6 3 1 12 1 11(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 31% 2.20 2.10 W
MONEY MAKING KAZ 2 5 32 22 2 22(synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 13% 6.50 1.50 P
BUSHWICK BRUISER 3 6 67 45 3 33(deiter l)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 3.00 4.00  
LUDO 5 2 45 5 4 44(albright r)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 25% 3.00 7.80  
DISCREETLY THRIFTY 1 4 5 6 5 558 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 14.80  
GREATEST WARRIOR 4 1 2 34 6 617½ 627½ (albright geor)INIRIO J 123 6.00 7.40  
SCR  RILEY BEE               (lopez arca)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
SCR  SHE SPEAKS WELL               (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:16 1:282   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE A SPLASH 6 2 23 22 1 17 110 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 40% 1.50 4.90 W
DIXIE MUSIC 3 6 45 4 2 27 210 (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 8.00 11.60  
DUSTED 2 7 6 66 4 310 314 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 9.90  
WILD N' SASSY 5 4 7 5 5 512 415½ (cooper stev)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 33.70  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 8 5 35 3 33 411½ 518¾ (barrow paul)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 14% 6.20 0.60  
MISS MIA LIA 7 1 5 77 6 615½ 621 (miller m)SMITH DANIEL 118 20.00 85.00  
HERE WE GO AGAIN 4 3 13 12 710½ 730½ 738¼ (horn elizabeth)ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.50 22% 3.60 3.70  
DANCEWITHTHEBAND 1 8 820¾ 827 834½ 845½ 849 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 67.20  
SCR  JUMP A FOX               (meister willi)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.