Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
PEN-3   WIN (7/11/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (7/11/2)-(7/11/2/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-2 $87.40 $69.40 386%
    TRI (7/11/2)-(7/11/2/10)-(7/11/2/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00  7-2-10 $150.40 $132.40 736%
    SFT (7/11/2)-(7/11/2/10)-(7/11/2/10)-(7/11/2/10) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-2-10-11 $27.97 $26.17 1454%
PEN-4   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $50.80 $38.80 323%
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4-7 $55.80 $49.80 830%
    DD (7/11/2)-(2/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-2 $57.20 $39.20 218%
PEN-5   EXA (10/8/7)-(10/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-10 $15.60 $3.60 30%
    DD (2/7/4)-(10/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-8 $44.20 $26.20 146%
    PK3 (7/11/2)-(2/7/4)-(10/8/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50  7-2-8 $55.20 $41.70 309%
PEN-6   EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-2 $15.00 $3.00 25%
    DD (10/8/7)-(8/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-8 $21.80 $3.80 21%
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(10/8/7)-(8/7/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-8-8 $30.05 $16.55 123%
PEN-7   WIN (7/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    DD (8/7/2)-(7/5/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $46.60 $22.60 94%
    PK3 (10/8/7)-(8/7/2)-(7/5/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-8-7 $37.10 $19.10 106%
    PK4 (2/7/4)-(10/8/7)-(8/7/2)-(7/5/9/6) 108 $0.50 $54.00  2-8-8-7 $191.60 $137.60 255%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHASIN' WHISKEY 4 1 1½ 1½   11 1¾ (arnold pamela)CORA D 121 2.50 25% 3.00 3.20 W
1  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 1 7 62¼ 54½   42 2¾ (stowers mic)INIRIO J 121 6.00 28.10  
3  CLEVER TIGER 3 2 41½ 65   63¼ 31 (lawrence james )BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 3.30  
2  BRIGHT PATH 2 4 72¼ 43   52¼ 41¼ (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 12% 7.10 3.90  
6  BIG SMILE 6 5 2½ 2½   21 53½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 2.30  
5  WORK FROM HOME 5 6 52 3½   31 65 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 12.50  
7  PLUOT 7 3 31½ 77   77¼ 714 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 24% 3.20 6.30  
SCR  FINAL OPPORTUNITY               (lawrence le)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
 
PEN-2   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COSMOLOGICAL 2 3 31 41   1nk 11½ (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 1.50  
7  SCOREBOARD LILY 6 5 55¾ 54   41½ 21½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 3.70  
4  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 3 4 41¼ 3½   2nk 32¼ (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 33% 2.10 3.00 S
5  JUSTICE OR APPEAL 4 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 46 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
6  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 5 6 65¾ 65   66½ 56½ (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 22.10  
2  THUNDER BOSS 1 2 1nk 2nk   53 67¾ (beattie cody)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 42% 1.40 3.50  
SCR  HAPPYKIYAY               (bryant dona)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
SCR  KEYSTONE WARRIOR               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
PEN-3   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LONGTAIL 6 2 1nk 11½   13 14¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 38% 1.70 3.70 W
2  COAST TO COAST 1 3 42 21½   23 24¼ (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50 P
10  GREAT WORKOUT 8 5 55½ 58   48 37 (brion keri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 ★ 5.40 S
11  HE'S A SHOOTER 9 4 3½ 32½   36 48 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 36% 1.80 0.60  
8  MANAHAWKIN 7 9 810½ 812   710 59¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 20.80  
3  BOYS OF QUEENS 2 6 67 69   69½ 610¼ (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 119 12.00 42.10  
5  BAVARIA 4 1 2nk 45   59½ 711¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 10.00 22.60  
6  PECOS BILL 5 8 912½ 914   914 813 (bartoni wayne)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 74.20  
4  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 3 7 78½ 710½   813 913¼ (pessanha )VARGAS L 124 10.00 28.50  
SCR  SAND DUNE               (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 3.50    
SCR  SCREEN STAR               (arnold pamela)CORA D 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STASSI 2 3 31½ 2nk   1nk 11¾ (arnold pamela)CORA D 119 2.50 41% 1.50 2.90 W
4  COULD BE A COUGAR 4 1 11 1nk   2nk 21¾ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
7  CHAPA 7 4 41½ 31½   32 32¼ (arnold pa)VARGAS L 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70 S
5  ARROGANTE 5 7 64¼ 55½   54 43¾ (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 10.00 11.90  
3  HIDDEN CACHE 3 2 21 44   43½ 53¾ (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 8.70  
1  FREYDIS 1 6 76¼ 66½   65½ 65¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 3.50 6.30  
6  MORGANS COVE 6 5 54 76¾   76½ 78¾ (geist david)INIRIO J 119 10.00 13.00  
 
PEN-5   11/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:132 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COOL COMEDIAN 5 2 11 1½ 13 13 12 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 7% 13.30 2.10 W
10  HANALEI'S HOUDINI 7 1 52½ 52 34½ 23 22 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 65% 0.50 1.20 P
6  ONCE A GIANT 3 5 64½ 65½ 57½ 45½ 34¾ (davis jr)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 9.70  
9  CAERUS 6 3 21 2½ 23 34½ 45¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 6.10  
1  BUCK WILD 1 7 76½ 77½ 610½ 58½ 58½ (jacavone joh)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 15.00 37.60  
7  SANTO 4 6 42½ 31½ 46½ 610 615 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
3  JACKIE A 2 4 31½ 42 711½ 715 721¾ (walters henry)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 8.20  
SCR  AHSAD               (kirby t)OCASIO M 120 8.00    
SCR  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK               (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
SCR  I AM THAT I AM               (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00    
SCR  NICK PAPAGIORGIO               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
 
PEN-6   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:14 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CANTANKEROUS CAT 6 3 11½ 12 11½ 12½ 12¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 31% 2.20 2.10 W
2  MONEY MAKING KAZ 2 5 32 22 21½ 22½ 22¼ (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 13% 6.50 1.50 P
4  BUSHWICK BRUISER 3 6 67 45 33½ 34½ 33½ (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 3.00 4.00  
7  LUDO 5 2 45 55½ 45½ 46½ 47¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 25% 3.00 7.80  
1  DISCREETLY THRIFTY 1 4 56½ 66½ 56½ 57½ 58 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 14.80  
6  GREATEST WARRIOR 4 1 21½ 34 69½ 617½ 627½ (albright ge)INIRIO J 123 6.00 7.40  
SCR  RILEY BEE               (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
SCR  SHE SPEAKS WELL               (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:16 1:282   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAKE A SPLASH 6 2 23 22 12½ 17 110 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 40% 1.50 4.90 W
3  DIXIE MUSIC 3 6 45 43½ 22½ 27 210 (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 8.00 11.60  
2  DUSTED 2 7 67½ 66 44½ 310 314 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 9.90  
6  WILD N' SASSY 5 4 77¾ 55½ 57½ 512 415½ (cooper st)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 33.70  
9  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 8 5 35 33½ 33 411½ 518¾ (barrow paul)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 14% 6.20 0.60  
8  MISS MIA LIA 7 1 55½ 77 68½ 615½ 621 (miller)SMITH DANIEL 118 20.00 85.00  
5  HERE WE GO AGAIN 4 3 13 12 710½ 730½ 738¼ (horn elizabet)ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.50 22% 3.60 3.70  
1  DANCEWITHTHEBAND 1 8 820¾ 827 834½ 845½ 849 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 67.20  
SCR  JUMP A FOX               (meister wil)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.